WATCH: VALUE ALERT – JACQUIZZ RODGERS
Everyone knows the high-priced stars that they’d love to load their lineups with, but you’ll need low-priced value plays to make it all work. Let’s look at who that might be for Week 8.
Values here are $5.5K and below for QBs, under $5K for RB/WR, under $4K for TE and under $3K for DEF. Contact me with any questions on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Brock Osweiler ($5,400) – If he is unable to do it here … it may not happen for Osweiler. The Lions are last or near the bottom in almost every passing defense statistic and banged up in the secondary. With DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, along with the capable Lamar Miller as a pass catcher out of the backfield, Osweiler has to deliver in this spot at home.
Tyrod Taylor ($5,200) – I do not like to roster a QB in a second game in a divisional set, as this is against the Patriots, but Taylor will be asked to do more in this matchup with LeSean McCoy’s status again in question. The price is right for Tyrod, who will likely be more heavily used in this game.
Josh McCown ($5,200) – McCown must be sprinting back from injury to get to the Jets, who are 31st in pass defense this season. Cleveland at home, and with McCown having TE Gary Barnidge and Terrelle Pryor available in this game, and given the Jets strong run defense, I think McCown is in play at this price.
Devontae Booker ($3,700)- With C.J. Anderson likely headed to IR, Booker will be the common play this week. Him and the sixth-ranked Denver offensive line run game take on the Chargers at home, with a positive game script at their back.
Frank Gore ($4,700) – A likely less common play will be Frank Gore, who will be running behind a Colts offensive line that is ranked seventh in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards metric. Conversely, the Chiefs are ranked 30th by the same metric from the defensive line side. Gore has run well, and ranks 17th in DraftKings points per game from the RB position this season.
Latavius Murray ($4,500) – Murray came back from injury and immediately grabbed nearly 60 percent of the RB snaps, including five targets in the pass game, which will be important in this game against Tampa, which generally shuts down the run and begs you to beat it through the air. With a 49-point projected game total and Murray getting seven red-zone touches last week, I think he’s in play here despite the Bucs’ strong run defense.
Jonathan Stewart ($4,900) – Stewart was in for 55 out of 82 snaps in his first game back from injury, and got four red-zone touches as well. If the Panthers are truly trying to limit the impact tackles Cam Newton takes, then Stewart, in a game that has the Panthers as favorites with an implied team total of 25, is in line for more scoring.
Seth Roberts ($3,000) – This is the state of value plays at WR this week. Roberts, however, has shown positive trending in targets, where he has 15 the last two weeks, and red zone touches, where he is tied with Michael Crabtree this season. Against Tampa, who dares you to beat them with the pass, and a 49-point projected game total, Roberts may see excellent production.
Tyrell Williams ($4,700) – Even against the Broncos, this team should accrue passing yards. Williams, who actually has a good individual matchup here against Bradley Roby, is playing every possible snap, is coming off a 10-target game with a similar coverage situation and leads the Chargers wide receivers in red-zone touches this season.
Mohamed Sanu ($4,100) – Another high total home game for the Falcons and Sanu has the best individual matchup of any of the Atlanta receivers. Also, surprisingly, Sanu leads the ATL receivers in red-zone targets with seven.
Quincy Enunwa ($4,800) – The Browns are bad against almost everything, including the passing game, where they are ranked 30th in the league. Working in the Jets’ receivers favor is also that their own defense is so bad, which means they will likely have to keep passing.
Tyler Lockett ($3,900) – I feel like I have to target someone in the value plays when there is a game in the Superdome. Lockett’s individual matchup is a positive one for him and he’s a dual threat to score with his special teams work.
Gary Barnidge ($3,300) – Against the Jets, who are consistently bad, and currently 20th in defending the tight end position, Barnidge may be due with Josh McCown likely to return to trigger the Browns offense.
Coby Fleener ($3,400) – The Seahawks, while being excellent defensively, are also 25th against the tight end position. With Drew Brees being otherworldly at home, you have to figure Fleener will figure heavily into the formula for the Saints.
C.J. Fiedorowicz ($2,900) – Fiedorowicz has stepped up and taken control of the Texans’ TE pass-catching role and gets the Lions, who are dead last in short passing defense and 24th against the TE position, specifically.
Kansas City Chiefs ($2,800) – There aren’t a lot of obvious plays on defense this week, either, but the Colts continue to leak sacks, having given up the most in the league (25).
Oakland Raiders ($2,600) – Tampa QB Jameis Winston has turned the ball over 10 times on his own this season, giving the Raiders a chance to score defensively in this likely back-and-forth game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.