THURSDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Healthy Jordan Reed looming for Redskins
Jordan Reed is a really, really talented mismatch-creator in the pass game. His game is Aaron Hernandezesque – without the sociopathic murdering, of course. The issue throughout Reed’s career has been health as he’s missed 12 games in a two-year NFL career. But when Reed has been healthy (20 games), he’s averaged 4.7 catches for 48.2 yards and scored three touchdowns. That includes two games with Kirk Cousins last year in which he went 8-92-0 (at ARZ) and 5-54-0 (vs. TEN).
The key now is that we know Reed is healthy. He played 36 snaps in the third preseason game and is not on the injury report at all this week. Meanwhile, Niles Paul is out for the year. The only tight ends behind Reed are Derek Carrier (acquire via trade in August) and Anthony McCoy (signed Monday).
“We’re counting on Jordan quite a bit,” said coach Jay Gruden. “His body is stronger, he’s in great shape. … We’re a little concerned (about the position) but Jordan is up for a lot of reps.”
Reed is just $3300 this week and has a fine matchup against a Dolphins defense that is more exploitable through the pass than the run. Home as an underdog is a great spot to use pass-catchers.
2. LeSean McCoy practicing in full
The hamstring pull LeSean McCoy sustained in mid-August was never considered serious. That was confirmed Wednesday as he practiced in full and therefore will almost certainly play against the Colts. McCoy admitted he’s not sure if he’ll be 100 percent, but I still want a couple shares of him in GPPs as he’ll be at a super-low ownership. The way to beat the Colts is to smash them in the mouth with the run game, something Rex Ryan and company certainly won’t be shy about. The running ability of Tyrod Taylor will also pull defenders out of running lanes.
3. Dream matchup, bum hammy
Mike Evans was licking his chops when he saw a Week 1 matchup with a Titans secondary that “features” dumpster fires Blidi Wreh-Wilson and Perrish Cox at corner (Jason McCourty is hurt). Unfortunately, his hamstring injury is serious enough that it kept him out of practice on Wednesday. If Evans sits, we can comfortably save $1700 and go down to Vincent Jackson. Highly aggressive Jameis Winston will be taking plenty of deep shots to V-Jax in this very plus spot – especially if Evans sits.
4. Another WR and D/ST correlation play
In yesterday’s News and Notes, I talked about Emmanuel Sanders and DEN D/ST as a “double dip” stack because Sanders was named the Broncos’ primary punt returner. Wednesday brought some inverse news. We already knew Tyler Lockett was going to be one of the league’s best return men as a rookie, but he showed surprisingly well as receiver in the preseason (6-129-1 on just 57 snaps). OC Darrell Bevell said Lockett is “light years” ahead of where they thought he would be as a wideout and added we should expect a big role in the offense. It’s not like Seattle’s WR depth chart is very formidable, as it features Doug Baldwin and Jermaine Kearse up top. Lockett against a weak Rams secondary and the Seahawks D against the Rams’ atrocious offensive line makes some sense in large-field tournaments where we’ll need to be perfect to win.