Armando Marsal

Fantasy Writer

 

Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday December 13th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.

POINT GUARD TARGETS

Studs

Chris Paul at MIL ($10,000) – Prior to last night’s game, Paul had been playing lights out. He had posted four straight double-doubles, and scored more than 44 fantasy points in each game. He’s looking to start another double-double streak against the Bucks tonight. The Bucks defense has allowed over 50 fantasy points to opposing point guards in the last five games. Paul is the best point guard in tonight’s games, so if you’re willing to pay up, he’s your guy.

Damian Lillard at IND ($8,500) – Lillard has put together to very nice performances in the last two games. He’s scored more than 45 fantasy points in each of those games. Tonight’s matchup is one that favors Lillard. The Pacers allow the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (51), but in the last five games are giving up 55 fantasy points per game. Lillard fills up the stat sheets in just about every game. If you don’t want to pay top dollar for Paul, but still want a stud point guard, Lillard is just that.

Values

Patrick Beverly vs. DEN ($5,500) – Beverley has scored 30 or more fantasy points in five straight games. The reason I point that out is because he averages 26 fantasy points per game for the year. He’s been playing well and getting minutes, which is just as important. He’ll play the Nuggets tonight, and they are allowing 55.2 fantasy points per game in the last five games. Taking him tonight at $5500 is great value if you ask me, considering his recent production.

C.J. Watson vs. POT ($4,200) – If you’re searching for a starting point guard at a bottom of the barrel price, Watson is someone to consider. He’s been filling in for the injured George Hill, and hasn’t been so bad. He’s averaging 21.1 fantasy points per game, and has scored over his average in five of his six games. The matchup is not the greatest, but the price is just about right to disregard the matchup. He’s a good way to fill in a guard position cheaply.

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SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS

Studs

James Harden at vs. DEN ($11,000) – If you’re looking to spend the big bucks in the shooting guard position tonight, then without a doubt pay up for Harden. He has scored over 49 fantasy points in four consecutive games. He’s a scoring machine, and does a little bit of everything. A high ceiling, high floor player is what you get when you pay for Harden.

Victor Oladipo vs. ATL ($6,300) – Here’s a guard who’s been playing really well in recent games. He’s scored 27 or more fantasy points in his last four games. The matchup is also a good one for Oladipo. The Hawks are allowing 42.1 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. He just put up 21 points and went 3-3 from beyond the arc against the Hawks last night.

Values

Ben McLemore vs. DET ($4,900) – McLemore tends to be inconsistent, but gets a decent amount of minutes, and that’s why at $4900 in a GPP, he can be a solid play. Not to mention, this is a great matchup for him as the Pistons allow 43 fantasy points per games to opposing shooting guards. He’s scored over 20 fantasy points in back-to-back games, which is more than his yearly average.

Wesley Matthews at IND ($5,800) – Mathews has had a couple of bad games in December, but has also put together some good games. These up and down games could be the cause of his price being this low. He’s been $6000 or more in his last 10 games. I’ll take this discounted price, and put Matthews in some lineups. He could easily score over 30 fantasy points against the Pacers who are allowing 36.4 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.

 

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SMALL FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

Rudy Gay vs. DET ($8,400) – He’s the most expensive guard for tonight’s games, but could be well worth it. Gay has scored more than 36 fantasy points in six straight games. In that span, he’s also scored over 40 fantasy points three times. Tonight he’ll take on the Pistons who have been giving up 43.2 fantasy points per game over the last five games to small forwards. He’s picking up the slack for the injured Cousins, and should continue to do so tonight.

Trevor Ariza vs. DEN ($6,600) – Ariza has been playing over 40 minutes in the last four games, and has scored more than 30 fantasy points five of his last six games. The minutes are there, and so is the production. Not to mention, he as a favorable matchup this evening. The Nuggets have allowed over 42 fantasy points per game in the last five games. This should be another productive game for Ariza.

Values

Donatas Motiejunas vs. DEN ($5,200) – He starts at power forward for the Rockets, and has been getting over 30 minutes per game in the last ten days. He’s also averaging over 28 fantasy points per game in that time frame. He’s averaging 16 points, eight rebounds, and one block over the last five games. There’s a chance that Dwight Howard returns to the lineup tonight, but Motiejunas should still see plenty of minutes to produce some fantasy points.

Jabari Parker vs. LAC ($5,000) – Parker has played 29 or more minutes in five of his last six games. He’s done well with his opportunity has he has scored more than 24 fantasy points in four of those games. He will face the Clippers who have been vulnerable defending small forwards. They are giving up 41.2 fantasy points per game to small forwards for the season. If you’re looking for a more economical small forward than can put up over 20 fantasy points, Parker fits that category.

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POWER FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

LaMarcus Aldridge at IND ($10,300) – Aldridge is the second most expensive power forward for tonight’s games. He has scored over his yearly average of 41.2 fantasy points in eight of his last 10 games. He also has a favorable matchup this evening against the Pacers who have been allowing over 47 fantasy points per game to power forwards in the last five games. Many people will pay up for Griffin tonight, but I’ll go with the cheaper of the two in Aldridge.

Paul Milsap at ORL ($8,900) – Milsap is a high ceiling, high floor power forward, and he’s $1400 cheaper than Aldridge who is the power forward above him in pricing. Milsap also has a great matchup against the Magic. They’ve been surrendering the third most points per game to power forward in the last five games (49.5). It’s unlikely that Channing Frye will be able to keep up with Milsap tonight. If you want a high-end power forward, but don’t want to pay top dollar, Milsap is a good option.

Values

Robert Covington vs. MEM ($3,600) – A starting power forward who has scored 27 or more fantasy points in four of his last four games at an ultimately low price, where can I find one of those? That’s exactly what Covington is. He’s also coming off of a 40 burger, and has a great matchup. He’ll face the Grizzlies who have allowed 48.1 fantasy points per game to power forward over the last five games. This is one of the best values of tonight’s games.

Jason Thompson vs. DET ($4,600) – Thompson has played well as of late. He’s scored 20 or more fantasy points in the last five games. This could have a lot to do with Cousins absence. The good news is that Cousins status is up in the air again tonight. Not to mention, this is a great matchup. The Pistons have allowed more than 52 fantasy points per game over their last five games. Thompson should be able to continue producing points at a low price.

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CENTER TARGETS

Studs

Marc Gasol at PHI ($8,600) – Gasol has balled in recent games. He’s scored more than 44 fantasy points in seven of his last ten games. He’s already considered one of the better big mans in the league, but has played exceptionally well as of late. Tonight he has a great matchup against the Sixers who are giving up 49.3 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. The only concern here would be a potential blowout causing Gasol to play fewer minutes, but even if that happens, he’ll get his. He’s should continue to play at a high level this evening.

DeAndre Jordan at MIL ($7,000) – Jordan has scored more than 40 fantasy points in three of his last four games. Prior to last night’s game, Jordan had three consecutive double-doubles. He won’t score many points, but is a good source of boards, blocks, and steals. Tonight he heads to Milwaukee to face the Bucks who have allowed an average 51 fantasy points per game in their last five games. He’s not that pricey, and could have another big night.

Values

Kyle O’Quinn vs. ATL ($4,800) – Nicola Vucevic is expected to return either tonight or Monday night. If he can’t give it a go tonight, O’Quinn should get the start again. O’Quinn has played more than 30 minutes in each of the last two games, and has scored over 29 fantasy points in both games. The Hawks give up 42 fantasy points per game to opposing centers. Keep an eye on Vucevic’s status before pulling the trigger on O’Quinn.

Mason Plumlee at CHA ($4,700) – Plumlee started in place of Brook Lopez last night, and scored 18 points, grabbed 10 boards, and had two steals. He ended up scoring 35 fantasy points. Tonight he faces the Bobcats which have allowed an average 58 fantasy points per game in their last five games. If you’re not planning to pay up for a center tonight, Plumlee could be a solid and economical option.