It’s not a huge Saturday slate, but the majority of teams in action are in the top half of the table, so there are plenty of big names to sort through. The main question is who you’d rather back for the EPL 30K Rush the Pitch [$5K to 1st] between Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham.
Son Heung-Min, Tottenham vs. Burnley, $9,100 — Son has been much better at home, though he’s made just two home league starts since September. He has six goals and four assists in eight home starts this season (Champions League included) and more importantly his floor usually hits at least 10 fantasy points. He has a better floor than Harry Kane and is a little easier to trust than the Manchester City guys.
Other Options — Sadio Mane, Liverpool, $10,000; Gabriel Jesus, Manchester City, $9,000; Wilfried Zaha, Crystal Palace, $7,600
VALUESIsmaila Sarr, Watford vs. Crystal Palace, $5,700 — I recommended Sarr last week and will again until his price rises. He had a floor of eight fantasy points at Leicester City in midweek and is now favored at home against a beat-up Crystal Palace back line. Sarr has provided a spark in minimal action, accruing four shots, eight crosses and four fouls drawn in two starts, both away.
Other Options — Chris Wood, Burnley, $5,600; Troy Deeney, Watford, $5,300; Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $5,000
Kevin De Bruyne, Manchester City vs. Manchester United, $10,600 — It doesn’t matter who City plays, De Bruyne is going to rack up set pieces and reach at least 10 fantasy points. He has at least 12 points in every league appearance this season and Man United aren’t going to stop that. He’s averaging 11.33 crosses per 90 minutes and City is the biggest favorite on the slate. Plus, there’s a good chance he’ll be rested midweek for Champions League because City isn’t in need of three points, which means a full 90 is a good bet in the derby.
Other Options — Luka Milivojevic, Crystal Palace, $6,700; Dwight McNeil, Burnley, $6,600; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $6,500
VALUESJefferson Lerma, Bournemouth vs. Liverpool, $3,000 — Lerma is at a minimal price despite reaching 4.3 fantasy points in his past six starts and that includes four yellow cards. He does a little bit of everything as a defensive midfielder and there’s a chance this is another mixed-up lineup for Liverpool given that they have an important UCL match in a few days. Lerma is averaging close to two interceptions per 90 minutes and Liverpool has forced the second-most in the past 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Harry Winks, Tottenham, $4,400; Fred, Manchester United, $3,600; Abdoulaye Doucoure, Watford, $3,600
Serge Aurier, Tottenham vs. Burnley, $5,900 — In addition to Trent Alexander-Arnold possibly not starting, his floor has suffered at times against teams who don’t allow a ton of crosses. Of course, he could assist twice and it wouldn’t matter, but I’m choosing to save money on Aurier. He’s getting forward a ton and while he doesn’t have Alexander-Arnold’s upside, he’s hit 11.2 fantasy points in each of his past two home starts.
Other Options — Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool, $7,300; Diego Rico, Bournemouth, $5,800; Benjamin Mendy, Manchester City, $4,700
VALUESJames Tarkowski, Burnley at Tottenham, $2,900 — Tarkowski is racking up tackles and interceptions every match and that’s led to at least 4.5 fantasy points in each of his past four starts, including against Man City. Tottenham have allowed the second-most tackles in the past 10 gameweeks and that should help Tarkowski come close to five points with hopes of a shot or two sprinkled in.
Other Options — Toby Alderweireld, Tottenham, $3,600; Jack Stacey, Bournemouth, $2,700; Craig Cathcart, Watford, $2,700
Alisson, Liverpool at Bournemouth, $5,500 — Alisson has yet to allow more than one goal this season and gets a price break following suspension. I’m not confident in any of the goalkeepers getting a clean sheet in this slate, but there’s no reason to bet against Liverpool. There’s also a chance Bournemouth plays defensive in hopes of a point at home, which could lead to a low-scoring match.
Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $5,900; Paulo Gazzaniga, Tottenham, $5,800; Ben Foster, Watford, $5,000
VALUESVicente Guaita, Crystal Palace at Watford, $4,500 — This match has the lowest implied goal total and Guaita is coming off back-to-back clean sheets. He’s averaging close to three saves per match and Watford has scored one goal in its past three matches. He’s the best value option unless you want to rely on saves from a bigger underdog.
Other Options — Aaron Ramsdale, Bournemouth, $3,900; Nick Pope, Burnley, $3,800; David de Gea, Manchester United, $3,700
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