NFL Divisional Playoffs weekend means that this is my last DK Playbook sleepers article of the season. We’re going to finish off strong with four deep dive under the radar players to slide into your Draft Kings lineup. Good luck!
As always, hit me up with any questions on Twitter @AndyMc81 using #AskAndy.
Keith Kirkwood, WR, NO vs. PHI ($3,300)This could be the value buy of the weekend right here folks. Kirkwood’s stat line doesn’t impress at just 213 yards on 13 receptions and a couple of touchdowns over eight games, but he is a rising star in the Saints offense.
The undrafted rookie took over primary slot receiver duties after being activated Nov. 11. Before resting in meaningless Week 17, he logged an average of 36 snaps in the previous two outings. Kirkwood boasts the perfect box out body type versus linebackers at 6-foot-3, 210 pounds with a 75 percent catch completion rate in December.
New Orleans hosts an Eagles defense rated 30th in DKFPS given up to WRs. Philadelphia will obviously need to focus its resources on containing Michael Thomas ($7,900), Alvin Kamara ($7,300), and to a lesser extent Ted Ginn Jr. ($4,400). That leaves Kirkwood flying under the radar and it’s not unusual for Drew Brees ($6,700) to utilize a lesser known receiver.
Nyheim Hines, RB, IND at KC ($3,300)All the attention in the Colts backfield gravitates towards Marlon Mack ($5,800) and his phenomenal last stretch of the season. Seems like an obvious play against the Chiefs second worst run defense, but for contrarian point purposes I’m rolling with his running back teammate Hines.
Indy’s 4th round pick in this past NFL Draft established himself as an exceptional pass-catching RB with 63-receptions and a combined four touchdowns between rushing and receiving. Hines’ fantasy relevance peaked over his first five games and flashed after that without consistency. He did register 10.4 and 14.3 DKFPS over Weeks 14 and 15.
However, the North Carolina State alum was held to only nine offensive snaps in the Wild Card victory over Houston because Mack was on such a roll. Hines is in line for a terrific bounce back opportunity. Breaking down Kansas City’s weaknesses versus running backs we see they’ve allowed the 5th most passing yards and are tied for first in most TDs through the air to the position.
The Chiefs must make slowing down Mack a priority, and that could result in Hines becoming a good looking check down target once again for Andrew Luck ($6,200). As a cheap RB2 or Flex selection to your lineup to spend big elsewhere, the rookie’s potential upside is worth it.
Chris Hogan, WR, NE vs. LAC ($3,900)Despite having high expectations in the Patriots receiving corps at the beginning of the season, Hogan’s 2018 has been a fantasy flop. He delivered double digit DKFP just five times in 16 games! The good news is that two of those came in the last three weeks.
Josh Gordon’s suspension frees up Tom Brady ($5,600) to get Hogan back into the fold as an option. A team best 11-targets for six catches in their Week 17 thrashing of the Jets suggests the chemistry the duo’s grown over the past three years is returning. Julian Edelman ($6,300) is the only other truly reliable receiver for Brady with Rob Gronkowski ($4,600) a shell of his former self and Cordarrelle Patterson ($3,500) more of a gimmick gadget player.
Hogan et al will face a tough Chargers defense that’s allowed the 7th fewest fantasy points to wideouts. Even so, the veteran WR should see his number called on a more regular basis, and can still produce chunk gains at an average 15.2-yards per reception. The ceiling is high, the price is low — Hogan is a smart buy for Sunday.
Blake Jarwin, TE, DAL at LAR ($3,400)Right off the bat, make sure you check Jarwin’s injury status before Saturday night’s kickoff. He’s not practicing to rest an injured ankle. If he does dress, Jarwin presents an amazing value for a starting tight end at this thin fantasy position group.
The 6-foot-5, 260-pound matchup nightmare’s target share has grown over the last five weeks with an average of about six passes coming his way over that time. Besides a monster three touchdown outburst in the regular season finale, Jarwin’s fantasy numbers won’t wow anyone. However, he’s got reliable hands and it’s certainly a good sign that Dak Prescott is working him in more.
It’s an ideal opponent for the 24-year old as the Rams are vulnerable to tight ends, ranked 24th in fantasy points allowed. If Jarwin cannot suit up then Dalton Schultz ($2,500) is next man up for Dallas at TE. That’s a real Hail Mary dart throw to your DK roster, and it’s probably best to look elsewhere.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is AndyMc81) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.