We wrap up the month of November with an eight game slate. Let’s jump right into some of tonight’s targets.
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Russell Westbrook ($10,600) – Westbrook’s price has fallen below $11,000 and that’s because Kevin Durant is back. In the three games since Durant has returned, Westbrook is averaging just 42.75, which is not what you want from a player you pay top dollar for. However, he did top 60 fantasy points once. Let’s face it, he stuffs the stat sheet and is always a threat for a triple-double. This game has one of the highest totals of the evening at 211.5 points and the Thunder has an implied point total of 106.75 points. The game pace should favor Westbrook and especially against a team that struggles to defend well against opposing point guards. The Hawks surrender the third most fantasy points per game to point guards (53.5).
Chris Paul ($8,700) – Paul hasn’t been as consistent as we are accustomed to, but he’s shown that he still has a 50+ fantasy point ceiling. Tonight he faces off against Damian Lillard who is not known for his defensive skills. Paul is averaging 37.9 fantasy points per game, but has topped 39 fantasy points in four of his last five games. He has two double-doubles in that span, and has missed a double-double in the three other games by two assists or less. Portland surrenders 48.5 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. The over/under in this game is 206 points and the Clippers have an implied point total of 106.5 points. I’ll take a talent such as Paul’s under $9,000 almost always, especially in a plus matchup with a high over/under.
Deron Williams ($6,100) – Williams has continued to play well as of late and has seen a higher than normal usage rate. Tonight he faces off against the Kings who surrender the eighth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (51.8). Williams has topped 34 fantasy points in four of his last five games, including a 49 fantasy point game. This game has the highest total of tonight’s slate at 213.5 points and the Mavs have an implied point total of 107.5 points. His price a very affordable and the matchup is great. He is someone you might want to construct your lineups around.
Kevin Durant ($9,900) – Durant has scored 27 or more points in his last three games and has topped 50 fantasy points in two of those games. He’s averaging 50.5 fantasy points in his last 10 games played. This is a good spot to roster Durant as he is playing well, priced under $10,000, and has a relatively good matchup ahead of him with a high over/under. This game has one of the highest totals of the evening at 211.5 points and the Thunder has an implied point total of 106.75 points.
Kawhi Leonard ($8,600) – What we’ve seen from Leonard this season has been mind blowing. He just keeps getting better and better. Leonard has topped 48 fantasy points in three of his last four games. He pretty much contributes to every category and will score 20+ points per game. The Bulls have surrendered over 40 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards in their last 10 games. The Spurs have an implied point total of 97 points, which is lower than I’d normally want when rostering a player, but Leonard offers a 55+ fantasy points ceiling which is something that can’t be said about many sub $9,000 salaried players. He makes a very good tournament play.
Dirk Nowitzki ($6,400) – Dirk has played better this season when the Mavs are favored and tonight they are favored on the road. This game has the highest total of tonight’s slate at 213.5 points and the Mavs have an implied point total of 107.5 points. The Kings surrender the third most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards (50.7) and have surrendered 53.2 fantasy points per game in their last five games. Nowitzki has topped 30 fantasy points in six of his last seven starts. He’s reasonably priced and most of the time he’s low owned.
Andre Drummond ($8,900) – Drummond is always in play because of the ceiling he provides. He averages 18.1 points, 17.2 boards, and 1.5 blocks per game. He has topped 50 fantasy points in three of his last seven games. He is pretty much a guaranteed double-double and has 20 rebound potential anytime he is on the court. He’s proved he can bang the boards with the best of them, as he grabbed 20 rebounds against Miami last week, so this matchup against Dwight Howard isn’t one to be concerned about. The Rockets are surrendering 50.6 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in the last 10 games and are allowing 45.8 rebounds per game with a -1.9 differential.
Tim Duncan ($6,000) – Duncan had a big performance on Saturday against the Hawks as he grabbed 18 boards. He now faces off against the Bulls who are surrendering the most rebounds per game (49.9). Duncan has topped 40 fantasy points in three of his last six starts and has three double-doubles in that span. The Bulls surrender the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing centers (51.8), but have actually surrendered over 56 fantasy points per game in their last 10 games. He’s reasonably priced and has one of the best matchups a center can ask for.
Hassan Whiteside ($8,000) – Whiteside should eat against an undersized Celtics front court tonight. Boston is allowing the 10th most rebounds per game (45.3) and has a -1.1 differential. Opposing centers are averaging over 49 fantasy points per game against the Celtics in their last 10 games. Whiteside is averaging an absurdly high 4.8 blocks per game to go along with his 14 points and 11.4 rebounds. He has 50+ fantasy point upside and is pretty much a lock for the double-double bonus.