WATCH: HE’S ON FIRE – ISAIAH THOMAS
We tip off Tuesday with an eight-game slate and some interesting options, so let’s jump right into the players to target tonight.
Kyle Lowry ($8,400) – Lowry continues to be a model of consistency, scoring over 43 fantasy points in six consecutive games, but he has also displayed his upside, scoring over 50 fantasy points on three occasions during that stretch. The Spurs are typically a solid defensive team, but it is going to be tough for Tony Parker, or any point guard on their team, to keep up with Lowry.
Other Options – John Wall $10,600, Isaiah Thomas $7,400
T.J. McConnell ($4,300) – Sergio Rodriguez has been ruled out for tonight’s game and McConnell is set to get another start. In his last start he played 36 minutes and scored 32 fantasy points. That was against a much softer defense in Denver, but tonight’s matchup against the Timberwolves is not all that imposing. Minnesota are yielding 53.9 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. McConnell should be a lock for over 30 minutes in what is expected to be a close contest. At this price, he should have no issue paying off his salary.
Other Options – Mike Conley $6,500, Ricky Rubio $5,800, Darren Collison $4,500
DeMar DeRozan ($8,100) – DeRozan is the best shooting guard on the board tonight, but I am somewhat concerned that he will get a dose of Kawhi Leonard, capping his ceiling. However, DeRozan is all but a lock to attempt 20 shots tonight and continues to be one of the more consistent players at his position. It is worth noting that the Spurs have allowed the second most fantasy points per game to shooting guards in their last five and the third most in their last 10.
Other Options – Zach LaVine $6,600
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($5,600) – Chances are I will not be paying up at this position today, so I’m looking to the mid-range priced shooting guards. Caldwell-Pope gets a solid matchup tonight against a Pacers team that is playing at the eighth highest pace and is yielding the 11th most fantasy points per game to the position. They are also giving up 2.8 three-pointers per game. Caldwell-Pope has topped 35 fantasy points (including a 40+ fantasy point outing) in three of his last five games and has not scored fewer than 20 fantasy points during that stretch. He is volatile, but has plenty of upside to smash his salary.
Other Options – Josh Richardson $6,000, Wes Matthews $5,600, Garrett Temple $3,600, Nik Stauskas $3,600
Gordon Hayward ($8,000) – Hayward is on a second night of a back-to-back, but he is in a good spot. The Celtics are giving up the fifth most fantasy points per game to small forwards and have allowed 1.48 points above expectation to the position. George Hill will miss tonight’s game, and Hayward’s usage increases to a healthy 28.7 percent with Hill out. Hayward has displayed his 50 fantasy point upside numerous times this season and is averaging a healthy 41.5 fantasy points in his last six games.
Other Options – Kawhi Leonard $8,500, Paul George $7,900, Andrew Wiggins $7,200
Danilo Gallinari ($5,900) – Gallinari has been playing well as of late, averaging 36 fantasy points per game over his last six. During that stretch, he is averaging 33.2 minutes, 19.8 points, eight rebounds, 2.2 assists and one block per game, while draining nine from beyond the arc. The Kings have allowed 1.05 points above expectation to opposing small forwards, putting him in a favorable situation.
Other Options – Robert Covington $5,200, Jae Crowder $4,900
DeMarcus Cousins ($11,400) – There is no doubt in my mind that Cousins is the best player on the board tonight, and his price tag confirms that. He has topped 50 fantasy points in four straight games, including a 60+ fantasy point outing and displayed his 80+ point ceiling several nights ago. The Nuggets have allowed 1.94 points above expectation to opposing power forwards this year. They are giving up the 11th most fantasy points and ninth most points per game to the position. Lastly, they are bottom three in defense efficiency and play paced up. Boogie should be able to eat tonight.
JaMychal Green ($4,800) – Over the last eight games, Green is averaging 30.25 minutes, 10.8 points, seven rebounds, one steal and 25.6 fantasy points per game. Tonight’s matchup is one that favors him as the Lakers are yielding the second most fantasy points, most rebounds and most steals per game to opposing power forwards. They have allowed 1.91 points above expectation to the position. They are also dead last in defensive efficiency. Green is volatile, but he has been getting the minutes and is in a great spot. Something has to give.
Other Options – Wilson Chandler $5,600, Jon Leuer $4,800
Andre Drummond ($7,300) – Drummond is coming off of a big night against the Heat and draws a favorable matchup against the Pacers. Indiana has allowed 4.85 points above expectation to opposing centers and is yielding the second most rebounds per game to the position. They are giving up the third most rebounds per game to opponents with a -4.4 differential. Drummond scored nine points and grabbed 15 boards in their last meeting. He comes at a very reasonable price for what he is capable of doing and is my top play at center tonight.
Other Options – Karl-Anthony Towns $9,900, Marc Gasol $8,400, Hassan Whiteside $8,000, Joel Embiid $7,500, Rudy Gobert $7,300
Tyson Chandler ($4,600) – Quite frankly, I am leaning towards paying up at center tonight, but if you do not want to take that route, I think Chandler makes a lot of sense. He is averaging 24.7 minutes, nine points, 10 rebounds, one steal and 24.5 fantasy points in his last three contests, providing a decent return. Tonight he draws a favorable matchup against the Heat who have allowed 4.87 points above expectation to opposing centers and is giving up the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position.
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.