Hey it is the day before Thanksgiving and I am ready for more daily picks here on “The Playbook”. There are nine games in all to choose from so let’s try to get this right.
This is a slate that may have a bargain or two. Let’s discuss!
Roberto Luongo ($7,200) – This is a vital game for Florida because they do not want to slip any further behind. The Panthers must get a top notch effort from Luongo because Florida is just hit or miss offensively. Yes there the challenge of going against a Carolina team that will be looking for those two points. The Panthers goalie should be able to get some work in but do not expect him to get too bombarded with shots heading his way.
Darcy Kuemper ($7,100) – Okay Los Angeles is not so hot on the road and even with Minnesota firing pucks against Jonathan Quick, Minnesota has Kuemper who has been very good. The Wild tend to give him some pretty good support and that is never a bad thing. With Niklas Backstrom looking less likely to be the answer, it is obvious where you must go here. After all, it is a bad sign when your third/fourth string goalie is still playing, even as a backup. Kuemper has persevered and even thrived under the microscope that is the state of hockey.
Ondrej Pavelec ($6,600) – Pavelec has given three or more in his last three starts but this is more a case of buying low and taking a shot on this one. He still has a .930 save percentage in his last ten games played but the goal support is at less than two goals per game. Winnipeg had a huge win over Columbus last night and Buffalo should be another W if Pavelec can just focus along with the rest of the Jets. This will be an intriguing low scoring battle.
Others to consider: Ben Bishop ($8,000), Jimmy Howard ($7,900), Antti Niemi ($7,800) — we will have updates as goalie starts come in during the early afternoon on Twitter.
Joe Pavelski ($7,700) – The new guard seems to be the ones handling the conch just fine. He has nearly double digit goals to go along with his double digit assists. Pavelski has assumed a little bit more of a leadership role and is more likely to go on a solid scoring run than almost any other Shark player. The young players will have to do more of the heavy lifting but do watch if the pivot gets juggled around.
Logan Couture ($6,300) – It is nice that Couture has ten power play points because San Jose might need that power play to get going in order to beat a tough Calgary team. Calgary scores tons of late goals and will test San Jose from time to time. Throw the Corsi out the window as San Jose needs these two centers and Joe Thornton to start controlling the middle. If they can do that, it leads to more chances which eventually leads to more goals.
Henrik Zetterberg ($5,800)– With high volume centers out there, that makes a player like Zetterberg more affordable. His weakness just involves shooting a little better. Some of these chances have to find their way into the back of the net. He won’t shoot at less than 7% forever and those passes will find the right places. Getting Pavel Datsyuk back will really help but then again when will he come back. Zetterberg has to step up his game another level.
Others I like: Sidney Crosby ($9,000), Evgeni Malkin ($8,800), Brock Nelson ($5,600).
Value: Stephen Weiss ($3,200), Marcus Kruger ($3,100).
Patric Hornqvist ($7.400) – The shooter will just need to keep firing against a Toronto team that is willing to give up chances. Whether he plays with Crosby or Malkin almost does not matter. If he fires 3.5-4 shots a night, the goals should follow easily. His 1.15 points per game should not be shocking either. It will become similar to shooting turkeys if Hornqvist can just hit the net. This will be a good one on Wednesday night.
Zach Parise ($6,700) – The inevitable question will be can Parise stay healthy because if he does, he produces right at a point a game. He has five goals in his last eight games and though his shot average has dipped to around three, that should not last. Parise is normally a four shot a game player that is finishing pretty well. He needs to just keep firing and good things will happen. There is a reason why he is the leader on this team and is a DFS must start.
Marian Hossa ($6,000) – The ageless winger has only three goals on the season and at some point that will have to change. He has ten points in his last ten games and playing Colorado with no Semyon Varlamov almost invites the opportunities for more points. If Hossa were on to score a goal it may just be Wednesday night and yes Colorado comes off an amazing comeback. Just cue up those scoring chances and more for Marian Hossa.
Others I like: Jakub Voracek ($7,400), Martin St. Louis ($4,900), Nikita Kucherov ($4,300).
Value: Blake Comeau ($2,900), Daniel Winnik ($2,800).
Kris Letang ($6,200) – Oh let’s go! It is a home game versus Toronto and Letang victimized the Maple Leafs pretty well early on. As long as he blocks a couple shots and hits the net several times, anything else makes him the play he should be. Playing 25 minutes a night does not hurt in the least. At this point, Letang is pretty much a much own on Wednesday night and the number one defenseman to own DFS wise as well. There are players that are close but Kris Letang would be my D1.
Brent Burns ($5,600) – The fight over if Burns should be on the wing will continue for quite some time. His defense is an outright liability but his offense masks some of those deficiencies. The key word is some. Fortunately for San Jose, they face a tired Calgary team and Burns should have opportunities to nab some points. Burns is on pace for at least 25 goals and nearly 70 points. While the latter is not likely, the former could be. Just keep an eye if Burns is eventually converted to wing again. In the meantime, enjoy the production!
Others I like: Mark Giordano ($7,000), Jared Spurgeon ($5,000), Cody Franson ($4,800).
Value: Kevin Klein ($3,100), Xavier Ouellet ($2,500).
Thanks for reading guys and hopefully the picks help you out. If you have any questions, fire them away at me on twitter @ChrisWasselTHW and i’ll do my best to answer them.
Good luck today!