The NBA rolls on tonight with a five-game slate, so here are my favorite studs and values for tonight’s action. If you have any questions, reach out to me on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
John Wall – WAS at NYK – $9,600 – Only James Harden and Russell Westbrook get more touches per game than Wall, who averages 89.5 touches per game in his 36.2 minutes per game. The Knicks are the eighth worst defense over the last 10 games and the projected game total is a strong 216.5. Bottom line: It should be a high scoring game and Wall will have the ball the most of anybody on the court.
Eric Bledsoe – PHX at CLE – $7,700 – Quietly, Bledsoe has snuck into Wall territory when it comes to heavy touching of the basketball, ranking sixth in the league for the season, but fifth over the last five games in touches per game. In the last game against Cleveland, Bledsoe rattled off 52 DK points in 38+ minutes and has over 15 shot attempts in six of his last eight games.
Other Options – Ricky Rubio ($6,600), Goran Dragic ($6,900)
Deron Williams – DAL at MIA – $5,800 – You are getting a Goran Dragic like production pace in Williams for $1,100 less. This is a big pace-up game for Dallas, with Miami rocking the eighth fastest pace over the last five games. Williams is ninth in touches per game over the last five games, despite the Mavs being the slowest paced team in the league over that span. His raw usage is 23% over that span and his assist % is seventh.
Ray Felton – LAC vs. MIN – $4,800 – With Chris Paul out for weeks, the load will fall on Felton, Jamal Crawford ($4,200) and Austin Rivers ($5,200). Felton averages the most DKPPG with Paul and Blake Griffin sidelined, averaging 34.2 minutes and combining scoring, rebounding and assists to get to his 28 DKPPG mark without CP3.
Other Options – Austin Rivers ($5,200), Tyler Johnson ($5,500), Emmanuel Mudiay ($4,700), Tony Parker ($5,000)
Bradley Beal – WAS at NYK – $7,000 – High projected total, close game, lots of minutes (33.4 per game over last five), significant raw usage (26.6%) all are good reasons to consider Beal tonight, even at the high point of his acceptable salary level.
Devin Booker – PHX at CLE – $6,200 – He is 14th in raw usage over his last five games (30.3%). He bumps up whenever Brandon Knight is out this season, jumping to 33.6% raw usage and an additional 6.1 DK points per game. And facing Kyle Korver defense tonight helps, too.
Jamal Crawford – LAC vs. MIN – $4,200 – Without Paul in the lineup, Crawford’s minutes get a bump to over 30 per game with 27% raw usage. He averaged 27 DKPPG in that scenario and gets a boost from playing the Timberwolves at home.
Seth Curry – DAL at MIA – $3,900 – Only Salah Mejri gets a bigger DKPPG boost from Andrew Bogut being out this season than Curry, who benefits from the rotational shift that Bogut’s absence brings. He’s averaging 21 DKPPG, 27 minutes per game and 19% raw usage with Bogut out for the game, and gets a big pace up advantage against Miami.
Other Options – Justin Holiday ($3,300)
Kawhi Leonard – SAS vs. DEN – $9,000 – He has a 30% raw usage and games of 42, 49 and 52.75 DKFP in his last three, all factors to consider since he is in a 220.5 projected game total at home.
Carmelo Anthony – NYK vs. WAS – $7,900 – It’s a good matchup here for Melo, who should be playing power forward against Markieff Morris. His raw usage is still strong between 27-28%, so that should give Melo a chance to get to 50 DK points tonight.
Other Options – LeBron James ($10,800)
T.J. Warren – PHX at CLE – $4,000 – There is risk in his production, but his price has gotten so low that he is hard to ignore for value. He has played over 26 minutes the last four games and had 27.75 DKFP the last time out 11 days ago against the Cavs.
Mindaugas Kuzminskas – NYK vs. WAS – $4,500 – His price is rising to the point of no value, but there is still some wiggle room here as The Kuz has displayed 20+% raw usage even next to Carmelo Anthony. The matchup here against WAS is very good, and should have locked in minutes with Lance Thomas, Joakim Noah and Kristaps Porzingis all either out or doubtful.
Other Options – Nemanja Bjelica ($3,000)
LaMarcus Aldridge – SAS vs. DEN – $6,700 – He is hard to trust, so he is tournament only for me, but Aldridge does have the matchup in his favor and is coming off a 20 shot, 42 DK point performance at home against Minnesota.
Markieff Morris – WAS at NYK – $6,100 – It is about time to jump off of the Morris train, as his price has now creeped over $6K. However, as long as he can keep from fouling Carmelo Anthony, his last two games have showed off the upside, scoring 50.75 and 40 DKFP in those games, and the pace/scoring of this game gives him the chance to do it again.
Other Options – Kevin Love ($7,800)
James Johnson – MIA vs. DAL – $5,900 – This is a bit of a pace down game, but JJ is averaging a whopping 71 touches per game over the last five games, scoring 36 and 38 DKFP in the last two games.
Kyle O’Quinn – NYK vs. WAS – $4,800 – Some of you just slammed your fist down, threw your head back and said, NO WAY to rostering Kyle again after a nine minute outing which saw O’Quinn be a ceremonial starter before Jeff Hornacek went with Willy Hernangomez and recently recalled Marshall Plumlee instead. But this is a typical cycle for Hornacek and O’Quinn, and it’s just as likely, in this matchup, to see Kyle emerge as a 16-24 minute, 30-40 DKFP performance here. He’s isn’t the safest play, but he’s worth consideration.
Other Options – Kenneth Faried ($5,200)
Nikola Jokic – DEN at SAS – $8,700 – The cost is so high now that, in tourneys, you need the 50-54 DKFP performance to hit value. He’s still viable because he averaged 82.3 touches per game over the last five games, most in the league among centers over that span. That is more than DeMarcus Cousins, Marc Gasol, Anthony Davis and Karl-Anthony Towns. He hit 42.25 DKFP in 27 minutes against these Spurs and has 50 or more DKFP in his last three games.
DeAndre Jordan – LAC vs. MIN – $7,500 – Lost a bit in the Jokic fire is the fact that Jordan has scored 47.50, 57.75 and 54.25 DKFP in his last three games and has not shown any dropoff in production without CP3 and Blake in terms of missed games this season.
Other Options – Hassan Whiteside ($8,100)
Pau Gasol – SAS vs. DEN – $5,100 – I think he is definitely in play here as he scored 40.25 DKFP in nearly 35 minutes when these teams matched up on 1/5 in Denver. In a similar matchup just three games ago at home against LAL, Gasol went for 43.25 DKFP in 25.85 minutes.
Guillermo Hernangomez – NYK vs. WAS – $3,200 – Just as inconsistently used as O’Quinn, the price begs a look, but I think he will be more popular than O’Quinn due to the recency bias- Hernangomez scored 33.25 DKFP in 19 minutes last night, and O’Quinn only played nine minutes.
Other Options – Tyson Chandler ($4,600), Tristan Thompson ($4,100)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.