The NBA rolls on tonight with a five-game slate, so here are my favorite studs and values for tonight’s action. If you have any questions, reach out to me on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Stephen Curry – GSW at BKN – $8,100 – You need about 50 DK points out of him here, and there is a blowout factor, but the Nets’ porous defense can get Curry there quick. No team has allowed more 3-pointers per game than the Nets, giving up 11 per game.
Goran Dragic – MIA vs. LAL – $7,400 – The worst defensive team over the last 10 games is the Los Angeles Lakers, and Dragic gets them at home with a solid 209.5 projected game total. With all the Heat backcourt injuries, Dragic is playing a lot of minutes, bringing his ceiling up to 50 with it.
Other Options – Jeff Teague ($7,100), Isaiah Thomas ($8,000), Chris Paul ($9,400)
Jeremy Lin – BKN vs. GSW – $5,700 – If the Nets are going to keep the game even close to being close, Lin will have to play a solid role in that. Lin’s minutes have been getting larger, and his raw usage is 25-26 percent. The game should be high-possession and is the highest projected total of the night at 231.
Tyler Johnson – MIA vs. LAL – $5,500 – Tyler might have the best shot at mid-30s minutes below the $6K salary line, as the injuries to Dion Waiters, Rodney McGruder and Wayne Ellington have left a void for Tyler to fill against the worst defense in the league right now.
Other Options – D’Angelo Russell ($5,500), Elfrid Payton ($5,600)
Avery Bradley – BOS at IND – $6,100- Bradley is locked in for his mid-30s minutes and has actually produced better on the road in fantasy terms. The Celtics are playing against the seventh-fastest paced team over the last 10 games, and Bradley is averaging 36 DK points per 100 possessions.
Evan Fournier – ORL at NYK – $6,000- The Knicks have been playing the fourth-fastest pace over the past 10 games and have been the ninth-worst defense over that same stretch. Fournier is averaging nearly 30 DK points per 100 possessions and has produced 30 DK points per game in the seven games this season the Magic team total has been over 103 points.
Other Options – Klay Thompson ($6,500)
Lou Williams – LAL at MIA – $5,600 – The huge fun is over for Lou Williams now that the Lakers are healthy in the backcourt again. However, that means he and his still high 28-30 percent raw usage and 36 points per 30 minutes rate are still well in play.
Sean Kilpatrick – BKN vs. GSW – $4,500 – He’s still a low 20 percent raw usage player though his minutes are not as locked in as when Lin and company were out, but he will see plenty of floor time against the Warriors, and his offense will be needed.
Other Options – Josh Richardson ($4,800), Marcus Smart ($4,000)
Kevin Durant – GSW at BKN – $9,000 – The Nets allow the most 3s per game and there is nobody on the Nets that can stop Durant from shooting 3s, if desired. If worried about the blowout, listen to this: In the eight games that the Warriors have been projected to win by 10 or more on the road, Durant has scored 55 DK points per game in those games.
Carmelo Anthony – NYK vs. ORL – $7,700 – A little less enthusiastic here, but Anthony has delivered at home this season, with more than 40 DK points per game. Their projected team total is 109 points, and Carmelo’s usage is still a firm 28 percent this season.
Other Options – Kawhi Leonard ($7,800)
Justise Winslow – MIA vs. LAL – $5,100 – Winslow is getting mid-30s minutes per game, and he’s gone over 21.75 DKFP in the last 3 games. Taking on the worst defense in the league makes 30 DK points or so seem reasonable.
Jae Crowder – BOS at IND – $5,300 – Like Winslow, you have to like Crowder’s locked-in minutes in a projected high pace, lower defense game. I think Crowder has just enough usage (17-18 percent) in this situation to make it work.
Other Options – Luol Deng ($4,600)
Kristaps Porzingis – NYK vs. ORL – $7,600 – He has averaged 39 points per 100 possessions this season, and the Knicks have that very healthy 109 projected team total tonight at home. Kristaps should see some friendly Nikola Vucevic defense as well.
Draymond Green – GSW at BKN – $7,800 – Not as strong of a play as Curry or Durant in my opinion, but Green offers a solid floor of production here in cash games and will likely be the highest raw point play among power forwards tonight.
Other Options – Paul George ($7,900)
Julius Randle – LAL at MIA – $5,800 – Randle should see his 30 minutes, 21 percent raw usage and a good bit of Josh McRoberts, who has a 110.6 personal defense rating (worst on the Heat).
Thaddeus Young – IND vs. BOS – $5,400 – His price popped back up after some days below $5K, but he is a solid value down here due to his gobs of minutes per game and 0.80 point per minute rate. The Celtics struggle to rebound the basketball, so Thad should be able to be on the high side of his 6.2 RPG average.
Other Options – Serge Ibaka ($5,900), Trevor Booker ($5,600)
Hassan Whiteside – MIA vs. LAL – $9,200 – It is all here for Whiteside: The worst defense in the league, a projected high total, and Whiteside has averaged 55 DK points per game this season when the projected total is above 209 at home.
Al Horford – BOS at IND – $6,800 – The Pacers offer the second-biggest boost to centers on the slate tonight. Horford’s role is locked in with 32-34 minutes and his 1.16 DK points per minute puts him in line with a solid value night.
Other Options – Nikola Vucevic ($6,400), Brook Lopez ($6,700)
Bismack Biyombo – ORL at NYK – $4,300 – I think he’s a strong cash-game play at this price, and he’ll likely get close to 30 minutes of run tonight. His rebounding and block rates provide a solid floor for a punt play at center in my opinion.
Pau Gasol – SAS at LAC – $5,700 – Pau averages 33 points per 30 minutes this season, and in his one game against DeAndre Jordan last season, Gasol played 29 minutes and scored 39.5 DK points.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.