Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday January 10th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Damian Lilliard vs. ORL ($9,800) – Lilliard suffered a minor back injury on Thursday night against the Heat, but is not expected to miss any time. I’d keep an eye on his status, but as long as he’s playing he should be in your lineups. He has scored more than 60 fantasy points in three of the last 10 games and more than his season average of 41.2 fantasy points in five of his 10 last games. He’s been playing really well as of late and has a great matchup tonight. The Magic are giving up 51 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. Lillard should have no problem filling up the stat sheet against the Magic.
Other Studs: Kyle Lowry $10,200, Michael Carter-Williams $8,600, and Brandon Jennings $7,600
Jarrett Jack at DET ($6,400) – At this price there’s still value in taking Jack. He’s been starting for the injured Deron Williams and has been doing a good job with the minutes. He has scored more than 30 fantasy points in five of his last 10 games, that includes two 40+ fantasy point games. Detroit is allowing 47.7 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. If Jack continues to produce at the level he’s producing, his price will likely keep rising. If you’re not willing to pay up for an elite point guard, take a look at Jack tonight.
Other Values: Trey Burke $5,400 and Donald Sloan $4,600
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden vs. UTA ($10,400) – There are two stud shooting guards playing in tonight’s games. I’d be content in paying for either of them, but Harden has a much higher floor. He has scored 20 or more real points in four consecutive games and 60+ fantasy points in three of his last 10 games. The last time he played the Jazz he scored 42.8 fantasy points. He is averaging 50 fantasy points at home and should be able to have his way against the Jazz who are allowing 42.5 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.
Other Studs: Jimmy Butler $8,500
Danny Green at MIN ($5,500) – If you’re planning on saving some of your salary at the shooting guard position, Green is a good option. He has scored more than 30 fantasy points in three of the last six games and has a favorable matchup. The Timberwolves allow a ton of points overall, but are very generous to opposing shooting guards. They surrender 44.4 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. Green has played against Minnesota twice this season and is averaging 33.9 fantasy points per game against them. If he produces at his average, he’s exceeding value. You can consider him a good tournament play.
Other Values: Victor Oladipo $6,100, Wesley Matthews $5,800, and Avery Bradley $4,100
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward at HOU ($7,800) – With Kahwi Leonard out and Tobias Harris questionable, its slim pickings at the elite level for small forwards. The good news is that Hayward is reliable and has a good matchup against the Rockets. Hayward has scored more than 35 fantasy points in three consecutive games. He played the Rockets once this season and scored 30 fantasy points in that game. The Rockets are surrendering 42.3 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. This should be a high scoring affair and Hayward should get his. Keep in mind, this is a road game, and Hayward has been more productive on the road this season.
Other Studs: Tobias Harris $6,900 (if active) and Andrew Wiggins $6,600
Evan Turner at TOR ($5,300) – The Celtics traded Jeff Green which should open the door for Evan Turner to get more minutes. That was the case last night as he played 38 minutes. Granted the game went into overtime. With that said, Turner has scored more than 30 fantasy points in four of his last six games. There are not many offensive options on this team, so Turner should get his fair amount of shot attempts. Not to mention, the Raptors have given up more than 45 fantasy points per game in their last 10 games. Turner should only be used in tournaments as he tends to be inconsistent. However, the volume should be there moving forward, now that Green is out of Boston.
Other values: Nicolas Batum $6,000, Trevor Ariza $5,600, and Khris Middleton $4,800
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
LaMarcus Aldridge vs. ORL ($10,000) – If you’re considering spending big bucks at power forward tonight, you’re better off paying top dollar for Aldridge. He has scored more than 20 real points in nine straight games and has eight double-doubles in the last 10 games. He has a high floor as well as a high ceiling. In the last five games, the Magic have struggled against power forwards. They have allowed nearly 50 fantasy points per game in those games. Aldridge is one of the most consistent options of tonight’s games and makes a wise investment.
Other Studs: Pau Gasol $9,300, Derrick Favors $7,900, and Greg Monroe $7,500
Robert Convington vs. IND ($5,600) – Convington bounced back strongly after a disappointing game on Wednesday night. He scored 20 real points and more than 40 fantasy points last night against the Nets. He has scored more than 30 fantasy points in five of his last 10 games and continues to be a solid tournament option. He won’t break your bankroll and usually hits or exceeds value. The Pacers are allowing 43.6 fantasy points to power forwards in their last five games. I’m expecting Convington to carry over the momentum from last night’s game and post another solid performance.
Other Values: Jared Sullinger $6,400, David West $6,300, and Thaddeus Young $5,900
Andre Drummond vs. BKN ($9,300) – Drummond struggled last night against the Hawks, but reports are that it was due to an illness. Prior to last night’s game, he had scored more than 35 fantasy points in six consecutive games. Brooklyn has surrender more than 50 fantasy points per game over the last 10 games. Consider last night’s performance as an off night for Drummond and he should get back on track this evening.
Other Studs: Dwight Howard $8,400 and Nikola Vucevic $8,400,
Chris Kaman vs. ORL ($4,600) – At this price, Kaman is great value. He’s been starting in place of Robin Lopez (fractured hand) and has played well. Kaman has score more than 20 fantasy points in four of the last five games. The Magic have allowed 62.9 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in their last five contests, and are also allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game (50) for the season. If you’re looking to save money at the center position, Kaman should have no problem hitting value at this low price.
Other values: Rudy Gobert $6,100, Zaza Pachulia $5,900, and Roy Hibbert $5,900