MONDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Big Ben with the Big Injury
The most notable injury of Week 3 was to the knee of Ben Roethlisberger. He reportedly suffered a sprained MCL that will cost him 4-6 weeks. Big Ben’s backup is 35-year-old Michael Vick, who went 5-of-6 for 38 yards and rushed twice for negative-two yards in 1.5 quarters of relief action at St. Louis Sunday. Vick’s first start will be Thursday night at home against the Ravens.
This version of Michael Vick will be asked to manage the game, not win it. In three starts for the Jets last year, he averaged just 134.6 yards passing and 20.3 yards rushing with three touchdowns against one interception. Of course, his weaponry with the Steelers is elite compared to the weapons he had in New York. And he also costs the minimum $5000. But with all the QB prices so depressed on DraftKings, I’d rather ride with someone like Tygod Taylor $5800 vs. NYG. If there’s a winner (non-loser) in the Roethlisberger injury it’s Le’Veon Bell. Already a massive focal point of the offense (he out-touched DeAngelo Williams 26-1 in his 2015 debut Sunday), Bell is a lock for 25-30 touches weekly. He’ll also find an extra running lane or two with defenses having to defend Vick’s legs.
2. Devonta Freeman goes ham with big opportunity
Devonta Freeman doesn’t have many friends in the “game tape” or “metrics” scouting community. He came into Sunday averaging just 3.34 YPC in his career, highlighting a lack of athleticism. But the Falcons have a lot of confidence in Freeman, as evidenced by them only including two healthy running backs on the active roster yesterday (Freeman and Terron Ward). It’s a reminder that we need to value opportunity over everything at the running back position. Freeman’s calling card is the pass game (protection and receiving) and the Falcons also didn’t hesitate to use him repeatedly at the goal-line in Week 2. If Tevin Coleman (ribs) can’t go again against the Texans in Week 4, Freeman will rightfully be a popular play at $5200.
3. Moncrief continues to put Andre Johnson on ice
Here’s the WR snap count for the Colts yesterday: Donte Moncrief 57-of-61, T.Y. Hilton 56, Andre Johnson 41, Phillip Dorsett 14. Moncrief already has 26 targets on the season, compared to 18 for Johnson. It’s very clear who the No. 1A wideout is here and Moncrief backers on Sunday actually fell below expectation with 13.2 DraftKings points. Give me this prototypical wideout talent for 57 snaps against the Titans in a game Andrew Luck throws 30 times and I’d bet the over on 13.2 points every time. Moncrief gets a home game against the Jags Sunday.
4. Marshawn Lynch not beasting
The injury saga that was Marshawn Lynch’s came to a weird head Sunday as he played just 11 snaps and touched the ball six times. The interesting part is that it wasn’t Lynch’s calf that was the issue. He started the game on the sidelines trying to get his back loose and then left in the third quarter with a hamstring issue. Of course, the Bears had no prayer of scoring against the Seahawks so it’s not like Lynch was needed. But this is a 29-year-old back who has had 1,181 violent carries over the last four years and one playing with a very sub-par offensive line. There’s reason to be concerned here.