It’s NFL Draft time, which means teams are looking for their next franchise player. Although the best players may be at other positions, a premium will be placed upon Quarterbacks in today’s NFL. Here are my top-5 prospects in this class:
5. Davis Webb — QB, California (Senior)
Webb played four years of college, but with Jared Goff coming out of Cal, he really only had last season to prove his worth. He had a nice season, throwing for 4,295 yards, 37 TDs and 12 INTs, but there were some concerns. His numbers we inflated by Cal’s rapid offense and lack of defense, and he also seemed to fall off towards the end of the season. There’s no doubt Webb has an NFL arm, though, and has all the tools to play at the next level. That’s given him a late boost in the draft, as he’s picking up steam as one of the more intriguing prospects (some NFL executives have gone as far as to say Webb’s going to be the best QB in this draft). The potential to jump into the first-round is there if a team falls in love with him, but he’ll likely be taken on the second day of the draft.
4. Patrick Mahomes II — QB Texas Tech (Junior)
Mahomes is an even better baseball player than he is a football player, but he’s also a very good QB. He had a ridiculous season at Texas Tech, going for over 5,000 yards in the air with 41 TDs and just 10 INTs. He also gained 285 yards on the ground to go with another 12 TDs. Mahomes is an all-around fantastic athlete, which has NFL teams intrigued. He’s rumored to go as high as No. 13 overall to the Cardinals, but we’ll have to sit back and see when a team decides to pounce on the first QB. He’s more likely to be picked on day two of the draft.
3. DeShone Kizer — QB, Notre Dame (Sophomore)
Speaking purely on upside, I think Webb and Mahomes probably have the potential to go higher in the draft than Kizer. I’m not sure there’s a team out there willing to spend a first-round pick on him, but it would be surprising if Kizer’s name isn’t called in the second-round. His numbers were lacking at Notre Dame — 2,925 passing yards with 26 TDs and nine INTs, although he rushed for 472 yards and eight more TDs. Kizer claims to have “Tom Brady’s brain in Cam Newton’s body,” so he’s clearly confident, but scouts seem to feel he just a solid prototypical NFL QB.
2. Deshaun Watson — QB, Clemson (Junior)
I’d be very surprised if these top-two guys aren’t the first two QBs taken in the draft, but we’ve seen crazier things happen. The big question is when teams will start to pounce on QBs — each of the teams picking 1-3 needs QB help, the Jets pick at No. 6, the Bills sit at No. 10, then the Browns come up again at No. 12 and the Cardinals are No. 13. If Watson makes it past that slew of teams then we’ve got a storyline. I think Watson is a hell of a player, and obviously very exciting to watch. He’s balled out on the big stage too, which I think is a big positive. What it comes down to for me is that I trust the prototypical guy like Trubisky more. Watson did a bad job of protecting himself in college, and I think the injury risk with him could become a reality given his size.
1. Mitch Trubisky — QB, UNC (Junior)
Trubisky appears to be a much more solid option than Jared Goff was last season, but I’d be shocked if a QB is the top pick in this draft. With the way Carson Wentz looked as a rookie, this QB class doesn’t appear to be much better than last year’s, if at all, and I think last season turned out to be pretty underwhelming (with the exception of Dak Prescott falling into the Cowboys’ lap). Trubisky threw for 3,748 yards, 30 TDs and six INTs last season at UNC, and he’s shown the ability to manage an NFL style offense. That gives him a chance to be a very solid NFL QB, but I don’t see greatness in his future. His six picks all came within three games, all of which were losses — not a terrible stat, but I’d like to see him win despite some adversity. Trubisky feels like a safer pick than Watson, but if you want to go for the home run I won’t argue with you.
Overall, we likely won’t see too much fantasy production from this QB class this season, but I don’t think anyone was raving about Prescott’s potential for immediate fantasy impact last year. We just need to see if any of these kids wind up in a situation with a chance to produce in the near future. Maybe one of them will land in a Prescott-type scenario and come out of nowhere.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.