Following a nine game slate on Monday night, we have a five game slate this evening with several of interesting options to choose from. Let’s jump right into it and go over some of tonight’s targets.
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Isaiah Thomas ($7,500) – Thomas faces the Knicks who he has had success against this season. In two games versus them, he’s averaging 27.5 points, seven assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 46.1 fantasy points per game. The Knicks have surrendered the most fantasy points per game in their last 10 games to opposing point guards. They have allowed +2.5 points above expectation to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Labs. This contest has the highest total of the slate at 208.5 points and the Celtics have an implied point total of 106 points. In each game that these teams have faced off this season, the Celtics have scored 100 or more points. Thomas is the cheapest of the high-end options, but provides about the same amount of upside.
Other Options – Damian Lillard $9,200, Kyle Lowry $8,700
Ricky Rubio ($6,500) – This is not the biggest bargain available tonight, but a player like Rubio at this price has the ability to 7X his salary. He faces off against the Lakers who are dead last when it comes to defending point guards as they allow the most fantasy points per game (55.5). Point guards average 23.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, 8.4 assists, and two steals against the Lakers. In two games that Rubio has played versus them, he is averaging 16.5 points, 13 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 45.1 fantasy points per game. Although it hasn’t happen in quite some time, Rubio has triple-double upside. He has double-digit assists in three of his last five games and is averaging 33.35 fantasy points per game in that span. He’s very volatile, so I’d only suggest him in tournaments, but can provide plenty of bang for your buck.
Other Options – Michael Carter-Williams $6,400, Goran Dragic $5,500, Patrick Beverley $4,500
Dwyane Wade ($7,300) – If you want to build your lineups around Harden tonight, I don’t blame you. However, if you don’t want to spend up for him, Wade is the shooting guard I’d recommend you spend up on. He’s been playing really well as of late and draws a great matchup. The Rockets surrender the fourth most fantasy points per game to shooting guards. They have allowed +1.8 points above expectation to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Labs. Houston plays paced up, so chances are Wade will have more scoring opportunities. In his last five games, he is averaging 23.6 points, 6.4 assists, 4.4 rebounds, 1.4 blocks, 1.8 steals and 43.6 fantasy points per game. He stuffs the stat sheet regularly and should continue to do so tonight. The last time he played against the Rockets Wade scored 39 fantasy points.
Other Options – James Harden $10,300, DeMar DeRozan $8,100
Devin Booker ($5,600) – Booker has been playing tons of minutes as of late and has been productive. In his last seven games, he’s averaging 36.9 minutes, 19.9 points, and 29.8 fantasy points per game. Brandon Knight is questionable for tonight’s game. If he plays, Booker’s value takes a step back as his usage and minutes will likely decrease a notch. However, if he doesn’t Booker should continue to see a heavy workload and should have no trouble paying off his salary. Keep an eye on the Suns backcourt status before finalizing your lineups.
Other Options – C.J. McCollum $6,900, Lou Williams $5,800, Avery Bradley $5,700
Carmelo Anthony ($8,400) – Melo is the top option at small forward tonight and will be even more appealing if Jae Crowder sits. The Celtics surrender the eighth most fantasy points per game and have allowed 1.8 points above expectation to opposing small forwards. Melo has topped 40 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games, including three 50+ fantasy point games and has scored over 43 fantasy points in two straight games. Boston plays paced up which benefits Melo. This game has the highest over/under of the slate at 208.5 points. If you’re taking a balanced approach tonight, his salary won’t break your wallet.
Other Options – Giannis Antetokounmpo $7,300
Trevor Ariza ($5,900) – I’ve leaned on Ariza in recent games as he’s been playing really well. In his last six games, Ariza is averaging 18.7 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.3 steals, and 35.7 fantasy points per game. He has topped 30 fantasy in all but one of those games and also has a 40+ and 50+ fantasy point performance in that span. In addition, he has drained 26 threes. Tonight he faces a solid Heat defense which could limit his ceiling a bit. However, he did fare well against them the last time he faced them. In that game, he scored 30.3 fantasy points while contributing to just about every category.
Other Options – Luol Deng $4,800, Justise Winslow $4,400
Chris Bosh ($7,700) – Bosh has topped 30 fantasy points in five consecutive games. He’s averaging 35.4 fantasy points per game in that span. Tonight he has a favorable matchup against the Rockets who surrender the most fantasy points per game to power forwards. Bosh scored 25 fantasy points in 24.5 minutes in his previous game against the Rockets. This game has the second highest over/under of the night at 205 points and only a four point spread. Bosh is in a good spot tonight and even though he’s the most expensive power forward on the board, he’s not unreasonably priced.
Other Options – Kristaps Porzingis $7,000
Amar’e Stoudemire ($4,400) – With the news that Hassan Whiteside will sit out tonight, Stoudemire should be lined up for another start at center for the Heat. He’s been getting the start and playing 20+ minutes in the last several games. In the last four games, he’s averaging 23.3 minutes, 9.3 points, 9.3 rebounds, one block, 1.5 steals, and 26.8 fantasy points. He has scored fewer than 20 fantasy points just once in that span. He has two double digit rebound games in his last four and could make it a third tonight. The Rockets will be without Dwight Howard tonight making Stoudemire’s job easier. At this price Stoudemire should have no issue paying off his salary.
Other Options – Julius Randle $6,400, Jabari Parker $5,300
Karl-Anthony Towns ($7,800) – Towns has been playing lights out in recent games and I’m fully expecting that to continue against a terrible Lakers team. The Lakers surrender the most rebounds per game to opposing teams (47.3). They also give up the fourth most points per game (106.2). In the last 10 games, Towns is averaging 44.4 fantasy points, 19.4 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game. He has topped 49 fantasy points in four consecutive games. In two games against the Lakers this season, he is averaging 20 points, 13 rebounds, and 41 fantasy points per game. He offers a safe floor with plenty of upside.
Other Options – Greg Monroe $7,000
Gorgui Dieng ($5,400) – Dieng has been playing a good amount of minutes in the last four games, as he is averaging 32.5 minutes per game in that span. He is coming off two consecutive double-doubles and could make it a third. The Lakers surrender the second most fantasy points per game and have allowed +3.0 points above expectation to opposing centers. They give up 47.3 rebounds per game, which is the most by any team in the league. Dieng should be able to take full advantage of the Lakers front court and have a successful evening in the paint. Chances are he will be a good return on investment tonight.
Other Options – Kelly Olynyk $4,800, Robin Lopez $4,700 (limited upside)