We’ve got a small six game slate tonight with some decent options, so let’s waste no time and jump right into tonight’s targets.
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Damian Lillard ($9,200) – Lillard has two double-doubles in the last five games. He has scored 27 or more points in three of the last five games and has topped 44 fantasy points in each of those contests. He faces the Mavs who have surrendered over 54 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards in their last five games. This matchup has an over/under of 201 points and the Blazers have an implied point total of 99.75 points. Lillard left yesterday’s game after playing 17 minutes with abdomen pain, but it appears to be a stomach virus and nothing too serious. He’s listed as questionable for tonight’s game so make sure to check his status before finalizing your lineups.
Brandon Knight ($7,900) – Knight has three 60+ fantasy point performances in his last eight games. He provides a high ceiling for a player under $8,000 and has not scored fewer than 32 fantasy points in that span, so his floor is relatively steady. Tonight’s matchup against the Nets is a good one as they surrender the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (52.6). The Nets allow 102.6 points per game and the Suns have an implied point total of 104.5 points tonight. This should be a fast paced game which benefits a player like Knight.
Other Options – John Wall $7,800
Deron Williams ($6,300) – Williams has played well as of late. He has topped 30 fantasy points in five of his last seven games and has scored 20 or more points in three of those games. He will play against Damian Lillard who is not known for his defense. The Blazers are allowing 48.5 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. This game has a high total (201) and the Mavs have an implied point total of 101.25 points.
D’Angelo Russell ($5,100) – Russell’s price has steadily gone up, but he remains at a reasonable price. He has topped 25 fantasy points in three of his last five games. He’s averaging 12.4 points, 4.5 assists, six rebounds, and has drained seven three pointers in that span. He has double digit shot attempts in four of the last five games and is averaging 31.5 minutes per game. This is a favorable matchup for Russell as he takes on the Sixers who allow 48.6 fantasy points per game and surrender 102.8 points per game to opposing teams.
Other Options – Mike Conley $6,700, Isaiah Canaan $5,000, Zach LaVine $5,400, Raymond Felton $3,400
Eric Bledsoe ($8,300) – Bledsoe recorded his third double-double of the season on Sunday. He has topped 48 fantasy points in two of his last four games. He contributes in just about all categories. This is a great matchup for Bledsoe as he takes on the Nets who allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (45.7) and have actually surrendered over 51 fantasy points per game in their last five. The Nets allow 102.6 points per game and a .515 field goal percentage to opposing offenses. This game has the highest total of the evening at 206 points and the Suns have an implied point total of 104.5 points.
Other Options – Andrew Wiggins $7,400
Jordan Clarkson ($5,300) – Clarkson recorded his first double-double of the season. He also scored 22 points which was his best scoring performance since November 3rd. He has topped 35 points in two consecutive games and looks to make it a third. He faces the Sixers who surrender 39.8 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.
C.J. McCollum ($6,600) – McCollum becomes a value play if Damian Lillard ends up sitting this game out. His usage rate will increase and he will become the team’s number one scoring option. The Mavs have allowed 41.5 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. We’ve seen that McCollum is very capable of exceeding 40+ fantasy points on any given night. If he’s the go-to guy this evening, he can very well exceed value.
Other Options – Hollis Thompson ($3,900) if Nerlens Noel Sits
Robert Covington ($6,700) – Based on his recent performances, Covington could almost be considered a value play at this price. He has topped 32 fantasy points in five straight games, including a 45 fantasy point game and a 63.25 fantasy point game. He has played over 31 minutes in each of the last five games and has seen a higher usage rate. This matchup is one that favors Covington as the Lakers surrender over 40 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. They’re also allowing the fourth most points per game (106).
Other Options – LeBron James ($9,700)
Tobias Harris ($6,200) – Harris’ usage rate has dropped a notch. However, he is contributing in other categories such as rebounds, blocks, and three pointers, so he is still managing to produce fantasy points. Harris is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game for the season, but has recorded double-digit rebounds in six of his last 10 games. He has five double-doubles and has topped 35 fantasy points four times in that span. In his last matchup against the Timberwolves he recorded a double-double and scored 30 fantasy points.
Other Options – Joe Johnson ($5,200), T.J. Warren ($4,500)
Anthony Davis ($10,600) – Davis is the best player in tonight’s slate and also the most expensive one. The matchup isn’t ideal either as he takes on the Grizzlies who like to play a slow paced game. That being said, they aren’t as tough of a defense as they’ve been in years past. They’re surrendering 46.7 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards and have a -2.7 rebound differential. Davis has topped 50 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games, including a 75 fantasy point performance. He’s averaging 26.2 points and 14.2 boards in his last five games. He provides a tremendous ceiling and very high floor.
Kevin Love ($8,600) – Love has topped 40 fantasy points in six consecutive games. The Wizards surrender 47.2 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, but are yielding 49.8 fantasy points per game in their last 10 games. Love has scored 20 or more points in six of his last eight games and has recorded five double-doubles in that span. He also averages 2.8 three pointers per game. Love continues to see a high usage rate with Kyrie Irving on the shelf. That shouldn’t change any time soon.
Other Options – Thaddeus Young $7,100
Zach Randolph ($6,200) – Randolph has recorded a double-double in his last two games played. He’s a borderline $7,000 player priced at $6,200. In his first game back after missing five games with a knee injury, he seemed a bit rusty at first, but managed to score 17 points and grab 11 boards. Tonight he takes on the Pelicans who allow the sixth most rebounds per game (46.1) and the second most points per game (108.9). He should have no problem hitting value and is in a great spot to potentially 6x his salary.
Other Options – Dirk Nowitzki $6,600, Julius Randle $6,100
Marc Gasol ($7,100) – Gasol’s numbers are down from what they were last season, but he has flashed us his potential ceiling of 45+ fantasy point games. He’s one of the best passing big men in the league and is one of the few centers that offers triple-double upside. The Pelicans surrender the second most fantasy points per game to opposing centers (53). They also surrender the sixth most rebounds per game (46.1) and the second most points per game (108.9). This is a good spot for Gasol to reach his ceiling. This game has an over/under of 200 points and the Grizzlies have an implied point total of 100.5 points.
Other Options – Brook Lopez $7,400, Karl-Anthony Towns $6,900
Zaza Pachulia ($6,000) – Zaza has topped 31 fantasy points in five of his last seven games, including three 40+ fantasy point games. He continues to play at a high level and providing a safe floor. He faces off against the Blazers who surrender the most fantasy points per game to opposing centers (53.1). If you’re looking for a cheaper option at center, Pachulia offers plenty of upside at a reasonable price.
Other Options – Jahlil Okafor $6,600