Week 10 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 11 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
Charcandrick West ($4500) – This is arguably the best deal of the week. Despite three strong games and a soft matchup, West remains very cheap. In fact, he’s actually $300 cheaper than he was last week. West has topped 22 Fantasy points, scored four touchdowns, and is averaging 137.3 total yards in his last three games. He’s received 20+ touches in three straight games and has been in over 80 percent of the offensive snaps in each of those games. This week he faces the Chargers defense that is allowing 115.7 rushing yards per game, 5.1 yards per carry, and have allowed 11 total touchdowns to opposing backs. They’re also yielding 5.7 receptions and 57.8 receiving yards per game. This is a great spot for him to smash value.
Latavius Murray ($5600) – I haven’t heard a ton of buzz surrounding Murray this week and I happy about that. Murray has only received 20 or more carries and eclipsed 100 rushing yards in two games this season. He’s averaging 14.5 fantasy points and 75.3 rushing yards per game. This week he has a great matchup ahead of him as he faces the Lions defenses that has yielded the most rushing touchdowns to opposing backs (11). They’re surrendering 102.3 rushing yards per game and 4.2 rushing yards per carry. Murray is averaging 4.7 yards per carry and 16 carries per game, so he’s in a good spot to get some yards. This game has the highest over/under of the week, so points are expected to be scored. If there’s a game he can find the end zone multiple times, it’s this one, the Lions have surrendered four multiple touchdown games to running backs this season. I’d only recommend him in tournaments.
Stevie Johnson ($3900) – While many people have their eyes set on Amendola this week, and rightfully so, I am eyeing Johnson for $100 cheaper. In his last game, Johnson received 10 targets and that volume should continue moving forward. The Chargers lost Keenan Allen for the season, Malcolm Floyd is out for Week 11 and could miss the rest of the season, and Ladarius Green is questionable for this game. That’s about 21 targets left up for grabs. Granted, not all will be heading Johnson’s way, but many will. The Chiefs are surrendering 205.9 receiving yards and 15 receptions per game to opposing receivers, while yielding the third most receiving touchdowns (14). This is a great matchup for Johnson and his price is low enough that value is attainable. Not many receivers at this price are projected to get 7-9 targets.
Michael Crabtree ($6000) – The Raiders face off against the Lions, who have been very generous to receivers this season. Opposing receivers are averaging 185.6 receiving yards and 14.3 receptions per game against them, while also scoring eight touchdowns. Crabtree has now scored four touchdowns in his last four games and has topped 18 fantasy points in three of those games. He actually leads the Raiders in targets this season with 85 and averages 9.4 targets per game. He also leads all receivers on the Raiders with 18.4 percent of the red zone targets. This matchup has the highest over/under of the weekend at 50 points and the Raiders have an implied point total of 24.5 points. It should be business as usual for Crabtree at a reasonable price.
Eric Ebron ($3500) – Ebron plays the Raiders and I usually target the tight ends that play against them, this week is no different. He is averaging 11 Fantasy points per game, but has topped 15 Fantasy points in three of his seven games played. He’s averaging 5.9 targets per game and has a 66 percent catch rate. The Raiders have surrendered the most touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season (10). They’ve yielded at least one touchdown in all but one game. Opposing tight ends are averaging 5.4 receptions and 58.1 receiving yards against them. Due to Ebron’s inconsistency all season, there’s a chance his ownership can be lower than it should be in a matchup so good and at this price.
Rob Gronkowski ($7700) – This is the first time in four games that Gronk is below $8,000. He faces the Bills defense that plays well against tight ends, but he already torched them in Week 2, when he caught seven passes for 113 yards and a touchdown. In that game he scored 27.3 fantasy points which is the third most fantasy points he has scored in a single game this season. He has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games and has eight for the season. He has three touchdown upside and provides a high floor. He averages 8.3 targets per game and receives 25.4 percent of the red zone targets. He’s by far the best tight end option every week and I’d rather spend $7700 on him than on a receiver like A.J. Green in the flex. Oh, and you also get the Monday night hammer!