Another week is nearly in the books, but it’s never too soon to look ahead to Week 15. The schedule starts to change up at this point in the year, with two Saturday games following up a huge AFC showdown between the Chargers and Chiefs on Thursday night. The early Look will highlight salaries that jump out on this 11-game main slate.
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Russell Wilson, SEA at SF, $6,700 — The primetime games this week take away a ton of QB options: Patrick Mahomes, Philip Rivers, Deshaun Watson, Carson Wentz, Jared Goff, Cam Newton and Drew Brees. For that reason, we’re just focusing on one expensive QB and then a handful of values. After a rough first four games this season, Wilson’s been one of the most consistent QB options, scoring between 18-27 DKFP in each game (prior to Monday Night Football vs. Minnesota). He’s in another great spot in San Francisco.
Tom Brady, NE at PIT, $5,900 — The Patriots aren’t happy with the final results of Week 14 in Miami, but Brady’s fantasy owners had to be pleased with 29.6 DKFP. The Steelers rank ninth against the QB position, but they’ve been letting up production to some subpar players during this three-game losing streak. If the Patriots win out they can still get a bye in the AFC, and after this trip to Pittsburgh the schedule turns into home games against the Bills and Jets. The Pats know how badly they need this win, and I’d expect Brady to get a lot of points on the board in this one.
Josh Allen, BUF vs. DET, $5,800 — Welp, the rookie did it again. Allen’s rushing floor keeps him as one of the safest plays in fantasy right now, running it nine times for 101 yards and a touchdown against the Jets. Another 206 yards passing gave him 24.3 DKFP on the day. In three games since returning from injury, Allen’s line as a rusher is 31-335-2. Just keep rolling this against the Lions.
Other options — Lamar Jackson ($5,900), Derek Carr ($5,400), Nick Mullens ($4,800)
Saquon Barkley, NYG vs. TEN, $9,400 — The RB position is even more depleted than QB on this slate. Melvin Gordon, Spencer Ware, Lamar Miller, Nick Chubb, Phillip Lindsay, Todd Gurley, Alvin Kamara, Mark Ingram and Christian McCaffrey are all in primetime games. There are two clear-cut studs to target on this slate, and that starts with Barkley. The rookie ripped off an insane 170 yards and a touchdown on just 14 carries last week, adding on another four catches for 27 yards. He can be rostered in any matchup.
Ezekiel Elliott, DAL at IND, $9,000 — Zeke is the other top RB play, and he’s been rolling during the Cowboys’ hot streak. The bottom line is the addition of Amari Cooper ($7,500) changed the entire offense for Dallas, opening up the field for Elliott. Zeke’s averaging 29.8 DKFP since Cooper was inserted into the lineup, and we just saw him handle a whopping 40 touches against the Eagles. He’ll have another monster workload yet again in Week 15.
David Johnson, ARI at ATL, $7,100 — This isn’t conventional value, but there’s a lot that needs to shake out on this slate until it takes form. There are several value plays below that have the potential to see major roles in Week 15. But DJ deserves some hype here with the way the RB position continues to carve up the Falcons. Nobody’s allowed more DK points to RBs this season than Atlanta, and a lot of it comes in the passing game. Arizona’s been making an effort to get Johnson more involved in that aspect, evident by his 10 targets last week against the Lions. Somehow DJ’s eight catches resulted in only 12 yards, but that won’t be the case in this matchup.
Other options — Dalvin Cook ($6,500), Joe Mixon ($6,100), Jaylen Samuels ($5,200 — if James Conner is out), Derrick Henry ($5,000), Jeff Wilson ($4,600 — if Matt Breida is out), Gus Edwards ($4,400)
Antonio Brown, PIT vs. NE, $8,500 — I really like targeting this game, and I don’t mind if you have a preference between Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster ($8,000). JuJu’s topped 36 DKFP in two of his past three games, while Brown’s coming off his first real bust of the season. A bounce-back game seems in order for AB with a significant dip in salary, but both of these guys see so much volume they’re each viable plays alone or in a stack. The Pats rank 23rd against WRs this season, so containing two top WRs seems out of the question.
Amari Cooper, DAL at IND, $7,500 — Cooper went off for his second slate-breaking game since Thanksgiving, following up 41 DKFP against Washington with 52.7 DKFP against the Eagles. Dallas has been red-hot during this three game homestand, so I do expect things to get a bit more difficult finally going on the road. Indy ranks seventh in DKFP allowed to WRs this season, but the way this offense is clicking, you have to at least give consideration.
Dante Pettis, SF vs. SEA, $4,400 — Pettis had his third straight strong game at a discounted salary, and this matchup is one we already have seen him take advantage of. Hopefully more value opens up for us during the week because WR is very thin right now. But Pettis has seen seven targets in three straight games and has remained a starting WR even with the rest of the pass-catchers getting healthy. On those 21 targets, Pettis has a 12-255-4 line, including 129 yards and two scores against Seattle.
Other options — Larry Fitzgerald ($4,700), Robert Foster ($4,300), Jordy Nelson ($4,200)
George Kittle, SF vs. SEA, $6,300 — Even with Pettis getting some nice production, there was room for Kittle to have a historic game. His 7-210-1 line all came in the first half against Denver, but 37 DKFP is tough to complain about. He had a solid game with six catches for 70 yards the week before against Seattle. This is a high price tag for Kittle, and with other good TE plays I don’t think you need to overreact and lock him into your lineup. But Kittle’s ceiling keeps him in consideration, particularly with Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz off the slate.
Rob Gronkowski, NE at PIT, $5,800 — Gronk predictably had his best game of the season when he hit his lowest salary he’s EVER been on DraftKings. An 8-107-1 line was good for 27.7 DKFP, raising his salary $1,000 on us this week. I still think that’s fine in this matchup against Pittsburgh. Gronk has crushed this matchup in the past, and Pittsburgh ranks just 23rd against TEs this season. I’m kicking myself for not going to a Brady/Gronk stack last week, but I think we’re in a good spot to give it a try this week as well.
Other options — Jared Cook ($5,600), C.J. Uzomah ($3,600), Kyle Rudolph ($3,500)
Jaguars D/ST, $3,400 — Mark Sanchez ($4,200) lost his job for Washington last week … that didn’t last long! Newly signed Josh Johnson ($4,300) will be the man facing Jacksonville after coming on in relief and scoring 25.3 DKFP. While the numbers were nice, remember: His team was getting destroyed, so these numbers came in garbage time and to a defense that hadn’t prepared for him. Things are going to get much tougher on Johnson in Week 15.
Redskins D/ST, $2,400 — If you watched Thursday Night Football, you know the Jaguars wound up with nine points, and it easily could’ve been zero. Washington has a good defense, so expect this one to be a grind-fest.
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