We break down every game on tonight’s NBA slate. Let’s take a look at who you should be considering for your NBA lineups tonight.


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Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Over/Under: 193
Line: Cavs -8

This is a game I have some interest in watching, but very little interest in using for daily fantasy purposes. Cleveland is one of the best defensive teams we have in the league and they do not play at an overly fast pace. Toronto is also solid on the defensive end. They play slightly faster than Cleveland does, but both teams have been scoring around 100 and giving up low 90s in recent contests, so I do not expect this to be one of the higher scoring games. It is pretty easy to nail down where the fantasy points will come from on each side. Both teams have a few studs that handle the workload. Kyle Lowry, DeRozan, Kyrie, and LeBron all account for 27% or more of their team’s usage rates, and they also are four of the guys who happen to be the top fantasy producers on their teams. Kevin Love’s rate is only at 22%, but I guess you can throw him in that mix too. The problem I have here is that all these guys are pricey. You might get the top fantasy score from this game out of one of them, but on a points per $ scale they should all fall short of what we are looking for.

Targets

  • Kyle Lowry ($8100)
  • Jonas Valaciunas ($5200)
  • LeBron James ($9500)


Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under: 204.5
Line: Timberwolves -5.5

Somebody has to win this game, which is good news for two teams that have been losing quite a bit lately. The Sixers are actually on one of their better stretches of the season with two wins in the last five games. It does not sound all that great, but they only had one win all season before this recent run. Minnesota has lost 7 of thier last 10 as well. Both teams struggle to score 100 and have given up that many in most of the recent games they have played. Vegas expects to see a few more points from them here and the spread is close enough that it should remain competitive throughout. The point guard play from both teams has been better lately. Rubio and Ish Smith are actually priced about the same here. Rubio has seen more consistent minutes as Ish’s have ticked down in his most recent games. The young big men on both sides have also done well recently. Towns has been a man on a mission, while Dieng has been solid when Garnett is out and he gets the minutes. On the other side, Nerlens Noel has gone off lately. With Okafor now back, his production may take a hit though. Okafor is still not up to his normal minutes, so he remains off the radar despite having a chance to put up big per minute numbers.

Targets

  • Karl-Anthony Towns ($7300)
  • Ricky Rubio ($7100)
  • Nerlens Noel ($6700)
  • Nik Stauskas ($3400)


Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets

Over/Under: 202
Line: Boston -7

Normally I would think this game is a lock for Boston. They have been the better team to this point in the season, but they are coming off back-to-back losses to the lowly Lakers and this same Nets squad. The Nets are a mess right now. They have been bad most of the season and just lost starting point guard Jarrett Jack to an ACL tear that will keep him out for the rest of the season. That means Shane Larkin will step into a starting role and have a rough day trying to keep Isaiah Thomas in front of him. The Celtics are getting healthy and the more people healthy, the more Brad Stevens can tinker with his rotation. We have seen Crowder, Olynyk, Turner, Bradley, Sullinger, Amir Johnson, David Lee, Marcus Smart, and a few others all get minutes and have solid fantasy games for Boston. The problem is figuring out who will perform on any given night when that many players see meaningful minutes. The Nets are a lot easier to peg as Thad Young and Brook Lopez have been the only two consistent threats they have. The total here is reasonably high at 202 and the spread of 7 is not too bad with Brooklyn being hime. I think we see full run from the starters and a few guys in pretty solid spots to produce here.

Targets

  • Shane Larkin ($4400)
  • Brook Lopez ($7500)
  • Isaiah Thomas ($7800)
  • Jae Crowder ($6200)


Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Over/Under:197
Line: DET -3.5

We have some injury news in this game that has kept Vegas from posting a line on it. Reggie Jackson and Elfrid Payton are both questionable. That means we could see both teams without their starting point men in this one. If Reggie sits, Brandon Jennings would be an intriguing punt play. He is very cheap and has ran this team before. Other than him, Andre Drummond is the top option against weak Vucevic defense. In fact both centers are in play here as neither guy is known as a defensive stopper and both are a major part of the offense for their respective teams. Kentavius Caldwell-Pope has the safest minutes and floor for Detroit. He has put up some nice games and been fantasy useful over the past week or so. On Orlando, they were blown out last game, so take those numbers with a grain of salt. Guys like Fournier and Harris have been meeting value lately and would be where I would look for an uptick if Payton is out.

Targets

  • Tobias Harris ($6100)
  • Nikola Vucevic ($7600)
  • Kentavius Caldwell-Pope ($5300)
  • Andre Drummond ($9200)


Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat

Over/Under: 192
Line: Heat -2

This is not one of the better games to target for fantasy purposes, although I think we will see a lot of people doing so. I think the Heat get the bump up in pace here, but the low total still gives me a ton of pause. As far as matchups go, Whiteside has the best one. Indy has struggled to guard centers all year, so this is a good spot for him. He has played better recently, especially when he sees enough minutes. Sometimes it’s fouls and sometimes Spoelstra just benches him, so we need to be aware of that risk. Goran Dragic has a tough matchup, but his price and recent production make him interesting as well. For the Pacers, we see Hill and George doing most of the heavy lifting lately. I do not like the pace difference for them at all here, but if I was forced to use Pacer players, they would be my choices.

Targets

  • Hassan Whiteside ($7400)
  • Goran Dragic ($5900)
  • George Hill ($5300)
  • Paul George ($8900)


Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Over/Under: 218
Line: Thunder -11

This game should feature a ton of fantasy points. Both teams like to play fast and the hot pace should be beneficial to both sides. The Thunder are very easy to peg as Westbrook and Durant dominate the ball on that side. It makes it easy to know where to go for fantasy purposes. On the Kings, we also have four guys who play huge minutes every game. Cousins, Gay, Rondo, and Casspi all see upwards of 30 minutes of floor time each night, so they are the ones who produce much of the fantasy scoring. The problem here is none of those guys are cheap. Stacking this game is nearly impossible with four of these main guys costing $8400 or more. Choosing which of the studs here to use is likely to be a major boom or bust to your rosters this evening. It’s tough to decide, but you definitely want to have at least some exposure to this high scoring game, even with a risk of a blowout due to the high spread.

Targets

  • Kevin Durant ($10000)
  • Russell Westbrook ($10700)
  • DeMarcus Cousins ($10100)
  • Rajon Rondo ($8400)

Kevin Durant’s status is in question for tonight’s game. If he does sit, Russell Westbrook becomes a great play.


San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks

Over/Under: 192
Line: Spurs -9.5

This is not a game I would look to target heavily for fantasy purposes. Milwaukee has been paced up lately, which should tick up some of the Spurs guys. The problem is the Spurs play a lot of guys and no one really sees big minutes outside of Kawhi Leonard. The Spurs are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, so taking anyone against them is not a highly profitable play to make often. Guys like MCW and Middleton have been the ones who have seen more minutes and production to propel the Bucks upside, but they have a very low team total here, especially for a team who has put up big numbers lately. On the Spurs side, we have Tony Parker out and that opens up some value for them in the form of Patty Mills who should see more minutes now.

Targets

  • Patty Mills ($3700)
  • Kawhi Leonard ($8700)
  • Greg Monroe ($6500)
  • Michael Carter-Williams ($6700)


Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz

Over/Under: 200
Line: HOU -2

Vegas is slow to post a line on this game because of the Favors injury. Favors is a huge key to how this game might go. Utah has played a faster pace with Gobert out and Favors missing lately as well. Without the twin towers, they are almost forced to in order to compete. It also affects the targets we go after as well. With Burks and those two on the shelf, Hayward and Hood have picked up the scoring slack. Trevor Booker also becomes a viable option as he is too cheap for the minutes he gets when those two are not active. On the Rockets side, James Harden is always in play. Dwight Howard has really been playing well lately and Ty Lawson is starting to steal minutes back from Patrick Beverley as well. Favors playing makes the defense much better for Utah, but if he is out then I think the rockets can score at will with no rim protection to worry about.

Targets

  • Gordon Hayward ($7500)
  • Rodney Hood ($5500)
  • James Harden ($9800)
  • Dwight Howard ($7100)


Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trailblazers

Over/Under: 193
Line: MEM -2

Another game with no line due to injury concerns. Both Mike Conley and Damian Lillard are questionable for this game. Without the point guards, we will have some value and a tough time deciding who to target in this one. C.J. McCollum has really ticked up his usage with Lillard out. He is getting pricey, but is likely the top scorer for the Blazers. On the other side, with no Conley, we should see Mario Chalmers get a huge boost. He would be the swerve if that is the case. Outside of those two, we have a lot of questions. Gasol has been ok and has a good matchup. Guys like Green, Barnes, and Z Bo would also be options to look at. Each has had big games and bad games recently, so that could go either way. For Portland, we also have tons of question marks. Guys like Crabbe, Harkless, and Aminu will all get a boost with no Lillard. Meyers Leonard and Mason Plumlee have alternated being the good who sees more court time. Nothing is really certain, which makes it hard for us to use any of these guys in cash.

Targets

  • C.J. McCollum ($8100)
  • Meyers Leonard ($4200)
  • Mario Chalmers ($4000)
  • Marc Gasol ($7100)

Charlotte Hornets @ Golden State Warriors

Over/Under: 208
Line: GS -9.5

Jeremy Lin, Stephen Curry, Nicolas Batum, Festus Ezeli, and Al Jefferson are all either out or doubtful to play in this one. It makes it very tough to talk about who to target. We know there is no Jefferson for sure, so Cody Zeller is likely to continue to play more. Spencer Hawes is out, so him and Kaminsky both should see a few extra minutes. Whether Batum plays or not, Kemba Walker has been very good lately. He is another guy I would want some exposure to in a high paced game like this one should be. On Golden state, we have Draymond going off on a near nightly basis at this point. He is always someone to consider. Steph did play limited minutes last game, so that takes him and Livingston off the table for me. Klay Thompson has been picking up the scoring in his absence, so that would be the other guy I looked for here.

Targets

  • Kemba Walker ($8200)
  • Cody Zeller ($5200)
  • Klay Thompson ($7800)
  • Draymond Green ($9900)