WATCH: MATCHUPS BREAKDOWN – WEEK 11
Week 11 is upon us as we gear up for another 12-game slate this Sunday. Let’s get you ready for this one, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Highest Scoring Game
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Projected Point Total – 53 points
The Colts open the week as three point favorites against the Titans at home. With an implied total of 28 for the Colts, we should have PLENTY of opportunities to grab some fantasy points in this one. Indy will be fresh as they’re coming off a bye week. At home this season, Luck has been a force, averaging 25.6 FPPG in four starts. Averaging 312 passing yards per game at home, Luck will be facing a Titans defense that has allowed the third most passing yards by opposing quarterbacks with 2,870, and the second most receiving yards to wide receivers at 1,820. If the first matchup between these two teams is any indication, Luck was 27/39 for 353 yards with three touchdowns.
On the other side of the ball, Marcus Mariota continues to dominate, throwing his eighth multi-touchdown game of the season. Over his past two games against the Packers and Chargers, Mariota has thrown for 608 yards completing 46/69 pass attempts with 7 touchdowns. Surprisingly enough, only two games this season saw Mariota throw for zero touchdowns, with one of them being against this Indy defense. With that being said, Indy is allowing 344 passing yards per game at home this season, and we should see a much better performance from Mariota this time around.
Lowest Scoring Game
Miami Dolphins vs. L.A. Rams
Projected Point Total – 40.5 points
The Dolphins will travel across the country to take on the Rams this week in what is being tabbed as the lowest scoring game of the slate. With the Dolphins moving towards a more run heavy approach, they’ll face a Rams defense that’s allowed six rushing touchdowns on the season and 4.1 YPC thus far. Jay Ajayi came back down to Earth last week, gaining just 79 yards on 19 carries, snapping a three game streak of 100+ carries with a touchdown. While this game certainly doesn’t have a ton of appeal, Kenny Britt will be in a nice spot here against a Dolphins defense that is allowing an average of 167 receiving yards per game with 10 touchdowns scored. Britt is leading the team over the past three weeks with 16, hauling in 14 of those for 201 yards with a touchdown.
Worst QB Matchups
1. Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants – The Bears enter Week 11 with the toughest matchup against opposing quarterbacks. The Giants have held them to eight passing touchdowns and an average of 274 yards per game.
2. Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings remain one of the toughest teams against opposing quarterbacks as they face the Cardinals this week. With only 10 passing touchdowns allowed, the Vikings are holding them to just 229 passing yards per game.
3. Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals – On the other side of the ball, the Cardinals have certainly done their job against quarterbacks as well. With the least amount of passing touchdowns allowed with six (tied with Seattle) opposing quarterbacks are throwing for an average of 211 yards per game.
Best QB Matchups
1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions – The Lions have been trounced by the quarterback position this season with their matchup against the Jaguars on tap. With 20 passing touchdowns allowed, opposing QB’s are averaging 272 passing yards per game.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns – With the Steelers coming to town, they’ll face a Browns defense that has allowed a league leading 25 passing touchdowns and an average of 286 passing yards per game.
3. Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts – The Colts will take on the red hot Marcus Mariota, who has thrown multiple touchdowns in 8 of his 10 games this season. Indy has allowed 17 passing touchdowns and just under 300 passing yards per game.
WATCH: FIELD GENERALS – SWISH ANALYTICS
Worst RB Matchups
1. Dallas Cowboys vs. Baltimore Ravens – Fresh off his 43.9 fantasy point performance, Ezekiel Elliot has arguably his toughest test of the year. The Ravens have allowed the lowest rushing yards in the league at 574 with only three rushing touchdowns. Opposing running backs are averaging just 3.3 YPC.
2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Vikings aren’t exactly utilizing their ground game to begin with, but nonetheless, they have a tough matchup against the Cardinals. Averaging 3.2 YPC and 6 rushing touchdowns, the Cardinals remain one of the top against the run.
3. Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys – Dallas certainly has the ability to matchup with Baltimore when it comes to their defense against the run. The Cowboys give up a decent chunk of yards with 4.3 YPC, but they’ve allowed only 4 rushing touchdowns.
h3. Best RB Matchups
1. New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers – The 49ers continue to be the worst against the run this season with their impending matchup against the Patriots looming. The 49ers lead the league in rushing touchdowns (13) and rushing yards (1429) allowed. The cherry on top is the 5.2 YPC opposing running backs are averaging per carry.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns – The Browns aren’t as bad as the 49ers, but they’re close. With 12 rushing touchdowns allowed and an average of 4.5 YPC, it’s a huge spot for Le’Veon Bell and the Steelers.
3. Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – On the other side of the ball, the Steelers have been extremely vulnerable against the run as well. With 10 rushing touchdowns allowed, the Steelers are allowing an average of 4.3 YPC.
Worst WR Matchups
1. Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings continue to be a force against opposing wide receivers. With an average of 116 receiving yards per game, they’ve held opposing WRs to just 7 touchdowns this season.
2. Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – Pittsburgh is in good company with how many touchdowns they’ve allowed to opposing wide receivers, tied with the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks with five. With that being said, they are allowing an average of 167 receiving yards per game.
3. Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals – You start to get the sense that we won’t be getting a lot of fantasy goodness out of this game. The Cardinals have allowed six receiving touchdowns and average 161 receiving yards to opposing wide receivers.
Best WR Matchups
1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns – The Browns are currently the worst team at defending against wide receivers, as they are one of three teams that have allowed a league-leading 15 touchdowns to them. Add that to the average of 178 receiving yards per game and it’s an amazing spot for the Steelers.
2. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – The second week in a row that the Chiefs receivers are in a great spot. The Bucs have allowed 13 touchdowns and an average of 175 receiving yards per game to WRs.
3. New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers – Tied with the Browns and Ravens for the most touchdowns to wide receivers allowed at 15, the 49ers are allowing an average of 165 receiving yards per game this season.
Worst TE Matchups
1. Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals continue to be the best defense against opposing tight ends. Coming into this matchup, they have only allowed 246 receiving yards and are one of two teams that hasn’t allowed a touchdown.
2. Dallas Cowboys vs. Baltimore Ravens – Baltimore is the other team that hasn’t allowed a touchdown to opposing tight ends to go along with 295 receiving yards.
3. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks – While Seattle has allowed two touchdowns to opposing tight ends, they’ve allowed the least amount of receiving yards in the league at 237.
Best TE Matchups
1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions – We’ve had this narrative all season long and it should continue this week as well, “play the tight end against the Lions!” Detroit enters this game allowing a league-leading nine touchdowns and 522 receiving yards.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns – The tight end position is another trouble spot for the Browns, as they’ll try and deal with that against the Steelers this week. Entering Week 11, the Browns have allowed eight touchdowns and a league leading 751 receiving yards.
3. Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals – The Bills will get a Bengals defense that has allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends and 689 receiving yards.
Last Week’s Leaders
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Leaders – Last 3 Weeks
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Lineup Quick Hits
QB To Build Lineups Around…
Blake Bortles ($5,400) – 2016 hasn’t exactly been kind to Blake Bortles. After a very promising 2015, Bortles has been met with much criticism this season. With that being said, he’s tagged with his lowest salary of the season, just $400 above the minimum. His matchup against the Lions is good enough that he should be a very viable option in both formats this week. For as “bad” as Bortles has been he’s still averaging 270 passing yards and almost two touchdowns per game. Bottles has also been his best on the road this season, averaging 23.2 fantasy points with eight of his 16 touchdowns.
WR To Pair Him With…
Allen Robinson ($7,400) – Robinson is seeing a slight jump in salary from last week with a $400 increase. His matchup is a bit of a tough one for sure, as the Lions have actually been of the best defenses against opposing wide receivers as of late. Over the past four weeks, the Lions have held them to 118 receiving yards per game with no touchdowns. Meanwhile, Robinson is finally starting to heat up, seeing 40 targets over the past three weeks, catching 22 of those for 253 yards and two touchdowns.
The Top RB Will Be…
Le’Veon Bell ($8,800) – No point in getting cute this week with the matchup Bell has on tap. Just like all the buzz was on David Johnson last week, the same will go for Bell in Week 11. Taking on a Cleveland defense that, well, can’t stop anyone, Bell should feast in this spot. Paying up for a player that averages 16 touches and nine targets per game is as valuable as you can get. The Steelers have opened up this week as 9 point favorites, drawing up plenty of opportunities for Bell in all aspects of the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.