Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top NBA Targets, Values For November 16

Friday’s fantasy basketball slate has eight NBA games. The biggest favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook are the Bucks, who are 13.5-point favorites over the Bulls in Milwaukee. The highest projected scoring game is between the Knicks and Pelicans, which has a total of 228 points.

Notable players with injuries that will need to be monitored leading up to lock include Nikola Mirotic (ankle), Derrick Rose (ankle), Serge Ibaka (knee), Elfrid Payton (ankle), Jarrett Allen (illness), Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (ankle) and Marcus Morris (illness). Seth Curry (knee) is out.

For up to the minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines can change throughout the day. We will keep you up to the minute on the DK Live app.

Let’s take a look at some plays fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings.

POINT GUARD

Stud

John Wall, WAS vs. BKN, $9,500 — The Nets are starting a poor defensive backcourt with D’Angelo Russell, Allen Crabbe and Joe Harris all starting in the 1-3 spots, respectively, in their most recent game — three players who all rank towards the bottom of their positions by defensive real-plus minus (DRPM). Wall, who is averaging 47.5 DKFP over his past five games, will be in position to be productive against a below-average defense.

Other Options — Damian Lillard ($9,100), Kyrie Irving ($7,700)

Value

Emmanuel Mudiay, NY at NO, $4,000 — Mudiay was moved into the Knicks’ starting lineup prior to last game and has a good matchup vs. a Pelicans team that is allowing both the fourth-most points to opponents and fourth-most wide-open shots to opponents based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. The Pelicans also are allowing the fifth-most assists to opponents. The Knicks-Pelicans game, as mentioned above, is pegged with the highest scoring total on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jeff Teague, MIN vs. POR, $5,900 — Teague has a solid 27 percent usage rate in minutes with both Derrick Rose ($7,000) and Jimmy Butler off the court this season. With Butler traded to the Sixers and Rose’s status up in the air due to an ankle injury, Teague would be in line for solid usage if Rose is out again. Teague had a season-high 14 assists Wednesday.

Other Options — D’Angelo Russell ($6,600)


SHOOTING GUARD

Stud

Jrue Holiday, NO vs. NY, $8,300 — The Pelicans face a Knicks team that ranks in the bottom third in team defense and recently moved Mudiay into the starting lineup. Mudiay grades as one of the worst defensive guards in the league. The Knicks have allowed the ninth-most wide-open shots based on the league’s player tracking system, including the seventh-most wide-open threes. Holiday has created 16 potential assists per game, third most in the league.

Other Options — Victor Oladipo ($9,300), Bradley Beal ($8,100)

Value

Andrew Wiggins, MIN vs. POR, $6,100 — Wiggins is coming off taking a heavy 22 field goal attempts Wednesday, his second most of the season, with a 29 percent usage rate, his highest usage rate in a game this season. With Rose dealing with an ankle injury and Butler traded to the Sixers, Wiggins will have clearance for another high usage night Friday if Rose is ruled out again. Wiggins has a 28 percent usage rate with both Rose and Butler off the court this season.

Other Options — Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6,700), CJ McCollum ($6,500)


SMALL FORWARD

Stud

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs. CHI, $11,500 — The Bucks have a soft matchup vs. a Bulls team that ranks in the bottom third in points allowed per game to opponents, assists allowed per game to opponents and wide-open shots per game allowed to opponents. The Bulls also rank fifth worst in team rebounding. The matchup looks fruitful for Giannis, although the downside is the Bucks are heavy favorites at home, and a blowout could reduce Giannis’ minutes late in the game.

Other Options — Kawhi Leonard ($9,000), Ben Simmons ($8,200)

Value

Robert Covington, MIN vs. POR, $5,300 — Covington’s 41:10 minutes played in his Timberwolves debut was the most minutes he’s played in a regulation game since 2016 and seven more than he averaged with the Sixers this season prior to the trade. A boost in minutes with his new team could be in store under coach Tom Thibodeau, who notoriously hits the gas pedal in regards to minutes played. Covington took 11 field goals — two more than his season average with the 76ers — and finished with 31.75 DKFP in his debut.

Other Options — Khris Middleton ($6,900), Otto Porter Jr. ($5,200)


POWER FORWARD

Stud

Anthony Davis, NO vs. NY, $11,400 — Davis has a good matchup for reasons similar to Holiday ($8,200); the Knicks are a bottom-third team defense and rank in the bottom third at limiting wide-open shots. The Knicks are allowing the seventh-most field goals at the rim in the league and have allowed the seventh-highest field goal percentage on shots within five feet of the basket — the zone Davis takes most of his shots in. Davis appears to be over an elbow injury that bothered him earlier in the year, averaging 63 DKFP over his past four games.

Other Options — Nikola Mirotic ($7,400)

Value

Wilson Chandler, PHI vs. UTA, $3,700 — Chandler has claimed the starting job at PF after the blockbuster trade and took a season-high 10 field goal attempts last time out, scoring 21.5 DKFP in 23 minutes. He is continuing to build his minutes load after a hamstring injury kept him out of action early in the season and is a cheap option with a starter’s role.

Other Options — Pascal Siakam ($6,000), Taj Gibson ($4,600)


CENTER

Stud

Marc Gasol, MEM vs. SAC, $7,400 — Gasol has a soft matchup against a Kings team that ranks 27th in team rebounding and 29th in rebounding at the center position. The Kings are allowing the third-most field goals at the rim and are allowing opponents to shoot 63 percent on shots within five feet of the basket, fifth worst. The Kings also are allowing the fifth-most wide-open shots and the sixth-most points to opponents. The poor rebounding, poor interior defense and poor point prevention make Gasol an appealing option at center.

Other Options — Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,600), Hassan Whiteside ($7,900), Jusuf Nurkic ($7,100)

Value

Dwight Howard, WAS vs. BKN, $5,700 — Howard’s price is the second cheapest it’s been all season for a matchup with the Nets, who rank in the bottom third in rebounding at the center position, potentially giving Howard a favorable matchup on the glass. The Nets also rank as a below-average defensive team.

Other Options — Wendell Carter Jr. ($5,300)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.

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