Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a think, juicy ten-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
John Wall ($9,400) – Nobody wants to roster John Wall tonight. Not at 9.4K, not against Toronto. But, consider that his last game in Toronto spawned a 56.75 game, he is at home and there is still no Bradley Beal to share usage and Wall is still in a great spot, only with less people wanting to roster him.
Victor Oladipo ($6,600) – There will be a lot of people on Kyrie Irving, who I like, too, so to pivot slightly we’ll took towards Oladipo pinch-hitting at the PG position for Elfrid Payton. Point ‘Dipo started slow his last time out but came on strong and now he has a favorable matchup against the Brooklyn Nets and the Shane Larkin/Donald Sloan effort. Oladipo has a lot of places to do some damage tonight running the point with Vucevic inside and Harris, Fournier taking advantage of their matchups.
Mario Chalmers ($4,600) – It may too chalky of a pick for this slate, but the value is very strong with Mike Conley doubtful tonight and it’s unlikely that so many folks will be on him that it’s not playable. But you do need some exposure to him, even in tourneys, due to his high usage and production in his last game against OKC with Mike Conley out (52 DK pts).
Anthony Davis ($10,600) – He’ll never be low owned but there are plenty of people who don’t want to roster him so that, plus his ceiling, puts him in tournament territory every time he’s healthy. Davis has a good matchup against the like of Jordan Hill, Lavoy Allen, Ian Mahinmi, et al and a solid game and team total to boot.
Kevin Love ($7,200) – With all eyes on Kyrie and a sub-10K LeBron, Love may go overlooked at his 7.2K salary. Love heads back to Minnesota which is always a good narrative to follow if you are into that, but he also meets with a positive matchup at the PF position and a good production record to go for 35-45 DK points.
Tony Allen ($3,800) – He’s been getting more minutes lately and has a positive matchup against rotational mess that is the Denver Nuggets. Allen is averaging 32 minutes per game over his last four and the backcourt in Memphis is a little more thin with both Conley and Courtney Lee doubtful to play.
Brook Lopez ($7,900) – Lopez destroyed the Magic his last time out against them (62.25 on 12/30) and the Nets have seemed to figure out that they need to start, finish and everywhere in between with BroLo now that Jarrett Jack is out for the season. At 7.9K, folks may not want to pay up all the way to the top to get him, as it always is with centers, so there may be a wee bit of edge there.
Enes Kanter ($4,700) – He’s not below 4K and he’s not starting. That’s why his ownership won’t be high but he cleaned up the fourth quarter against the so very weak Lakers frontcourt the last time out and he’ll be poised to do it again in a game that OKC is favored to win by 14.5 over Los Angeles.
Boban Marjanovic ($3,300) – Boban is a tourney play of tourney plays, one which you’ll sweat out all the way into the second half. But, once he’s in, he produces a ton of fantasy points in his short time. Boban has averaged 15.3 DK points over 10 minutes his last four games, but in the games where the Spurs have blown out, he’s produced 25.5 (PHX) and 23.8 (UTAH). The Knicks aren’t pushovers this year, but the Spurs are still 14 point favorites and they are at home. If you dare, he’ll be a fun sweat down the stretch.