Alvin Kamara

Week 12 is approaching and so is the last week of byes. The Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers and Vikings are the last teams to take their required rest, but as always, we’ll trek through the trenches and project which tailbacks will get the touches and targets in their matchups necessary for us to succeed. Enough postulating and postering (and enough alliterations), let’s get to it.




STUDS

Alvin Kamara, CAR at NO, $8,200

At the risk of being repetitive and rehashing the same reasons why you should play Christian McCaffrey ($10,500), we’re starting with Kamara going up against the Carolina Panthers, a team that has given up the fifth-most fantasy points to the running back position. His 10 catches last week should continue, and he is a fantastic play, even with Murray getting touches in this offense. Click.

Projections

Rushing: 15 attempts
Receiving: 9 Targets; 7 Receptions
Total: 22 Touches




Ezekiel Elliott, DAL at NE, $7,500

This is a sneaky good opportunity for Elliott, even though he’s getting a New England defense that’s giving up just 97 rushing yards per game to the running back position. We’ve now seen other RBs like Nick Chubb ($8,100) and Mark Ingram gain over 100-plus yards in the last few weeks, and according to PFF.com, the Patriots are allowing the 10th-most yards per attempt and fourth-most yards after contact per attempt. The Cowboys’ offensive line measures up well against the Patriots’ defensive line, which ranks middle of the pack in adjusted line yards. Elliott could go unnoticed, making him a solid consideration in GPPs this week.

Projections

Rushing: 17 attempts
Receiving: 6 Targets; 5 Receptions
Total: 22 Touches




Jaylen Samuels, PIT at CIN, $7,200

His high price tag lends us to believe James Conner’s status is in doubt for Sunday’s tilt against the Bengals. It’s a great spot for whoever the lead Steelers’ back is going to be. Samuels’ ceiling will be capped if Conner is active, but his value is still great getting a Cincinnati run defense who’s now given up 29.1 DKFP/game to opposing backfields. The Steelers would be smart to rest all their starters that are questionable going up against the winless Bengals.

Projections

Rushing: 17 attempts
Receiving: 9 Targets; 7 Receptions
Total: 24 Touches




VALUES

Derrick Henry, TEN v. JAX, $6,900

Henry is again coming off a huge Week 10 (bye last week) against the Chiefs in which he scampered for close to 200 yards rushing and two touchdowns. The good times keep on rolling as he’ll get the Jaguars, who just allowed two rushers in the Colts’ backfield to go for over 100 yards in Marlon Mack (hand), who did it in three quarters, and Jonathan Williams who achieved it on 13 carries. Henry’s average snap share over his last four games has been 66.5 %, better than what we initially expected in this offense.

Projections

Rushing: 21 attempts
Receiving: 2 Targets; 1 Receptions
Total: 22 Touches


David Montgomery, CHI v. NYG, $5,500

His ankle injury, his poor performance and his price increase should keep Montgomery’s ownership low in a great matchup against the Giants, who’ve given up just under 123 rushing yards per game this season. He’s averaging 17 opportunities (touches + targets) per game over his last three contests and should be in line for more work this Sunday.

Projections

Rushing: 15 Attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 18 Touches




James White, NE v. DAL, $5,300

The Patriots’ backfield is a mess. Sony Michel ($4,600) hasn’t eclipsed eight DKFP in his last three games and hasn’t led the backfield in snaps since Week 6. The Cowboys’ run defense kept both Dalvin Cook at 3.7 yards per carry and Saquon Barkley ($7,900) to only 28 rushing yards, but has also allowed both to have success as receivers. White is averaging seven targets per game at home and should continue to see this type of production with no other Patriots pass-catcher giving us, or Tom Brady ($6,000), any sort of confidence.

Projections

Rushing: 5 attempts
Receiving: 9 Targets; 8 Receptions
Total: 13 Touches




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