As a former DK Millionaire, Rob Gomes has some high upside insights into how to take down a tournament like the Millionaire Maker. Here are his thoughts for Week 4 with the theme of “low dollar” picks for Sunday.
Derek Carr (5,300) – In his second season, Derek Carr has been nothing short of spectacular. Through his first three games he’s thrown for 726 yards and six touchdowns to only one interception. Carr’s bargain basement DraftKings salary does little to represent his overall game this season.
Karlos Williams (3,400) – Karlos Williams has scored one touchdown in each of his first three NFL games. LeSean McCoy has not practiced this week and it only opens the door for more opportunity for Williams. The Bills are one of the few teams left in the NFL that really want to run the football, so expect Williams to see a pretty solid workload if McCoy sits.
Alfred Blue (3,900) – Alfred Blue carried the ball 31 times for 139 yards and a touchdown Sunday against Tampa Bay. In the two weeks prior, Blue carried the ball a total of 14 times. While I don’t expect him to receive 31 carries in week 4, Blue is still a solid option if Arian Foster is out. He also faces a struggling Atlanta Falcons run defense.
Andre Johnson (4,500) – Andre Johnson has struggled mightily since the season began. Johnson has yet to carve out a role in what going into the season was thought to be a high-power Indianapolis offense. The problem is that the Indianapolis offense has been stagnant through most of the first three games. I think much of this has to do with the Colts opponents being the Jets and the Bills than it actually has to do with the play of Johnson. I believe Pagano and Luck will look to Johnson early and often in this week’s game versus Jacksonville in an attempt to get Johnson more involved in the offense.
Terrance Williams (4,500) – Terrance Williams is a great variance play with Tony Romo in the lineup, and even better variance play with Brandon Weeden under center. Going into week four, public perception on Williams will not be very high due to Brandon Weeden getting the start. The fact that he only received two targets last week is also cause for concern. But, it would not surprise me if Terrence Williams was involved more in the game plan heading into New Orleans. If he goes for a hundred yards and a score, he will be worth every penny of his $4,500 salary.
Stevie Johnson (4,400) – Stevie Johnson has solidified himself as the Chargers number two – at least for the time being – while they wait for Antonio Gates to return from suspension. One thing that is for certain: Joe Haden will be draped all over Keenan Allen. Even though Amari Cooper got the best of Haden last week, the opportunity will be there for Stevie Johnson, because teams still gameplan around throwing away from Haden.
Richard Rodgers (2,500) – Richard Rodgers has yet to top 38 yards in a football game this season. What bodes well for Rogers is that he is the clear number one tight end this week against San Francisco with Andrew Quarless sidelined with an injury. What Rogers also has going for him that differentiates himself from other tight end at this pay grade is that he has Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball. I’m banking on the fact that at some point this season, I believe Richard Rodgers will have his two touchdown game. With Quarless being out and a banged up Davante Adams, this could be the week.
Jordan Reed (4,500) – At 4500, Jordan Reed is not a low play in terms of tight ends, but if you view him as a flex you can make that argument. It goes against general DFS wisdom to start a tight end as your flex, but maybe bucking the trend in an effort to differentiate yourself is a good thing. Public perception going into the season was that the state of the tight end in the NFL was diminishing, but if you look at the statistics through the first three weeks that has been far from the case.
Jaguars (2,600) – Not very high on any of the low buys this week on DraftKings in terms of defense. One team that stands out is the Jacksonville Jaguars. On paper, this looks like a tough matchup going against Andrew luck and co. at Indianapolis. However, this is a divisional game and the Jaguars usually play the Colts pretty tough. As great as Andrew luck is at times, he has the tendency to become sloppy with the football, and maybe that plays into Jacksonville’s hands in terms of DFS points. One thing you can count on is that the Jacksonville Jaguars will not be very high in terms of ownership this weekend.