Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a honey of a nine-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Damian Lillard ($9,300) – People are going to be laser-focused on HOU/OKC tonight. I mean, sharks with lasers on them focused, so while there should be a tourney lineup that features that epic tale, you should have one with regular tourney plays, like Lillard, who has the accommodating Hornets in his house with the Damian Lillard Snub Game written all over it. Oh, and he’s over 30% usage and the Hornets are a plus target for opposing PGs. Feel his rage and capitalize on it.
Kyrie Irving ($6,400)- I will be on the front end of the Kyrie Irving/Tyronn Lue We’re Serious About Playing Faster phase of the DFS season. This game will be largely ignored and Irving is a tremendous tournament play coming off a blowout of PHX and minutes suppressed stats therein. Irving has 28.5% Usage rate over his last ten games. It will happen, I keep telling myself.
Jerian Grant ($3,100) – I played waaaaay too little Grant last night as Calderon was called off and regretted it immediately. Grant scored 30+ DK points in 24-25 minutes and is a sweet play against the Suns. It’s a game too late for super low ownership, but I think you can still steal a deal here tonight.
LeBron James ($9,700) – Yeaaah, my man LeBron. For $400 more Kevin Durant sits in that game against Houston, which is where the peoples will be. So, why not Mr. Consistency playing in a reasonably high game/team total and vowing to make sure the coaching change there was the right call?
Nicolas Batum ($6,800) – He’s been banged up and hasn’t played well around the times of the injuries anyway. He’s inconsistent at best this season, spiking high and dipping way low. But, he has a high total game back in Portland where he spent his first seven seasons before this one. Also, Jeremy Lin is out so there is usage to soak up, even if Michael Kidd-Gilchrest comes back tonight.
Aaron Gordon ($4,900) – He’s playing solid even after being inserted into the starting lineup by Scott Skiles and has 30 DK point upside against the soft inside and underbelly of the Boston Celtics. He scored 33+ DK points in a similar matchup against the Atlanta Hawks a few games ago.
Karl-Anthony Towns ($7,100) – Nobody wants to roster against Utah. Quin Snyder’s idea of a good possession is Gordon Hayward or Trey Burke knocking down a jump shot as the shot clock buzzer sounds. Still, the KAT has been rolling and has proven to be pretty matchup proof. He will be less than 5% owned in tourneys tonight as the game total is 195 and the Wolves are underdogs in SLC. Big men like KAT have the peripherals to beat the game total/pace, so KAT puts up his 40+ DK number while DeAndre Jordan rests in the fourth quarter against the Lakers and that’s a pretty firm tourney strategy there.
Zaza Pachulia ($5,800) – The sly dog has been strategically injured so that his salary can drop below 6K and start his mid 30s DK point run again. Players coming off injuries are usually a sneaky play since recency bias doesn’t work in their favor and players who don’t score a ton of points, like Pachulia, go unnoticed a lot as well. Zaza is still questionable but if he plays he gets a decent matchup here against the Nets to restart his 33-36 DK point run. I’d prefer to pay up or pay down at center tonight, but if you are game for a tourney play mid-range and Zaza is in the lineup, fire him up.
Spencer Hawes ($4,800)- Hawes only took seven shots against the aforementioned Jazz and people will bail on him after his salary has gone up to starter prices and the Hornets laid an egg in Utah. Zeller is still out and they still need Hawes to stretch the defense for Walker and Batum and while Portland has been better against centers in the last couple of months, Mason Plumlee is not as comfortable covering the three point line, meaning that Hawes will get his shots again.