WATCH: Realistic Look at Josh Gordon’s Potential Fantasy Impact
Somehow we’re already onto Week 3 of the NFL season, and things are starting to take form. The Early Look will highlight salaries than jump out on this 13-game fantasy football slate.
It’s crucial to have all the latest lineup and injury news when constructing your lineups. Make sure you’re following @DKLive for every update, and also feel free to hit me up on Twitter with any comments or questions — @JulianEdlow.
Aaron Rodgers, GB at WAS, ($7,100) – Rodgers was faded by most for Week 2 with a tough matchup against the Vikings, but salvaged a decent day — 16 DKFP. The difference was primarily due to lack of scores, tossing just one TD. He’s back on the fantasy radar in Washington, but comes as the most expensive QB. While it’s not the easiest matchup, A-Rod is in position to have a good game here. With Tom Brady off the slate, he should have higher ownership despite nursing a sprained knee.
Patrick Mahomes, KC vs. SF ($7,000) – Mahomes has come out of the gates scorching hot, tossing 10 total touchdowns in his first two games. While both of those big games came as a road underdog, I still like him as a home favorite against the 49ers. San Francisco has been poor against the QB position this season, so rostering the hottest QB in the league against the Niners seems to make a lot of sense.
Jared Goff, LAR vs. LAC, ($5,900) – I just can’t figure out why Goff is so cheap in this spot. The Rams are averaging 33.5 points through two games, and even with just 13 points allowed on the season, Goff is still slinging the ball. He managed 22.36 DKFP in a 34-0 win over the Cardinals on Sunday, so he feels like a strong play against a Chargers team that should put up more of a fight, but stinks on defense.
Other value options: Matt Ryan ($5,700)
Alvin Kamara, NO at ATL ($9,500) – Kamara remains the most expensive player on the slate, despite a “down game” by his standards with just 17.9 DKFP in Week 2. His salary remains unchanged entering Week 3, which seems fair given the matchup at Atlanta. Kamara’s caught 15-of-18 targets this season, and the Falcons are notorious for letting RBs haul in receptions. Christian McCaffrey ($7,800) is fresh off 14 catches for over 100 yards in this matchup, giving Kamara a crazy-high ceiling in Week 3.
Todd Gurley, LAR vs. LAC, ($9,200) – Gurley put up big numbers against the Cardinals, but I’d rather go for the value QB in Goff for Week 3 than pay up for Gurley at RB. Three touchdowns saved Gurley’s day, keeping his salary high on this slate. In reality, he gained just 73 yards on 22 touches, so I’d rather find $300 more for Kamara, or look down to McCaffrey.
Phillip Lindsay, DEN at BAL, ($4,600) – While Denver seems to be sharing backfield work between Lindsay and Royce Freeman ($4,200), it appears Lindsay is the back in favor. Freeman got the goal-line work, as a touchdown saved his day, but Lindsay dominated the touches 15-8. He was significantly more active with the workload as well, gaining 111 total yards.
Other value options: Matt Beida ($5,400), Austin Eckler ($4,400), Corey Clement ($4,300)
Michael Thomas, NO at ATL, ($8,900) – So Thomas has been about as safe a WR play as you can find, which is new since last season. He’s been targeted an insane 30 times through two weeks, and displayed equal value in a shootout when the Saints scored 40 points and a grinder in which they scored 21. Averaging 37 DKFP thus far, Thomas is a great WR cash play with Antonio Brown off the slate.
Tyreek Hill, KC vs. SF, ($8,500) – Mahomes is for real, which makes a weapon like Hill extremely dangerous. That said, Hill has only been targeted 14 times through two games. His salary is up $2,000 since Week 1, which generally makes for an easy fade. While I wouldn’t qualify this as easy, I don’t think rostering Hill makes much sense this week. Obviously, he can go off for 40-50 DKFP, but that’s the case any week. Hill shouldn’t be the second-highest priced WR.
Cooper Kupp, LAR vs. LAC, ($4,900) – I don’t see much value early on for this slate at WR, but Kupp feels slightly underpriced. He has 13 touches through the first two games, and makes for a nice cheap stack with Goff. A matchup against the Chargers makes him a more attractive play to me, so the $600 price cut doesn’t make much sense.
Other value options: John Brown ($4,800), Dede Westbrook ($4,600), Mike Williams ($3,900)
Travis Kelce, KC vs. SF ($6,700) – No Gronk on this slate, but we still have some expensive TE options. I do like Zach Ertz ($6,800) as a play against Indy, but I just can’t justify putting him above Kelce. While Hill is overpriced, Kelce is not, mostly due to catching just 1-of-6 targets in Week 1. That won’t happen again, so plan for similar games to his 7-109-2 line against the Steelers.
George Kittle, SF at KC, ($4,500) – On the opposite side of the matchup, Kittle remains a strong value TE. His salary is on the rise after a poor outing, which complicates things, but maybe it gets us lower ownership. The Chiefs have a big-time offense, but defensively they’ve been carved up for 65 points through two games.
Other value options: Jared Cook ($4,000), Jack Doyle ($3,500)
Vikings D/ST vs. BUF, ($4,300) – This spot has been used to feature the team the Bills are playing against two weeks in a row, and that isn’t going to change until the Bills are off the main slate. The price tag is on the rise to target against them, but Buffalo will be playing on the road against one of the premier defensive teams in the league. I’ll pay up here if I can.
Broncos D/ST at BAL ($2,400) –This is just too cheap for a defense this good. Baltimore is a little overrated at the moment, as the 47 points they dropped in the opener against the Bills doesn’t carry any weight with me. This defense was able to sack Russell Wilson ($6,000) six times in Week 1, and we get a $1,200 discount from Week 2.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.