Saturday’s slate is devoid of the top clubs so don’t be surprised when none of these matches surpass more than two combined goals. That means going with the top floor players could be the best route, but in order to make a mark in the EPL 30K Rush the Pitch [$5K to 1st, $1.4K Bonus], you may have to bank on an unexpected goal scorer.
STUDSAdama Traore, Wolverhampton at Norwich City, $8,800 — Traore doesn’t have the best odds to score, but he may have the best floor of any forward. He’s had at least 10 fantasy points in each of his last six starts and is averaging almost six crosses per 90 minutes. He continues to cause havoc on the wing and that won’t stop against Norwich, who have allowed the second-most crosses in the league.
Other Options — Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $9,000; Pascal Gross, Brighton, $8,900; Dwight McNeil, Burnley, $7,800
VALUESChristian Benteke, Crystal Palace at Newcastle, $5,100 — Benteke isn’t high on my list of players to trust in fantasy, but he’s cheap and could be set for another full 90 because of Andros Townsend’s injury. Benteke was at least involved the last match, taking four shots despite completing just five passes. You know he’s going to be active in front of the net and that may be enough to bet on against an unreliable Newcastle backline.
Other Options — David McGoldrick, Sheffield United, $6,200; Wesley, Aston Villa, $6,000; Jordan Ayew, Crystal Palace, $5,500
STUDSJack Grealish, Aston Villa vs. Southampton, $9,100 — Grealish has at least 10 fantasy points in his last five home starts and has surpassed 20 in three of them. He does a little bit of everything from shots and crosses to drawing fouls, and that keeps him fantasy relevant in most matches. In the last 10 gameweeks, Southampton has fouled the fifth-most players, allowed the fifth-most shots and conceded the sixth-most crosses.
Other Options — Joao Moutinho, Wolverhampton, $8,000; James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $7,500; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $6,800
VALUESPierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton at Aston Villa, $4,400 — Hojbjerg is averaging more than 10 fantasy points over his last five starts and he didn’t make the score-sheet once. He’s racking up stats in almost every category including completing around 50 passes per match. The upside may not be there, but he’s a good bet to surpass five points against Aston Villa, who allow a ton of shots and crosses, as well as commit plenty of fouls.
Other Options — Onel Hernandez, Norwich City, $4,700; James McCarthy, Crystal Palace, $4,300; Jefferson Lerma, Bournemouth, $4,200
STUDSErik Pieters, Burnley at Bournemouth, $4,600 — I’m not sure it’s worth it to pay up for Diego Rico in this spot when you can get more consistent forwards and midfielders. Pieters is a level below Rico and while he won’t have a floor of 10 points, he’s been viable against weaker competition. If you throw out matches against top clubs and when he was subbed off early, he’s been solid, sending in crosses while adding a variety of defensive stats. Pieters isn’t your usual no-brainer defender but there may not be one of those on this slate.
Other Options — Diego Rico, Bournemouth, $6,000; Matt Targett, Aston Villa, $5,100; Martin Kelly, Crystal Palace, $4,800
VALUESChristoph Zimmermann, Norwich City vs. Wolverhampton, $2,900 — Zimmermann has led a minor resurgence as Norwich have taken points in three of five matches since his return from injury. He’s also gotten up the field for corners the last couple matches, which adds to interceptions and tackles. At a minimal price, you can’t do much better.
Other Options — Bjorn Engels, Aston Villa, $3,200; Conor Coady, Wolverhampton, $3,000; Ben Mee, Burnley, $2,900
STUDSMartin Dubravka, Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace, $5,200 — If you don’t use Benteke (or a Crystal Palace forward), Dubravka is an easy play if you have the money. He’s making almost four saves per start and this match has the lowest implied goal total on the slate. There’s also no reason to trust the Palace attack which is averaging less than one goal per match.
Other Options — Mat Ryan, Brighton, $5,300; Tom Heaton, Aston Villa, $5,100; Aaron Ramsdale, Bournemouth, $4,900
VALUESVicente Guaita, Crystal Palace at Newcastle, $4,600 — On the other end of the pitch, Guaita has at least 12 fantasy points in each of his last four starts. This contest is a toss-up and Newcastle struggled to get anything last match without Allan Saint-Maximin. It wouldn’t be surprising if this one ended scoreless given the unexciting attacking options on both ends.
Other Options — Nick Pope, Burnley, $4,500; Dean Henderson, Sheffield United, $4,400; Tim Krul, Norwich City, $4,300
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (username: rotozdroik) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.