The Bruins and Blues have been battling over the past few weeks, but their bad blood will boil one last time tonight. Game 7 in Boston; what more could a hockey fan ask for?
The series has flip-flopped, aside from the Blues winning back-to-back games to go up 3-2, making it very difficult to predict the betting landscape. Ahead of the Stanley Cup Final culmination game, we’re going to make some sense of it. Here’s a look at the journey the odds have taken on the DK Sportsbook throughout the series:
Stanley Cup Final Odds Changes
– Opening Line: Bruins (-154), Blues (+130)
– After Game 1: Bruins (-303), Blues (+240)
– After Game 2: Bruins (-118), Blues (+100)
– After Game 3: Bruins (-333), Blues (+265)
– After Game 4: Bruins (-154), Blues (+130)
– After Game 5: Bruins (+240), Blues (-295)
– After Game 6: Bruins (-167), Blues (+143)
Note: All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
As we approach puck drop, it’s becoming clearer who the bettors believe will be Stanley Cup champion. The total handle (67% on Boston) and number of bets (58% on Boston) are leaning toward the Bruins. There’s no doubt Boston has been the favorite throughout a majority of the series. It took St. Louis two wins in a row and a 3-2 series lead to finally receive better odds than its opponent. And we can’t just chalk that up to the Bruins having home-ice advantage; both teams got two of their three victories on the road. This series can be boiled down to one thing: special teams.
I pointed out the Blues’ special teams weakness before the Stanley Cup Final started, but I didn’t think it would be this appalling. Coming into Game 1, St. Louis was 19.4% on the power play. In this series, it’s down to 5.5% on 18 opportunities. Those numbers wouldn’t be so bad if the Blues were effective on the penalty kill, but with the Bruins power play at 30.4%, we can see the issue. The two sides are tied on even strength goals at 13 a piece, so if the Blues can stay disciplined, all signs point to this coming down to the wire.
Conn Smythe Trophy Winner Favorites
– Tuukka Rask: Opening Line (-118), Current Odds (-225)
– Ryan O’Reilly: Opening Line (+1300), Current Odds (+300)
– Vladimir Tarasenko: Opening Line (+2500), Current Odds (+450)
– Jordan Binnington: Opening Line (+450), Current Odds (+650)
– Patrice Bergeron: Opening Line (+1500), Current Odds (+1150)
The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Final. Barring a major collapse from Tuukka Rask, it seems pretty clear the Boston goaltender will win it. Rask has been the definition of a brick wall throughout the entire postseason, with a .938 save percentage and a 1.93 goals against average on 722 shots faced. In the NHL’s long history, there has been only one time a goalie had a lower goals against average on at least as many shots faced. That goalie happened to also be Tuukka Rask in the 2012-13 Stanley Cup Playoffs.
If the Bruins win, there’s no doubt in my mind Tuukka will be the MVP. If the Blues win scoring three goals or less, I still think he’ll be the MVP, even though he won’t care much at that point.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.