Only two games in the NBA tonight, so there are limited options to target. Both are crucial Game 6s in which the Bucks and Grizzlies will be battling for their playoff lives at home, while the Raptors and Spurs will try and advance to the second round. The stars will be out, but as always we can bank on an unexpected hero or two.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,300) — Normally, I always feature Giannis at SF, but with Kawhi on the slate I think the best idea is to build around both of them. Of course, you can always slot Giannis and Kawhi both at forward (probably the smartest move) and roster one of these other PGs. But no matter how you roster him, The Greek Freak has his back against the wall tonight, which means he’s playing big minutes and going all out. Although I think the Raptors win the game, I think we see Giannis’ best game of the series tonight.
Other Options – Mike Conley ($8,600), Kyle Lowry ($7,800)
Tony Parker ($4,900) — Unless Pop benches his starters like he did in Game 3, playoff Tony Parker has been a lot more productive than regular season Tony Parker. He’s just too cheap for the production he offers when the Spurs are actually playing for something. TP’s exceeded value in each of the other four games in the series, and I expect him to do so again tonight.
Other Options – Patty Mills ($3,700)
DeMar DeRozan ($8,100) — DeRozan is the only SG option priced above $4,200, so he’s here by default. Although he’s not a bad option, I’d personally lean towards going with value at this position. That said if you think DeMar has the potential to go off in this game more than a guy like Lowry, go for it. But as the lone stud, you’ll probably see DeRozan have some pretty high ownership.
Manu Ginobili ($3,300) — Believe it or not, Manu was held scoreless in the series until Game 5. Maybe that’s what he needed to get going, as he dropped 25 DKFP in 18 minutes. There’s certainly risk here, but at $3,300 the upside is pretty nice.
Other Options – Vince Carter ($4,100), Tony Snell ($4,000)
Kawhi Leonard ($9,700) — We got two different Kawhis in the two games in Memphis thus far (30 DKFP and 71 DKFP). I’m thinking we see something closer to Game 4 Kawhi with a chance to close out Memphis on its home court. He and Giannis are the two clear-cut studs on this slate, and it shouldn’t be a problem fitting both of them.
Other Options — Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,300), Khris Middleton ($6,300)
Vince Carter ($4,100) — Half Man Half Amazing has been a throwback this postseason. Having played 32+ minutes in four straight games, Carter’s really one of the best values on this slate. The veteran rarely makes mistakes, and still has the athleticism to hang around, even in playoff basketball. Carter’s exceeded value in back-to-back games and is a safe play considering his recent playing time.
Other Options – Tony Snell ($4,000), James Ennis III ($3,700), DeMarre Carroll ($3,000)
Serge Ibaka ($6,500) — Your eyes probably drift towards Zach Randolph and LaMarcus Aldridge first when looking at PFs, but Ibaka has actually been much better this postseason. The Raptors have been playing some small-ball, which features Ibaka — who’s exceeded value in four of the five games in this series. That’s much more consistent production than Randolph and Aldridge have shown.
Other Options – Zach Randolph ($6,600), LaMarcus Aldridge ($6,400)
David Lee ($4,300) — Lee has been playing some center for the Spurs but also eating up some of Aldridge’s minutes/production over the past couple of games. Lee’s averaging 29.5 minutes and 22 DKFP over the Spurs’ last two outings, which is solid/safe value for a small slate like this.
Other Options – James Ennis III ($3,700), JaMychal Green ($3,600), DeMarre Carroll ($3,000)
Marc Gasol ($7,200) — Unless you like flipping Randolph or Ibaka over to center, Gasol is pretty much your only stud option. If you can afford him, he’s clearly the safest and highest upside play of all the centers on this slate. I like using stars in elimination games, as you know they’ll be giving it their all until the final buzzer.
Other Options – Zach Randolph ($6,600), Serge Ibaka ($6,500)
Pau Gasol ($4,600) — The other Gasol hasn’t been very productive in this series, despite his team holding a 3-2 lead. Pau is just so cheap that you have to think he’s going to bounce-back towards the norm sooner rather than later — which was an average of 28 DKFP during the regular season. If he can do that, he’d make for spectacular value. Jonas Valanciunas may be a little safer a play, but Pau definitely boasts the upside.
Other Options – Jonas Valanciunas ($4,400), David Lee ($4,300), Thon Maker ($3,800)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.