WEDNESDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Davante Adams not expected to play Saturday
Adams reportedly suffered a sprained MCL in the win at Washington last week. It further depletes a problematic Packers receiving corps heading into a difficult spot at Arizona. Look for Randall Cobb to push outside more often in Green Bay’s base three-wide set, leaving Jared Abbrederis to work out of the slot. That will make it easier for the Cardinals to get Patrick Peterson (PFF’s No. 5 coverage CB) on Cobb. Abbrederis, meanwhile, figures to play somewhere around 90 percent of the snaps in a game the Packers should be trailing and costs minimum $3000.
2. Steelers admit DeAngelo Williams looking doubtful
When word broke that DeAngelo was in Charlotte to meet with Dr. Robert Anderson on Monday, red flags immediately went up. We then knew he wasn’t dealing with a standard sprain. So to the surprise of no one, the Steelers are preparing to ride with Fitzgerald Toussaint and Jordan Todman against Sunday.
“DeAngelo is still kind of on the outside looking in,” coach Mike Tomlin said. “I’ll leave the door ajar for him.”
With Ben Roethlisberger’s throwing shoulder hurting and the Broncos sporting three of the best corners in the league, we should see lots of check-down opportunities for Toussaint. He caught four passes for 60 yards on eight targets in the Wild Card win at Cincy.
3. Seahawks will be more aware of Greg Olsen
Heath Miller absolutely destroyed the Bengals during the regular season, catching 20 balls against them. That was the sole argument people had for rostering him last week. As I mentioned on the Edge Podcast last week, two games is a really small sample size.
That brings us to this week and Greg Olsen, who tore Seattle for 7-131-1 in the impressive Week 5 road win. That’s nothing new for the Seahawks’ defense, as they allowed a slate-high 3.6 more DraftKings points than salary-based expectation to tight ends. Still, if we go back to 2014 Olsen’s lines in two games against Seattle were 1-16-0 and 4-58-0. He’s a strong play this week but he’s also expensive at $6900.
4. Doug Baldwin likely to avoid Josh Norman’s coverage
Via PFF’s Mike Clay, Josh Norman lined up in the slot on 2 percent of his snaps this season. Meanwhile, Doug Baldwin was in the slot on 87 percent of his snaps. In other words, Baldwin is not only Seattle’s best receiver but he also has the best matchup this week. While Tyler Lockett and Jermaine Kearse will see Norman and Robert McClain, Baldwin should run most of his routes at Cortland Finnegan. That’s the guy who “retired” after being cut by the Dolphins in March and then was on the street until December.