We tip off the first Monday of December with a nine game slate and plenty of options to choose from. Let’s jump right into some of tonight’s targets.
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Kyle Lowry ($8,900) – The Raptors have an implied point total of 106 points. The last time that Lowry played against the Lakers, he played 36 minutes and scored 47.8 fantasy points. He has topped 45 points in five of the last six games, including two 50+ fantasy point games. The Lakers are terrible on the defensive side of the ball. They allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (58.8) and have surrendered over 65 fantasy points per game in their last 10. He offers 50+ fantasy point upside, especially in this matchup.
Isaiah Thomas ($7,700) – Thomas has missed a double-double in four straight games by three or fewer assists. In that span, he’s averaging 8.25 assists and 2.25 steals. He has now topped 43 fantasy points in two straight games and 40 fantasy points in four of his last eight games. The Pelicans surrender the third most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (53.4). This game has the highest total of tonight’s slate (211.5 points) and the Celtics have an implied point total of 106.25 points.
Derrick Rose ($6,400) – Rose draws a good matchup against the Suns who surrender the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (52.9) and have actually allowed the second most fantasy points per game in their last 10 games (57.7). Rose is averaging 28 fantasy points per game, but has topped 30 fantasy points in three of his last six games. He’s been able to stay healthy and play well as of late. This game should be faster paced than most tonight. It has the second highest over/under at 203.5 points and the Bulls have an implied point total of 104.75 points.
Blake Griffin ($9,400) – Chris Paul has been ruled out for tonight’s game which means that Griffin should see an increase in his usage rate. Griffin is coming off of a 28 points, 13 boards, and seven assists performance, which was good for 54.25 fantasy points. He has now topped 50 fantasy points in three of his last six games. He has exceeded value 62 percent of the time by an average of 2.97 fantasy points this season, per FantasyLabs. Essentially making him a good tournament option more often than not. This game has an over/under of 203 points and the Clippers have an implied point total of 101 points.
LaMarcus Aldridge ($6,700) – Aldridge is not having the season we are used to seeing from him, but he is still producing at a consistent level. He is averaging 14.9 points, 8.9 rebounds, 1.3 blocks, and 30.1 fantasy points per game. He faces the Sixers who will be without Jahlil Okafor and give up the third most rebounds per game (47.1). The Sixers are also yielding the most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards (54.9). Aldridge is an elite talent and he is at a very reasonable price in a plus matchup, I’ll take it.
Jae Crowder ($5,500) – Crowder has scored 28 or more fantasy points in four of his last six games. He’s played 30 or more minutes in each of the last five games. Per FantasyLabs, he has exceeded value 71 percent of the time by 2.91 fantasy points. He faces off against the Pelicans who are allowing 42 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards in their last five matchups. This game has the highest total of tonight’s slate (211.5 points) and the Celtics have an implied point total of 106.25 points. At this price, he should have no issue hitting value and potentially exceeding it.
Greg Monroe ($6,900) – Monroe has recorded a double-double in two straight games and looks to make it a third tonight against the Blazers who allow the second most rebounds per game to opposing centers (16.8). They are also allowing the most fantasy points per game to centers. Monroe has scored 40 or more fantasy points in his last two games. He has exceed value in six of his last 10 games by an average of 2.88 fantasy points. He offers a safe floor and a high ceiling at an affordable price.
Tim Duncan ($5,800) – As I mentioned above, the Sixers allow 47.1 rebounds per game, which is the third most in the NBA. Opposing centers are averaging 54.1 fantasy points per game in the last 10 games against the Sixers. The last time that Duncan played against them, he scored 32.5 fantasy points. He has topped 30 fantasy points in five of his last 10 games, including three 40+ fantasy point games. At this price he should have no trouble hitting value and potentially exceeding it too.
Alex Len ($4,200) – The last two times that Len played 30 or more minutes, he combined for 70.75 points. He is set to get the start against the Bulls tonight as Tyson Chandler is out with a hamstring injury. Surprisingly, the Bulls surrender the most rebounds per game (49.6) and have a -1.2 differential. They also allow the third most fantasy points per game to centers (52.3). So long as Len gets the minutes, he should have no issue hitting value. He has scored five times his salary multiple times in the last several games.