DraftKings Fantasy Football Week 9: Early Look At Player Pricing

EDITOR’S UPDATE: Per multiple reports, Texans QB Deshaun Watson suffered a torn ACL in practice Thursday and will miss the remainder of the season.

EDITOR’S UPDATE: Ezekiel Elliott was granted a temporary stay request by the Second Circuit Court. He is now eligible to play on Sunday against the Chiefs.

WATCH: PRICE CHECK WEEK 9


Midseason is here! And that also means the NFL trade deadline, which already has taken us for a spin. Jimmy Garoppolo is a 49er, Jay Ajayi is an Eagle and Kelvin Benjamin is a Bill, to name a few changes. Here’s an early look at what pops out to me from Week 9’s 10-game main slate.

Hit me up on Twitter with comments or questions @julianedlow.

Quarterbacks

Expensive

EDITOR’S UPDATE: Per multiple reports, Texans QB Deshaun Watson suffered a torn ACL in practice Thursday and will miss the remainder of the season.

Deshaun Watson ($8,100) – If there was a time for the rookie to revert from his recent magic, it was Week 8 in Seattle. He did just the opposite, tossing for 402 yards and four touchdowns through the air, and gaining another 67 yards with his legs — totaling 38.78 DKFP. This kid is legit, no more questions asked. Now the most expensive QB on the slate by $800, you’ll have to pay up for him against a team in the Colts that’s ranked 29th vs. QBs. A huge week is in order, but so is all the hype. Russell Wilson ($7,300) is nearly as hot and could be a nice pivot play for lower ownership in tournaments, as well as a way to save some salary.

Drew Brees ($7,000) – Brees was $7K at home last week and laid an egg. That could move some people off him entering the same exact situation this week, only this time instead of playing against the sixth-ranked defense vs. QBs, he’ll be facing the 27th ranked Tampa Buccaneers. Brees’ salary should’ve been on the rise this week, as he’s in position for a breakout game at home at some point. This matchup dictates the potential for an explosion.

Value

Carson Wentz ($6,100) – Wentz would win the MVP if it were handed out halfway through the season, posting a 2,063-19-5 line through Philly’s 7-1 start. The matchup against Denver is tough, but Wentz has come down $1.1K in salary and is still playing at home. The Broncos’ all-mighty D has slipped down to 10th vs. QBs, so against someone as good as Wentz has been, I’m not afraid to give him a shot in tournaments.

Other Value Options – Jacoby Brissett ($5,200), Trevor Siemian ($4,700)/Brock Osweiler ($4,500)


Running Backs

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Expensive

Kareem Hunt ($8,600) – It looks like Ezekiel Elliott ($9,000) probably, maybe, potentially is going to finally face a suspension this week, which would make Hunt the most expensive RB on the slate. Frankly, I like this spot for Hunt, even though he’s essentially seen his DKFP total come down each game since Week 1. Failing to top 20 DKFP in his last five games and coming off a 9.8 DKFP dud, this is a spot he could go overlooked. However, he’s up against a Dallas defense that ranks 21st vs. RBs. Not to mention if Zeke is indeed out on the other side of the matchup, the Chiefs will have a much better shot at gaining the lead and using Hunt to control the clock. Things can only go up for the rookie from here.

Mark Ingram ($7,600) – After a disappointing first four weeks, Ingram has come out of the bye week and put forward three straight strong performances (34/24/20 DKFP in that order). Even with the rookie Alvin Kamara ($6,300) contributing, and a viable play himself, Ingram’s been the clear-cut lead back. Ingram’s totaled 80 touches over that three-game stretch, giving him a very high floor. He’s as safe a play as you can find against Tampa’s 23rd ranked defense vs. RBs.

Value

Adrian Peterson ($5,600) – After breaking out for a 28.4 DKFP game in his debut for the Cardinals, AP laid an egg in Week 7 with 4.3 DKFP against one of the worst defenses vs. RBs in the league (LAR). Now after a bye week, the hype on Peterson will have cooled off, as Arizona prepares to take on the 49ers’ league-worst defense vs. RBs with Drew Stanton ($4,700) expected to start at QB. This is a great spot for Peterson to have another fantasy explosion. Meanwhile, whoever ends up starting for Zeke will be a big storyline and another place to target value in Week 9.

Other Value Options – Darren McFadden/Alfred Morris ($5,500), Alex Collins ($4,600), Marlon Mack ($4,100), Orleans Darkwa ($3,800)


Wide Receivers

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Expensive

DeAndre Hopkins ($9,200)/Will Fuller ($7,000) – The production from Watson hasn’t been spread around or difficult to project — it’s all come from his two stud WRs. Hopkins has scored 27+ DKFP in three of the last four weeks, garnering 11+ targets in each of those games. It culminated in his 8-224-1 line, marking his sixth trip to the end zone in the last four games. Fuller has been remarkable in his four games this season, virtually learning to play with Watson on the fly. He’s posted 13 catches (on 22 targets) for 279 yards and a whopping seven touchdowns. These guys are red-hot and very expensive, but the matchup should be productive.

Mike Evans ($7,700) – Evans is in a nice spot given the situation playing in New Orleans. The Saints’ defense has stepped up big-time in the last five games after a terrible start, but this is a good spot for Brees, which means it should be a spot for the Bucs to be playing catchup. Having scored 10+ DKFP in every game this season, Evans has a pretty safe floor and has a ceiling we’ve yet to see this season.

Value

Jamison Crowder ($4,900) – Washington has had a really tough time finding reliable pass catchers at any position, with RB actually being the most productive. Jordan Reed ($4,800) flashed, and then predictably went down. Terrelle Pryor ($4,100) has taken an unexpected backseat in this offense, and the talented Josh Doctson ($4,400) hasn’t done much more with the role. Both have been extremely frustrating, but Kirk Cousins ($5,700) finally found trust in Crowder in Week 8, going for 9-123-0 on 13 targets (25.5 DKFP). Look for the chemistry to continue in Seattle, particularly if Reed is indeed out.

Other Value Options – Mohamed Sanu ($5,300), T.Y Hilton ($4,900), Paul Richardson ($4,700)


Tight Ends

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Expensive

Zach Ertz ($6,800) – When it comes to TE, Ertz has been Mr. Reliable through the first half of the season, posting a 53-528-6 line, and never having fewer than 13.1 DKFP in a game. The matchup with Denver may scare some away, but this stout Broncos’ D ranks just 30th against the position — their clear weakness. Evan Engram ($5,600) is in a much tougher matchup, but is the only option for the Giants in the passing game, and is coming out of a bye where he had the chance to really put some work in to improve his rookie campaign.

Value

Jack Doyle ($4,300) Doyle is Brissett’s security blanket, and wow has he been relying on it. Doyle posted an eye-popping 12-121-1 line (33.1 DKFP) in Week 8 on 14 targets, his third consecutive week with 10+ DKFP. He’s much too underpriced on this slate against Houston, while some cheaper breakout options in fantastic matchups are listed below for you.

Other Value Options – Cameron Brate ($4,500), A.J. Derby ($2,900), Tyler Higbee ($2,800)


Defense/Special Teams

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Expensive

Jaguars DST ($3,800) – The Jags are the cream of the crop when it comes to fantasy DST. They’re averaging 15.3 DKFP, and that includes a Week 2 dud when they scored in the negatives. With 20+ DKFP on three occasions and 15+ DKFP in three of their last four outings, you know you’re getting big play potential here. The lackluster Cincinnati offense doesn’t pose much of a threat in Jacksonville.

Value

Ravens DST ($2,900) – The Ravens are another big-play, high upside DST that you can find on the other side of $3K. They also have three games with 20+ DKFP and have topped 12 DKFP in three of their last four. That’s rare upside at this price, and although they’re playing in Tennessee, Marcus Mariota ($6,000) still hasn’t proven his health to us yet.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.