Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday December 27th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Kemba Walker vs. ORL ($8,500) – Walker shot poorly last night, but is looking to bounce back against the Magic. Prior to last night’s game, he has scored more than 33 fantasy points in six consecutive games, including three 40+ fantasy point performances. The Magic allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards based on DraftKings scoring settings (51). If you’re looking for a high-end point guard, but aren’t willing to pay five figures for one, Walker is a great option.
Other Studs: Stephen Curry $10,600, John Wall $10,400, and Michael Carter-Williams $9,600
Trey Burke vs. PHI ($3,000) – Burke has been very inconsistent in his second season in the NBA. However, his price just dropped from $5300 to the bare minimum, and even with his ups and downs throughout the season, he shouldn’t be priced that low. Burke is averaging 23.9 fantasy points per game this season. He’s scored 23 or more fantasy points in five of the last 10 games, and has a favorable matchup tonight. The Jazz face the Sixers which allow 50.2 fantasy points to opposing point guards. Burke should be able to capitalize on tonight’s matchup, and at this low cost, you’re not risking much to find out.
Other Values: Derrick Rose $6,900, Brandon Knight $6,800, and Jose Calderon $4,800
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Jimmy Butler vs. NO ($8,000) – Butler has been play well all season, but especially in the last several games. He has scored 40 or more fantasy points in five of his last six games, including a 50.5 and two 60+ fantasy point performances. Keep in mind; he averages 38.5 fantasy points per game for the season. He’s the second highest priced shooting guard behind Dwayne Wade, who is also playing well, but has a bit of a higher ceiling. Not to mention, the Pelicans have struggled against shooting guards in their last 10 games. They’ve allowed 46.9 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards in that timeframe. You can feel comfortable with Butler in your lineup.
Other Studs: Dwayne Wade $8,600, Klay Thompson $7,800, and Tyreke Evans $7,500
Giannis Antekounmpo vs. ATL ($5,400) – With Jabari Parker out for the season, Antekounmpo should continue to a decent amount of minutes. In the last four games, he has played 30 or more minutes, and has score more than 20 fantasy points in each game. He has actually scored more than 20 fantasy points in eight of his last games. Tonight is a good matchup for him, as the Hawks are allowing 44 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. If you’re not willing to pay up for the shooting guard position, Antekounmpo has a pretty decent floor, and doesn’t cost much.
Other Values: Ben McLemore $5300, Avery Bradley $4,100, and Sergey Karasev $3,000
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward vs. PHI ($8,100) – Hayward is finally back at home after a six game road trip. He scored more than 30 fantasy points in four of those six games. Tonight he has a great matchup. The Sixers are the worst defending small forwards. They allow 43.1 fantasy points per game. Hayward is the third most expensive at his position tonight, but has the best matchup of all small forwards. He has a high floor, and is very consistent. The only concern would be a blowout, but even if this game becomes that, he should still be very productive.
Other Studs: Carmelo Anthony $10,500, Rudy Gay $8,600, and Tobias Harris $7,400
Andrew Wiggins at GS ($5,700) – Wiggins has put together back-to-back 20+ real point games, and that has turned into two back-to-back 35+ fantasy point games. He’s a streaky player, but has a high ceiling. He has scored more than 30 fantasy points in four of his last 10 games. He faces the Warriors who have played well against small forwards, but have struggled in their last 10 games, as they have allowed 41.3 fantasy points per game. Wiggins makes a good tournament play tonight, and if he performs as he has been in recent games, he should easily exceed value.
Other values: Shabazz Muhammad $6,300, Harrison Barnes $5,100, and Jared Dudley $3,700
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Anthony Davis at CHI ($11,600) – Most of the high-level power forwards have tough matchups, including Davis. However, if you’re planning on paying up for a power forward you’re better off paying up for the best one available. Davis is averaging 49.1 fantasy points per game, but has scored more than 50 fantasy points in five of his last eight games. The Bulls have surrendered 47 fantasy points per game in the last 10 games to opposing power forwards. It’s unlikely that Pau Gasol will be able to contain Davis, so don’t hesitate to get him in your lineups.
Other Studs: Pau Gasol $8,900, Paul Milsap $8,200, and Derrick Favors $7,600
Robert Convington at UTA ($5,800) – Convington continues to play well and get minutes, yet his price remains steady. In the last 10 games, he has scored more than 25 fantasy points eight times. Keep in mind; he averages 21.3 fantasy points per game for the season. He has established himself well in the Sixers offense, and has a relatively high floor. The Jazz are surrendering 42.2 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, and the Sixers will likely be trailing in this game, so Convington should have plenty of opportunities to put up some points.
Other Values: Nerlens Noel $5,000, Marreese Spreights $4,600, and Reggie Evans $3,000 (if Cousins sits)
Marc Gasol at MIA ($9,300) – Zach Randolph could sit out tonight’s game again, which should provide Gasol with more shot and chances to grab boards. In fact, in his absence Gasol has played really well. He has scored 45+ fantasy points in three consecutive games now, and could make it a fourth. In addition, this is a great matchup for him. The Miami Heat allows 46.1 fantasy points per game to opposing centers. I’m not huge on paying up for centers, but tonight could be worth paying up for Gasol.
Other Studs: Al Jefferson $9,100, Nikola Vucevic $8,800, and Mason Plumlee $7,900
Kelly Olynyk at WAS ($5,200) – If you’ve decided to take the cheaper route at the center position, look into Olynyk. He has played well in the last six games. He has scored more than 24 points in five of those games, and more than 30 in three of them, including a 52.25 performance against the Sixers. Tonight, he faces the Wizards which have struggled against centers in recent games. In their last 10 games, the Wizards are allowing 45.7 fantasy points per game to centers. If you want to save money in this position, and spread it at other positions, the Olynyk is your guy.
Other values: Kyle O’Quinn $5,500, Omer Asik $5,200, and Rudy Gobert $5,000