Gus Edwards

The 2019 regular season draws to a close this Sunday with an unusually evenly distributed Sunday afternoon schedule with 15 games on the fantasy football slate. Only eight of those games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET with seven late games starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, including most of the games with playoff implications. The only two teams not in the player pool this week are the 49ers and the Seahawks, who will meet in the final regular-season matchup on Sunday Night Football.

Week 17 is always a wild one for fantasy football with some big names resting, some teams with nothing to play for, and other value plays getting heavy workloads after minimal involvement all season. You’ll want to stay locked into the DK Live app and live.draftkings.com for all the latest news, since the landscape will likely continue to shift up until kickoff. There is, however, plenty of great value to be found, so let’s take a look at the final week of my bargain plays for the 2019 regular season.

QUARTERBACK

($6,000 and under)

Tom Brady, NE vs. MIA, $6,000 – The first time the Patriots played the Dolphins this season was the one game this season when Brady was working with Antonio Brown and Josh Gordon and people were talking about an undefeated season. Since then, though, things have been rough for Brady, who has reached 20 DKFP just one time in his past nine games after hitting that mark in five of his first six games, including his 24.66 DKFP against Miami. Brady is worth a look this week, though, after a strong performance last Saturday against the Bills, in which he completed a season-high 78.8% of his passes for 271 yards, a touchdown and 17.24 DKFP. The Bills’ defense again proved to be a solid unit, but Brady showed enough precision and creativity to still put up good totals. This week, he’ll get a much more fantasy-friendly matchup against the Dolphins, who gave up 37.84 DKFP to Andy Dalton last week. The Patriots need a win to lock up the No. 2 seed and a much-needed bye week, so look for Bill Belichick to let Brady play significant time while trying to get the offense in rhythm for the playoffs.

Case Keenum, WAS at DAL, $4,500 – Keenum opened the season as the Redskins starting QB, and he’ll finish the season with his first start since Week 8 after rookie Dwayne Haskins Jr. (ankle) was ruled out for the season finale. Keenum entered after Haskins’ injury against the Giants last week and threw for 158 yards and a touchdown while also running for a score to finish with 16.42 DKFP. He had a similar 16.74 DKFP against the Cowboys back in Week 2 and actually has posted decent numbers in most of his starts this season. The Redskins have some pretty solid receiving options in a passing game considered to be on the rise, and the Cowboys are limping to the finish of a disappointing season. It could be a great place to go ultra-cheap at QB and be able to pay up for stars at other spots.


RUNNING BACK

($5,000 and under)

Gus Edwards, BAL vs. PIT, $4,800 – It’s time to hop on board the Gus bus for the final week of the season for the Ravens since Mark Ingram (calf) will get some rest before their postseason run. Edwards handled the majority of the work last week after Ingram departed but lost the touchdown to speedy rookie Justice Hill ($4,600), who also has some nice potential in what is expected to be a timeshare this week against Pittsburgh. Edwards is the better option since the workload will likely tilt his direction and he has performed well when given extra work earlier this season. In his most recent three games in which he has at least eight carries, Edwards had 66 yards on 12 carries last week, 55 yards on 14 carries in Week 12 against the Rams and 112 yards on eight carries against the Texans. There is a risk that the Ravens will rest Edwards some, too, and give more work to Hill, and the Baltimore offense may be a shell of itself without Lamar Jackson (rest), but Edwards has a high enough ceiling to definitely be worth a look under $5K.

Damien Williams, KC vs. LAC, $4,700 – Williams was clearly the Chiefs’ lead back on Sunday Night Football against the Bears, and LeSean McCoy ($4,200) even was even left as a healthy scratch. Williams showed no signs of a rib injury that sidelined him since Week 11 and ran for 65 yards on 16 carries while catching all three of his targets for 27 yards and a touchdown. He finished with 18.2 DKFP and has produced over 14 DKFP in each of his past three complete games. He was hurt in Week 11 against the Chargers and will face them again this week as the Chiefs try to play their way into the No. 2 seed. While Los Angeles has a solid pass defense, they have been beatable on the ground, so Williams has some great upside if he’s the lead back for Kansas City again this week.


WIDE RECEIVER

($5,000 and under)

Steven Sims Jr., WAS at DAL, $4,700 – The Redskins offense hasn’t been a happy place for fantasy owners this season, but there have been some positive signs over the past few weeks for the passing game. Before his injury, Haskins was looking pretty solid, and Terry McLaurin ($6,100) has established himself as one of the best rising WRs in the game. Late in the season, Washington seems to have found another piece in speedy slot man Steven Sims, an undrafted rookie out of Kansas. Sims had five catches for 45 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles in Week 15 for 15.5 DKFP and followed that with a monster 25.3 DKFP last week against the Giants, catching 6-of-10 targets for 64 yards and two touchdowns while also picking up nine yards on two carries. The carries show how involved he is in the gameplan, and that shouldn’t change with Keenum at QB. Sims caught one of his touchdowns from Keenum, so he should stay a good value this week against a Dallas secondary that has shown it can be beat over the middle.

Kenny Stills, HOU vs. TEN, $4,600 – Since Will Fuller V ($5,200; groin) can’t stay healthy, it’s a good thing the Texans have a solid fallback option in Stills. He actually led the team with 57 yards receiving on five catches for 10.7 DKFP on Saturday against the Bucs, and will likely be the team’s No. 2 WR for this week’s game, as well. Stills has double-digit DKFP in three of the past four games and caught two touchdowns against the Titans in Week 15. He’ll look to continue his success against Tennessee as the Texans try to improve their seeding and hurt the Titans’ playoff hopes with a win this week.

Hunter Renfrow, OAK at DEN, $4,500 – Renfrow returned from a three-week layoff with a rib injury to post the best game of his rookie season against the Chargers in Week 16. He caught 7-of-9 targets for 107 yards, setting career bests in catches, targets and yards and getting into the end zone as well for an impressive 26.7 DKFP. Renfrow is establishing himself as a nice piece to build around next year in Oakland’s offense and will also try to help his team make a playoff push if things go their way.

DaeSean Hamilton, DEN vs. OAK, $3,800 – Hamilton made a splash at the end of last season but couldn’t get anything going for most of his second year in the league. However, he has surged back into relevancy over the past few weeks and shown off a nice connection with new Broncos’ QB Drew Lock ($5,800), who has been one of my favorite late-season plays. Hamilton was targeted nine times in Week 15 but still only had 3.3 DKFP, but he stepped up last week as one of my value plays and hauled in all six of his targets for 65 yards, a touchdown and 18.5 DKFP. Hamilton and Lock will look to keep building and growing as they look to getting the Broncos’ offense back on track for next season.


TIGHT END

($4,000 and under)

Mike Gesicki, MIA at NE, $4,000 – Gesicki has stepped into a much larger role in the Miami offense over the past few weeks and has been targeted an average of eight times per game over his past four contests. He had a season-high 12 targets against the Bengals last week and hauled in six catches for 82 yards, two touchdowns and 26.2 DKFP. His high volume and four touchdowns in his past five games are enough to make him a solid play at $4K against a Patriots’ defense that has shut down WRs well but sometimes struggled against TEs.

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. CLE, $3,400 – Eifert has totaled over 40 yards receiving in each of the past three games and definitely benefits from Dalton being back under center for Cincinnati. He had four catches for 57 yards, a touchdown and 17.7 DKFP against Gesicki and the Dolphins on Sunday and will look to finish the season strong with a matchup against his in-state rivals from Cleveland. Eifert had four catches for 49 yards and 8.9 DKFP against the Browns in Week 14.


DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

($2,800 and under)

TEN at HOU, $2,800 – The Tennessee defense held the Saints in check for a while on Sunday but ultimately fell apart and allowed 38 points to finish with -1.0 DKFP. The unit is still a solid one overall, though, and has been especially strong on the road. The Titans have at least 10 DKFP in each of their past two road games and have totaled 12 sacks, seven takeaways and two defensive touchdowns in their past five contests. They’re in a win-and-get-in spot against the Texans, so look for them to pull out all the stops against an inconsistent Houston offense that will likely be without their vertical element in Fuller.

ARI at LAR, $2,400 – The Rams have been eliminated from the playoffs and have nothing to play for as they host the Cardinals, who played spoiler last week in knocking off the Seahawks in Seattle. Arizona’s defense had five sacks, a fumble recovery and 11 DKFP in that contest and will look to finish the season on a high note with back-to-back road upsets in the division.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.