NBA Cheat Sheet for the 6 PM and later contests on Sunday evening:
Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Suns vs. Raptors – The highest total on the night is 205. This game should be a battle of the guards as Knight will battle Lowry and Bledsoe will battle Derozan. It will also be important to check the status of Tyson Chandler as the big man could sit this one out.
LOW O/U – 76ers vs. Grizzlies – The lowest total on the night is at 193.5. The 76ers are having to play PR with their rookie Okafor as he is having some off the court issues. Both of these teams play slow and fit the total. I like Bob Cov and Gasol in this one.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Celtics vs. Magic – This game has a projected pace of 100 and is one of the highest on the night. The Celtics have been at the top of the pace charts since the beginning of the season. This one should be quick and provide a lot of fantasy goodness.
LOW PACE – Pistons vs. Nets – The slowest late slate game involves the Pistons (no surprise there). The pace of this one is 97.7. A lot of this game will run through the big men, Drummond and BroLo. I also like where Jarrett Jack sets up in this matchup.
Defense vs. Position
Here are the 3 best and worst matchups at each position tonight:
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – George Hill vs. D’Angelo Russell- No this hasn’t changed since last night. The Lakers are still terrible against PGs. Hill has taken a backseat to Paul George, but he still produces. I definitely like his matchup tonight.
AVOID – Brandon Knight vs. Kyle Lowry – This game should have a lot of action and on paper this is a great matchup. Knight is up and down with production. He gets a tough one tonight against Lowry who is ranked 4th against opposing guards.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – James Harden vs. Arron Affalo – Affalo has historically been a great defender, but New York ranks at the bottom when it comes to defending SGs. Harden is an elite scorer and will have his way the Knicks tonight.
AVOID – Avery Bradley vs. The Magic’s Starter – I don’t think Scott Skiles knows who is he going to start ever. Whoever the Magic decide to roll out can defend. Bradley has been some nice value, but tonight there are better matchups.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Jeff Green vs. Robert Covington- The 76ers can’t guard SFs. Actually the 76ers and the Wizards are about equally bad at guarding the SF spot. Green has come on for the Griz and should have a great chance to hit value tonight.
AVOID – The Lakers Starter vs. Paul George – The Pacers have moved George to the 4 and back to the 3 depending on matchups. Kobe will probably sit due to the back to back status. It doesn’t matter who the Lakers roll out, it should be a rough night.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – Kristaps Porzingis vs. Clint Capela- Capela drew the start for the Rockets Friday and should get another chance today. However, he gets the Knicks rookie who has been on fiyahh. I love Kristaps tonight.
AVOID – Luis Scola vs. Markieff Morris – Scola had a rough outing last night and gets another tough matchup tonight. The Suns are ranked 6th against opposing guards, so Scola will have his work cut out for him tonight.
TARGET – Ian Mahinmi vs. Roy Hibbert – The Laker big play didn’t work out so well last night, but tonight Mahinmi sets up cheap. He has done a great job as the starting C for the Pacers with rebounds and blocks. He has a great matchup tonight and has a great chance to hit value.
AVOID – Brook Lopez vs. Andre Drummond – BroLo has hit value in his last three games, but gets the best young C defender in the league tonight. I think he still has an opportunity to hit value, but will probably be stifled at that point.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
James Harden – Fear the beard tonight as Harden has been on fire lately (probably because of the firing of Mchale). He is a beast and shouldn’t be overlooked. I will definitely be spending up tonight.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Bismack Biyombo – Biyombo was great as a defender and rebounder during his time with the Hornets. He is getting some decent minutes and usage with the Raptors now. Look for him to have a great shot at value tonight.
Dud of the Night
Tyson Chandler- Chandler went out of last game due to an injury and is doubtful tonight. He will probably not play and shouldn’t be in any line tonight.