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We’ve got an eight-game slate here Wednesday night, but only three players are priced over $10k. I will do my best to provide you with the best and worst matchup focusing on statistics at each position, plus some bonus lineup building picks.
Be sure to check in on the DK Live app throughout the day to monitor injury and lineup news. Another great way to help build your lineup is to tune into DKTV at 6 PM EST for Pre-Lock Live — a one hour show that will keep you posted on up to the minute news along with plenty of analysis.
Hit me up on Twitter with comments or questions: @julianedlow.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
BEST – John Wall ($9,300) vs. Atlanta Hawks – Kyrie Irving ($8,600) might be the obvious choice here against the Nuggets, and he easily could go off as he did against the Lakers on Sunday. However, the Hawks have been brutal defending PGs lately, allowing 57.1 DKFP on average (which ranks 28th overall). With Wall priced all the way down to $9,300, he feels like a great play to me.
WORST – Isaiah Thomas ($8,100) vs. Indiana Pacers – This may not sound like the worst matchup, but the Pacers have been fantastic defending PGs lately, while Thomas has been deferring to his teammates over the last five or more games. Indy is the top-ranked team at limiting PGs to under 40 DKFP over the past 10 games, a number that Isaiah hasn’t topped in his last five outings.
Shooting Guard Matchups
BEST – Tim Hardaway Jr. ($5,900) vs. Washington Wizards – Washington has been solid defending SGs this season but is allowing more than seven DKFP above its season average over the last 10 games. That average of 50.5 DKFP is dead last in the league, which gives Hardaway a great opportunity, especially without Kent Bazemore in this one.
WORST – Buddy Hield ($5,000) vs. Milwaukee Bucks – Hield is coming off a nice game against the Spurs and he’s played 32 minutes in consecutive games. His salary is up $500, but he should still be a popular play on this slate due to his last game. But remember, this is an inconsistent rookie that also scored 14.25 DKFP against OKC and 11 DKFP against Phoenix. The Bucks are giving up just 38.2 total DKFP to SGs in the last 10 games on average, which ranks second in the league.
Small Forward Matchups
BEST – Jae Crowder ($6,000) vs. Indiana Pacers – In fading IT, Crowder becomes an interesting option. His minutes have increased in three straight games (from 35 to 36 to 38), a span in which he’s averaged over 38 DKFP. The Pacers rank 29th vs. SFs in their last 10 games, yielding more than 53 total DKFP per game.
WORST – Carmelo Anthony ($6,800) vs. Utah Jazz – I’m just reporting the stats here: Utah ranks first in the league this season defending SFs and Anthony scored just 23 DKFP against the Clippers on Monday. That said … $6,800 for ‘Melo feels like a steal that you have to think about pouncing on — particularly considering Paul George went for 44 DKFP against Utah this week.
Power Forward Matchups
BEST – Marvin Williams ($6,400) vs. Orlando Magic – Frank Kaminsky’s return has slowed Williams slightly, but Marvin’s still averaging 33.5 DKFP in Charlotte’s last two contests. Orlando has been struggling big time since shifting Aaron Gordon over to PF, getting slammed for an average of 63.3 total DKFP at that position in its previous five games.
WORST – Kristaps Porzingis ($6,200) vs. Utah Jazz – Utah has been the best team defending PFs all season long, and is even showing signs of improvement, giving up 6.5 less DKFP than its season average in the last five games. I won’t try and spin this one into a positive for ‘Staps. He’s been solid lately, but the matchup is really tough.
BEST – Rudy Gobert ($7,700) vs. New York Knicks – It’s hard not to love Gobert tonight. For starters, he’s opposite a Knicks’ squad getting dominated for over 65 total DKFP in their last five games. With Gobert averaging 50.5 DKFP in Utah’s last three games, I think he makes for a great building block at less than $8K.
WORST – Richaun Holmes ($6,200) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder – Holmes has scored 30+ DKFP in four straight games, including 53 DKFP against the Magic on Monday while playing 42 minutes without Jahlil Okafor active. If Okafor remains out tonight, Holmes could hit value simply based on how many minutes he plays. But OKC present a very difficult center matchup, so you may want to think twice about Holmes with his salary jumping $1,100.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
John Wall ($9,300) – If I’m taking one of the three $10K+ players, I think Nikola Jokic ($10,000) makes the most sense, but you can get a guy that almost always costs $10K in Wall for much less. With this matchup, I think he should be way more expensive, so that’s where I’d look to take advantage.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Georgios Papagiannis ($3,400) – Digging all the way to the bottom for some value tonight isn’t a bad idea with this guy. Papa G (might’ve made that nickname up, but it’s way easier to type) has played an average of 23 minutes in Sacramento’s two previous games and has dropped 34.25 and 22 DKFP since getting the bump in playing time. The Bucks don’t fare well with centers, so I think he’s worth a look.
Next Man Up
Cristiano Felicio ($3,000) – Let me preface this selection – Felicio is questionable as of writing, so if he was ruled out, Bobby Portis would pick up a lot of center minutes. If he does play, though, there is reason to like Felicio. You’ve probably seen last night’s fight between Robin Lopez and Serge Ibaka by now, and there’s just no way RoLo isn’t suspended for at least tonight’s game. Bobby Portis ($3,900) gets a boost in value, but going up against Andre Drummond, the Bulls are going to be in desperate need of a big body. At the bare minimum, expect Felicio to get some solid minutes and potential production.
Plenty of injury news is sure to open up lots of value, so make sure you check the DK Live app prior to lock for all the latest breaking news regarding injuries, lineups and analysis.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.