In tournaments it’s vital to find plays that contain both upside and the potential to be overlooked by the public. Take two players that are priced at $8,100 and projected for similar output. If one is 33% drafted and the other is 5%, you want to take the 5% player every time. When he outscores the higher drafted player (which will happen often), you’re passing 27% of the field with that play. That’s a very good thing. Below are a few plays from tonight’s games that fit that mold.
Jordan Clarkson ($6,000) – Clarkson’s backcourt mate, D’Angelo Russell might be the heaviest owned player on the slate tonight. Due to several other strong guard plays in the same price range and the return of Kobe Bryant, Clarkson is going to go largely overlooked. Lou Williams is out so Clarkson’s minutes should safely be in the mid-30s. Clarkson has played very well lately, averaging 32 fp over his last 10 games. The return of Kobe doesn’t bother me. It’s a perfect letdown spot for D’Angelo and hopefully Clarkson will steal his production. He’s maybe my favorite tournament play of the night.
Mario Hezonja ($3,700) – Hezonja comes with a lot of risk. Two games ago he moved into the starting lineup to replace Fournier. He has not delivered due to his shot being off but mostly to foul trouble. Last night he was eventually benched and only played 15 minutes. Unfortunately, Scott Skiles won’t hesitate to do that again. That being said, I think tonight is a great bounce back spot. He will matchup with Mike Dunleavy and Doug McDermott. They’re unlikely to get him in foul trouble and he can stick with them on the defensive end. The Bulls defense is in a tailspin. If Hezonja is going to get on track, tonight is the night.
Andrew Wiggins ($6,300) – We’ve seen a convergence of Wiggins’ and Zach Lavine’s price to the point that they are only $800 apart. I expect Lavine to be a popular play tonight. The Timberwolves find themselves in an elite game environment in what is projected to be a very fast and competitive game at home against the Wizards. The Wizards have been very susceptible on the wing. Wiggins doesn’t do a ton other than score, but he’s capable of being an elite scorer on any given night. Spend up over Lavine and hope Wiggins’ shot is falling.
Aaron Gordon ($6,900) – I love all of the Magic tonight. They left a lot of people with a sour taste in their mouth last night. Tonight they get an elite spot. Only the Lakers have given up more fantasy points than the Bulls over the last 10 games. Taj Gibson is doubtful which only ripens the spot for Gordon. He should feast on Portis and anyone else Hoiberg throws out at the 4. Ignore last night and look for Gordon to return to low to mid 30s minutes.
Robert Covington ($5,500) – Covington really squandered an ideal opportunity last game. Jahlil Okafor and Hollis Thompson were both out. Okafor paved the way for an increase in usage and Thompson solidified his minutes. Bob’s shot was not falling and he got in foul trouble, eventually fouling out with 6 min left. He was on pace to play 38 minutes. Thompson and Okafor are both questionable tonight. If they are out, fire up Covington. He’s a great pivot from the $6.1k Trevor Ariza, who will be very popular.
Check Out Tonight’s Top Forwards
Kenneth Faried ($6,200) – The spot couldn’t be any better for Faried. It is perfection. First, Faried’s minutes are trending up with Gallinari out for a prolonged period. Gallo usually played 10-15 minutes at the 4. We’ll see Faried in the upper 20’s on most nights opposed going forward. Faried has big home/road splits for his career and he’s at home tonight. He’ll be playing in a sloppy/up-tempo game against Lakers. He will be able to get some easy buckets in transition. Lastly, he was listed as questionable all morning which will likely scare people off. He says he’s good to go. It’s a phenomenal opportunity to get Faried at very low ownership.
Pau Gasol ($8,700) – What does Gasol need to do to get some respect? Since Jimmy Butler went down, the offense has run through Gasol and Rose. Gasol had a triple double two games ago and has flirted with one on several other occasions. He’s very involved and that gives him an incredibly high floor. He’s flashed elite upside as well scoring as much as 74 fp when he triple-doubled. He will be able to work Vucevic and the Magic in the post.
Nikola Jokic ($5,600) – Jokic is very risky. His minutes have been all over the place. He’s ranged from 4 to 30 minutes over the past 10 games. The good news is he’s producing at an elite level while on the court. Over his last 5 games he’s averaged 1.5 fantasy points for minutes. That’s very, very good. He gets an exceptional matchup with the Lakers and it’s unlikely Hibbert will get him in foul trouble. If he can approach 30 minute he’s going to shatter expectations.