WATCH: PLAYER TO WATCH – SEAN KILPATRICK
The NBA rolls on tonight with a sweet spot, six-game slate, with a mix of three really exciting games and three not-so-attractive games. Here are my favorite studs and values to help you build your lineups. If you have any questions, reach out to me on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Giannis Antetokounmpo – MIL at BKN – $9,900 – He has a 29% raw usage, and this should be an uptempo game against a brutal defensive team with a bottom five inside defensive percentage. Giannis is in the top 20 in both touches and drives per game and is the centerpiece of a 217 projected game total tonight.
Stephen Curry – GS vs. HOU – $9,200 – He will get Patrick Beverley defense, but the price and insane 230 projected total will help offset that. Curry, despite Kevin Durant’s significant presence, still leads the Warriors in touches per game and raw usage.
Other Options – Kemba Walker ($7,800)
Andrew Harrison – MEM vs. ORL – $4,400 – Harrison got the start with Mike Conley and Vince Carter out and responded with a 20% usage, 84 touch night over 35 minutes. Assuming the same folks are out tonight, you have to look at Harrison again given his involvement in the offense.
Deron Williams – DAL at CHA – $4,000 – He has not played on back to back nights yet this season, but he played 26 minutes and scored 26 DK points against San Antonio last night. He had 27% raw usage and led the team in touches.
Other Options – Patrick Beverley ($4,600), Matthew Dellavedova ($4,400)
James Harden – HOU at GS – $12,000 – Hard not to look at Harden, who is second to only Russell Westbrook in touches, fourth in drives and sixth in usage this season.
Klay Thompson – GS vs. HOU – $6,600 – He will likely get the James Harden defense, which is to say, not much. With players focused on rostering Curry, Durant, Draymond Green, Harden, etc., Thompson may get overlooked, despite his consistent 35-38 DK point production.
Other Options – Nicolas Batum ($6,400)
Sean Kilpatrick – BKN vs. MIL – $5,800 – If I told you that you could have a 30% raw usage player who has averaged 40 DK points per game over the last four games for less than $6K, in a projected game total of 217, would you bat an eye at drafting that player? Well, that’s Sean Kilpatrick this evening.
Eric Gordon – HOU at GS – $5,100 – Getting 13, 13, 15 and 17 shots over his last four games, Gordon will be locked and loaded to shoot in this tilt against the Warriors. He is all about scoring, but the pace will make up for that as long as he gets the 28-32 minutes he has received over the last four games.
Other Options – Evan Fournier ($5,800), Wayne Ellington ($3,000)
Kevin Durant – GS vs. HOU – $10,200 – The Rockets are the fourth worst defense in terms of FG% and Defensive Rating this season, leading to the 230 projected total we see for the game. Since Durant is using 27% of possessions and has scored over 50 DK points in nine of his last 15 games, he is in a great place to soar past value, even over $10K.
Jabari Parker – MIL at BKN – $6,100 – Up tempo play and Parker’s 24% usage rate should take him to 40 DK points in this game against one of the worst interior defensive teams in the league. In a similar game against Golden State, Parker scored 45.25 DK points in 36 minutes.
Other Options – LeBron James ($9,300)
Michael Beasley – MIL at BKN – $3,500 – This feels like the perfect game to take Beasley, who has been coming off the bench earlier and earlier. His usage rate is terrific in his role, and, while he is boom/bust, he has produced 19.25, 16.50, 21 and 26 DK points his last four games and is a great fit in this high flying offense matchup in Brooklyn.
Troy Williams – MEM vs. ORL – $4,200 – After a bit of a letdown last night, only getting 27.75 minutes in a short rotation game, he is a nice post-hype game play here. He’s still cheap, and it’s possible he will get minutes against a Magic team that will play bigger for longer than Toronto did last night.
Other Options – Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,100), Trevor Ariza ($5,400)
Trevor Booker – BKN vs. MIL – $6,000 – On a team with Sean Kilpatrick and Brook Lopez, it is Booker who has touched the ball the most on the Nets over the last five games. He has produced games of 27, 46, 35, 27, and 44.75 DK points over that time and is in a game with little front court resistance as the Bucks are in the bottom ten in FG% inside of 5 FT.
Kevin Love – CLE vs. LAC – $8,000 – He has leveled up in his role with the Cavaliers, scoring 62, 56, 43.25 and 36.25 Dk points over the last four games. He has also returned to being a double-double machine, even with LeBron and Tristan Thompson on the floor with him, doing so in 11 of his last 12 games.
Other Options – Blake Griffin ($8,700), Draymond Green ($7,900)
JaMychal Green – MEM vs. ORL – $4,500 – 70 touches last night showed his activity, and with Zach Randolph out and Marc Gasol on the second half of a back to back, Green should get more rebounds to replace some of the steals he won’t have tonight, and get near the 35.25 DK points he put up against the Raptors last night.
Jarell Martin – MEM vs. ORL – $3,100 – If Gasol does take more of a rest on the back end here, then Martin is a solid play at nearly the minimum as he appears in three of the four most used lineups with all the guys plus Gasol off the floor.
Other Options – Ryan Anderson ($4,600)
Brook Lopez – BKN vs. MIL – $6,700 – Lopez has a lot going for him tonight. He’s at home, there is a big projected game total, and Milwaukee seems to have a lack of interest in defending. This plays well for Lopez, especially if he is going to keep launching three pointers.
DeAndre Jordan – LAC at CLE – $6,500 – Jordan will have the task of cleaning the glass in a game that will slightly increase the Clippers pace. Jordan also has had double digit rebounds in 10 of his last 15 games, adding to his potential upside.
Other Options – Hassan Whiteside ($8,200), Rudy Gobert ($6,500)
Clint Capela – HOU at GS – $5,700 – This seems to be a nice entry point to this 230 projected total. Capela needs about 35 DK points for tourney value, a number he has hit six times in his last nine games even without this pace boost.
John Henson – MIL at BKN – $4,000 – I believe they will need Henson in this game against Lopez outside. Henson is averaging nearly a fantasy point per minute, so if he plays 30+ minutes, as he did against Orlando, he is a great value here.
Other Options – Bismack Biyombo ($4,300), Tristan Thompson ($5,200)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.