For wide receivers, volume is necessary. That’s especially true in cash games, where we sacrifice depth of target and ceiling in exchange for a lot of chances.


These are the receivers I project to see the most targets in Week 4 (Sunday/Monday slate only):

1. Julio Jones: 12 targets – Julio can’t keep up this pace, but it’s impossible to see him regressing too sharply given usage and talent.

2. Demaryius Thomas: 11 targets – At least 11 targets in three straight games. Broncos playing faster now as well.

3. Odell Beckham Jr.: 10 targets – Tough spot at Buffalo, who will try to milk the clock on offense and suffocate Beckham on defense with Stephon Gilmore.

4. DeAndre Hopkins: 9 targets – Nuk’s lines when not facing Josh Norman this year: 9-98-2 and 8-101-1. He’s fourth in the league in targets.

5. Emmanuel Sanders: 9 targets – In theory, has a better matchup than Demaryius Thomas thanks to Xavier Rhodes playing on the outside.

6. Brandon Marshall: 9 targets – Eric Decker (knee) is very questionable again. The Dolphins are also a mess against the pass.

7. Jarvis Landry: 9 targets – Buster Skrine did a good job on Eagles slot maven Jordan Matthews in Week 3. Landry is still a good bet for his usual low-upside eight catches.

8. Randall Cobb: 9 targets – Home on Monday night against a Chiefs team that funnels action toward the pass was pure gold. On the road against a bad 49ers defense is merely very, very, very good silver.

9. Amari Cooper: 9 targets – Has seen 9, 11 and 11 targets in his first three NFL games. Will light Alan Ball on fire.

10. A.J. Green: 9 targets – Luckily for the Chiefs, Sean Smith’s suspension is over. Jamell Fleming was arguably the worst corner in the NFL through three weeks. So it’s Green/Marvin Jones vs. Smith/Marcus Peters.


Figuring out the top-end guys (above) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week this season, I’m going to discuss wide receivers $5000 and under who I project for at least five targets. There are plenty of them again in Week 4:

Note: The Following projections are based on Sunday/Monday games only.

1. Michael Crabtree, Raiders — $4600

Everyone is going to be on Amari Cooper ($6300) and rightfully so – he has the look of a dominator and has seen 9, 11 and 11 targets through three weeks. But another way to attack this Bears defense at a lesser ownership percentage and save $1700 is to look to Crabtree. The ex-49er isn’t nearly as explosive, but he’s seen at least eight targets in all three games and 33 overall. There’s little reason to believe he won’t get another eight-plus in this matchup.

Projection: Eight targets

2. Donte Moncrief, Colts – $5000

Moncrief was one of the highest owned players across DraftKings last week at $4800 against the Titans. He only finished with 13.2 points, but he did see seven targets and continued to rightfully play ahead of Andre Johnson. Now Andrew Luck and Moncrief get a home game against the Jaguars. Moncrief’s ownership percentage should be slightly down this week even though he’s in a better spot and has a similar target projection.

Projection: Seven targets

3. Percy Harvin, Bills — $4600

Sammy Watkins (calf) is questionable for Sunday’s home game against the Giants. Regardless, Harvin is becoming something of a go-to guy for Tygod Taylor. Harvin has seen 18 targets already (in addition to four rushes) and is playing on 73.5 percent of the snaps. I prefer to run naked Tygod – especially with NYG’s strength at corner with Prince Amukamura and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. But Harvin’s playmaking ability and increased volume makes him interesting.
Projection: Five targets

4. Marvin Jones, Bengals — $3800

In 2013, Marvin Jones scored 10 touchdowns on 51 catches while playing just 50 percent of the snaps. Then he missed all of 2014 with a broken foot. Now Jones’ stock is on the rise again as he’s finally healthy and rekindling that explosive ability. He played 60.3 percent of the snaps Week 1, 80.3 in Week 2 and 87.0 Week 3. His target count has gone three, five and seven. The Chiefs are getting CB Sean Smith back this week, but they are still very vulnerable in the secondary. This is a nice spot for a big game from Jones at home with the Chiefs tilting coverage toward A.J. Green.

Projection: Six targets

5. Allen Hurns, Jaguars — $3900

It’s becoming a weekly tradition: We identify who Vontae Davis is going to shadow and then we attack the other corners. This week Vontae projects to shut down Allen Robinson, which will leave Hurns to do work against Jalil Brown and friends. Wideouts vs. Colts that have avoided Vontae this year: Percy Harvin 5-79-1, Eric Decker 8-97-1, Kendall Wright 7-95-1.

Projection: Seven targets

6. Ty Montgomery, Packers — $3000

Davante Adams (ankle) is not expected to play in Sunday’s game at San Francisco. Meanwhile, the Packers have had at least three wide receivers on the field for 99 percent of their snaps this season – most in the NFL. We also know that Montgomery out-snapped Jeff Janis 66-16 in Week 3 (Adams played just three snaps before going down). The No. 3 wideout spot in this offense is a bit too inconsistent for cash games, but I think Montgomery will see 4-6 targets from the best quarterback in the game against San Francisco’s “defense.” He’s certainly in play.

Projection: Five targets

7. Stevie Johnson, Chargers – $4400

Stevie disappointed in Week 3 as Keenan Allen took advantage of Xavier Rhodes’ concussion and went ham. This week, Joe Haden (ribs, probable) should shadow Keenan – even though Haden has been getting lit up this year. Johnson will work against K’Waun Williams in the slot and should have success when targeted. However, I prefer to attack this Browns defense with the run game and a nice breakout spot (again) for Melvin Gordon.

Projection: Five targets

8. Nelson Agholor, Eagles — $4500

Could this be the breakout spot for Agholor? He’s seen a formidable trio of corners the first three weeks in Desmond Trufant, Brandon Carr and Darrelle Revis. Sam Bradford has also struggled very, very badly. So Agholor has a 4-36-0 line on 12 targets through three games despite playing on a whopping 83.3 percent of the snaps (93.2 percent in Week 3). But now Bradford and Agholor get a soft spot against a Redskins secondary that was already the weak point of the defense, and just lost both DeAngelo Hall (toe) and Justin Rogers (foot). The problem is Agholor is not cheap, we aren’t sure Bradford is willing to push the ball down the field and there could be significant wind in this game. For now, I don’t have much Agholor.

Projection: Five targets

9. Ted Ginn, Panthers — $3400
Ted Ginn may not be a very good NFL wide receiver. But he has seen seven, nine and six targets through the first three weeks. It’s a testament to how slow Devin Funchess (3-38-0 on 11 targets) is coming along and how thin this group is at wideout following Kelvin Benjamin’s preseason ACL tear. Ginn has yet another plus matchup this week against the Bucs and will get some deep shots. I won’t be on him heavy as he’s unlikely to come down with any, but he’s certainly stackable with Cam Newton if you’re playing a lot of GPP lineups.

Projection: Five targets