Week 3 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 4 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
Karlos Williams ($3400) – Williams will get the start as LeSean McCoy is on the shelf this week with a hamstring injury. At almost the minimum price for a running back, it’s difficult not to roster Williams. He has scored a touchdown in each of the first three games and is averaging 7.8 yards per carries. This is a good matchup for him as he takes on the Giants. In the past three weeks, the Giants have allowed 476 total yards and three touchdowns to opposing backs. There’s a good chance that Williams gets anywhere between 17-20 carries this week. He’s been efficient thus far and should be able to put together a strong start. Another plus is that the Bills are the favorite and that’s usually a good indicator for running backs. His low salary allows you to spend up elsewhere.
Mark Ingram ($6000) – Ingram has quietly put together some solid games this season. He’s averaging 3.6 yards per carry, has two rushing touchdowns, and has caught 16 passes this season. Ingram has also received 75 percent of the team’s red zone carries, so the opportunity to score will be there. He’s exceeded value in two of three games and has good a chance to make it a third. The Cowboys defense is suspect against the run and just got run over by Devonta Freeman last week. They’ve surrendered 397 total yards and four touchdowns to running backs this season. Drew Brees is expected to return this week, which will help Ingram. He’s priced high enough not to get a ton of eyes and low enough not to hurt your pocket. He needs about 18 points to hit value and already has two 20+ point games.
Allen Robinson ($5500) – This is the second week in a row I’ve recommended Robinson. Last week, he didn’t quite panned out like I expected, as he caught four passes for 68 yards. This week his price remains economical. He will face the Colts who are yielding 177.3 receiving yards per game and have given up five touchdowns to opposing receivers. Robinson averages nine targets per game and could see more this week as the Colts are favored by nine points. This means the Jags could be chasing points. Robinson showed his ability to have big games. He torched the Dolphins for 155 yards and two touchdowns on six catches. In his only game against the Colts, he caught seven passes for 79 yards. At this price, he’s makes a solid tournament play.
Marvin Jones ($3800) – The main concern here is that there are a lot of mouths to feed in Cincinnati. The good news is that since week one, Jones has been targeted more each week. In the first game he was targeted three times, in the second game he was targeted five times, and last week, he was targeted eight times. He is averaging 5.3 targets per game. Jones has now scored a touchdown in back-to-back games. This week he is at home vs. the Chiefs who have been absolutely abysmal against receivers this year. They’re allowing 250 receiving yards per game and have surrendered nine touchdowns to opposing receivers. In each game this season, the No. 2 receiver that faced the Chiefs has either eclipsed 100 yards or scored at least one touchdown. His lack of high volume targets make Jones strictly a tournament play.
Martellus Bennett ($4500) –Until the Raiders slow down a tight end, I’ll be starting whichever tight end is up against them. If there was a week where I thought they could stop a tight end, it was last week, but Gary Barnidge caught six passes for 105 yards and a touchdown against them. Bennett has struggled in the last two weeks, but the matchups have been pretty tough. This week, that’s not the case as the Raiders have allowed 305 yards and five touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season. They have surrendered at least one touchdown in each game this year. Bennett should be able to capitalize from this matchup and finish the day with a solid stat line. At this price, he can be considered a value play.
Eric Ebron ($3500) – After scoring a touchdown in each of the first two games, Ebron was held scoreless last week against the Broncos. However, he still caught four passes for 61 yards and exceeded value on his $3,300 salary. This week he has another tough matchup against the Seahawks, but they have allowed opposing tight ends to get in the end zone in two of their three games. Ebron has been targeted 20 times, averaging 6.7 targets per game and has caught 65 percent of those targets. Only five tight ends have seen more targets than Ebron. The volume is there and he’s a nice pivot from Charles Clay who is likely going to be a popular play this week.