Fantasy Football WR Target Projections: Most Volume for Wild Card Weekend

Volume significantly raises both the floor and ceiling of wide receivers. These are the ones I project to see the most targets in the Wild Card round. Please note these aren’t rankings, just volume projections.

Check out three value target projections here.

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU vs. IND, $8,700 — Hopkins enters Wild Card Weekend fresh off a 12-147-0 roasting of the elite Jaguars pass defense. Now he gets a funneling Colts unit ranked fourth in DVOA against the run but 20th against the pass. Hopkins has seen at least 10 targets in five straight games and has been over 100 yards in three straight.
Projections: 11 targets

T.Y. Hilton, IND at HOU, $7,800 — Hilton’s bum ankle remains a serious concern after he appeared to aggravate it Sunday night. It’s possible he would have sat out these past few weeks if the Colts didn’t have their backs against the wall. If Hilton’s ankle is anywhere near 100 percent, though, he’s set up beautifully against a Texans defense he flamed for 9-199-0 and 4-115-0 in two meetings this season. The Texans are 18th DVOA against the pass and first against the run.
Projections: 9 targets

Keenan Allen, LAC at BAL, $6,900 — Going to Baltimore is the worst possible matchup for wideouts for two reasons. First, the Ravens have a top-three pass defense in virtually every statistical category. Perhaps more importantly, the Ravens’ extreme run-heavy ways under Lamar Jackson yield painfully low play volume for opponents. Still, Allen managed a 5-58-0 line when these teams met in Week 16, and his hip might have been an issue. Now Allen appears close to 100 percent.
Projections: 9 targets

Amari Cooper, DAL vs. SEA, $7,500 — We know about the wild volatility in Cooper’s game — he’s been held to 32 yards or fewer in three straight. But he’s averaging 8.4 targets per game as a Cowboy and has slate-breaking natural ability. The concern in this matchup is play volume — the run-first Seahawks only allow opponents to get 59.7 plays per game, third-fewest in the league. But if the Cowboys can get a lead and force Seattle to lean toward the pass, Cooper’s volume also will rise.
Projections: 8 targets

Alshon Jeffery, PHI at CHI, $5,900 — The Eagles’ pathetic run game has little chance of success against a dominant Bears front that ranked second in rush defense DVOA. This unit is also very good against tight ends and pass-catching running backs. That should funnel volume to Jeffery, who quietly has averaged caught 16-of-18 targets since Nick Foles ($5,400) took over three games ago.
Projections: 8 targets

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