Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Kings vs. Nuggets – The total in this game is 222.5. This is easily the highest total on the night. I am watching this one closely as DeMarcus Cousins is questionable with a sore tailbone. If Boogie plays he could easily be one of the highest scoring players on the night. For the Nuggets it should be all about Gallinari and Barton as both guys get great matchups.
LOW O/U – Rockets vs. Jazz- It’s always surprising to see the Rockets in a low scoring game, however tonight they play the Jazz. With a game total of 202.5 this is the lowest total of the night, but is honestly still appealing. The Jazz should lean on Hayward and Gobert for points. The Rockets will be all about the Beard as James Harden tries to put them on his back tonight.
Pace of Play
|Away Team||Away Pace||Home Team||Home Pace||Avg Pace|
HIGH PACE – Pelicans vs. Wizards – This is the second highest pace game on the night. The projected game pace total in this one is 100.5. After AD’s recent performance he should be highly owned in a positive matchup. For the Wizards it will be the John Wall show as he will be leaned on for most of the Wizard scoring.
LOW PACE – Nets vs. Trailblazers – The Nets are decimated by injuries, but still have a nice post game. With a projected game pace of 96.3 this is the second slowest of the night (to the Jazz). Damian Lillard is in play against a great matchup. For the Nets we should see a lot of Thad Young and BroLo tonight.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – Damian Lillard vs. Donald Sloan – Being snubbed for the All-Star team will make a guy mad all season it seems. Lillard gets a great matchup tonight against the 26th ranked Nets. He is projected at 40+ DK points tonight and may go for a lot more.
AVOID – Patrick Beverley vs. Raul Neto/Shelvin Mack – The Bevs had a good performance the last game, but will have a tough matchup against the 10th ranked Jazz tonight. I think he comes in slightly under value at about 20 DK points tonight.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – James Harden vs. Rodney Hood – Even in our lowest scoring game of the evening the Beard should run rampant. Harden has put up monster numbers over the past 5 games and the trend shouldn’t stop tonight.
AVOID – Hollis Thompson vs. Victor Oladipo – The Magic are ranked 5th against opposing SGs. The 76ers don’t really have a true SG and Thompson has been getting most of the run with Stauskas still limited. I have him projected under 20 DK points tonight and think that there are a lot better options.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Gordon Hayward vs. Trevor Ariza- Hayward has turned his season around during the 2nd half. The Rockets are 29th against opposing SFs and he will have a lot of opportunity tonight. I think he goes for 40 DK points tonight.
AVOID – Joe Johnson vs. Al-Farouq Aminu- One thing Aminu does great is defending. He is ranked 5th against opposing SFs and he should try to lock Joe down tonight. I think Joe may hit value, but it is going to take a lot of effort to go over.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – DeMarcus Cousins vs. Kenneth Faried – This one solely depends on status. Boogie is questionable with a sore tailbone. If he suits up tonight he should be to ham it up against the terrible Denver D.
AVOID – Josh Smith/Clint Capela vs. Derrick Favors – Favors is ranked 1st against opposing PFs. He will be too much for Smith or Capela. Look elsewhere tonight.
TARGET – Nikola Vucevic vs. Jahlil Okafor – Vuc faces the worst team against Cs in the league. He has really taken over with the exit of Tobias Harris. He is a double double threat on any given night and has the opportunity to go for 45+ tonight.
AVOID – Dwight Howard vs. Rudy Gobert – The Jazz bigs have a reputation as great defenders. Gobert is 3rd against opposing Cs. Howard is an off and on guy, but the young fresh legs of Rudy should rule the game in this one.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
Anthony Davis ($10,200) – 93 DK points, let me say it again…93 DK points. Davis crushed it the other night with a 20 – 20 performance. Tonight he gets a fast pace game and a good matchup. With his usage the sky’s the limit for AD.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Shelvin Mack ($3,600) – The Mack Attack is back. In his full debut the other night he posted 30 DK points. With all the injuries at guard for the Jazz, Mack had 25 minutes. With his performance he should continue to see minutes and at a close to min price, he has the opportunity to put up some nice numbers.
Dud of the Night
Trevor Ariza ($6,200) – Ariza posted his one 40 DK point game a month last game. He has a tough matchup against the Jazz tonight. I have him projected at about 25 DK points and feel like this total could actually come in under tonight.
Doubtful – Omer Asik, Donatas Montiejunas