Here are five player props that standout to me on this weekend’s four-game Wild Card slate. All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
LAMAR JACKSON: 67.5 RUSHING YARDS
Jackson’s completely turned around Baltimore’s rushing offense since taking over as the starting QB, failing to rush for 67 or more yards in just one of his seven starts. It’s worth mentioning that outlier did occur two weeks ago on the road against the Chargers, but Jackson’s been on a whole different level at home. In his four home starts, the rookie is averaging 18.75 carries for a whopping 93.75 yards. Look for that success to translate to the postseason.
ALSHON JEFFERY: 55.5 RECEIVING YARDS
People might be afraid to target anything against the Chicago defense at home, and while the premise makes sense, Philadelphia has to gain some yardage somewhere. I love the Bears overall in this game, but they are the best in the league at limiting the opposing RB and TE, which leaves teams to target WRs on the outside. Jeffery’s racked up 301 yards in the past three games with Nick Foles at QB, and should see a solid amount of targets in this game given it’s the best matchup the Eagles have on offense and the game script suggests they’ll be playing from behind.
TO SCORE A FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME
ERIC EBRON (+1000)
With just four games to work with, we can take some bigger risks. Bigger risks mean much larger payouts, but you also want to make sure to play the first touchdown of the game wagers smaller than you would a normal wager. Ebron scored 14 total touchdowns on the season, including one in each game against Houston. He can be had at +125 to score at anytime in this game, but 10:1 odds to be the first to reach the end zone sounds too juicy to pass up. For comparison, Ezekiel Elliott scored nine touchdowns this season and is +375 to score first in his game.
ANDREW LUCK: 295.5 PASSING YARDS
The odds on this one are for a lesser payout than most yardage player props, but it’s because the public is hammering a number that’s just way too low here. Under 300 yards?? Luck averaged 431.5 passing yards in two games against Houston this season. I think we all expect Luck to be slinging the ball in this game, leaving this number set far below what we expected.
EZEKIEL ELLIOTT: 91.5 RUSHING YARDS
Seattle has its reputation on the defensive side of the ball, but they actually finished the season ranking below average against the rush after getting shredded late in the season. Zeke averaged seven more yards per game on the ground at home this season, and this game will be played in Dallas — where he averaged 99 rushing yards in eight games. Dallas will look to lean on its best player in this game, particularly after he dominated this Seahawks defense in Seattle back in Week 3, ripping off 127 yards on just 16 carries.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.