Happy Sunday, folks! We have a nice eight-game slate tonight, and this could be a good evening to go with a balanced roster construction as there are a lot of intriguing options in the $6-$8K range. As always, make sure to keep a close eye on news as we head into lock. Now, let’s jump right into this and go over some players to target.
Kemba Walker ($7,300) – Typically, I prefer rostering Walker at home, but he draws a really nice matchup against the Timberwolves who have allowed 4.0 points above expectations to point guards and rank 28th in defensive rating. Walker leads the Hornets with a 26.4 percent usage rate and is playing 34.5 minutes per game, averaging 1.12 fantasy points per minute. His price tag is also very appealing and considering his subpar performance in his last game, he could go overlooked.
Other Options – Russell Westbrook $10,600, Damian Lillard $9,100, Ricky Rubio $6,800
Patty Mills ($3,500) – Mills has played 28 minutes in three of his last four games and draws a very nice matchup against the Suns who play up in pace and rank 25th in defensive rating. In addition, they have allowed 7.18 points above expectations to opposing point guards. Mills is not a high fantasy point per minute player, averaging just 0.62, but at this price tag and considering how favorable of a matchup this is, he offers enough upside to warrant consideration. He scored 27 fantasy points in his last contest, so there is a nice ceiling here.
Other Options – Mike James $5,000
DeMar DeRozan ($7,600) – DeRozan has topped 40 fantasy points in three of his last five games and has chucked up at least 20 shots in three of his last four. His usage is at a healthy 30.4 percent, and he is averaging 1.08 fantasy points per minute. The Wizards rank 21st in defense rating and play at a fast pace, so this could be another game where DeRozan attempts plenty of shots. In addition, it is a favorable matchup as the Wizards have allowed 4.97 points above expectations to shooting guards. Going back to the 2014-15 season, in 14 games against the Wizards, DeRozan has averaged 40.82 fantasy points per game, exceeded expectations by an average of 4.66 points and with a consistency rating of 64.3 percent.
Other Options – James Harden $10,100, Victor Oladipo $8,200, Bradley Beal $7,700
Donovan Mitchell ($3,800) – Mitchell continues to post solid numbers and remains too cheap. He also draws a nice matchup against the Rockets who have allowed 4.97 points above expectations to this position. Mitchell has topped 30 fantasy points and has taken at least 16 shots in three of his last four games while playing more than 30 minutes in each of his last two games. He has received a larger role and now may be the time to roster him before his price catches up to his production.
Other Options – Jeremy Lamb $6,000, Rodney Hood $4,800
Carmelo Anthony ($6,900) – Anthony is second on Oklahoma with a 28.1 percent usage rate. He has been very consistent this season, scoring at least 32 fantasy points in every single game. He has had just one 40+ fantasy point game this season but has been close on numerous occasions. At this price, he offers a very safe floor and upside, in a matchup that favors him as Al-Farouq Aminu is out for Portland.
Other Options – Paul George $7,200, Otto Porter $6,700
Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,600) – Bogdanovic has played well this season, exceeding expectations 56 percent of the time by an average of 3.44 points. He has topped 29 fantasy points in each of his last four games and played over 30 minutes in three of those contests. He draws a nice matchup against the Knicks who rank 19th in defensive rating. Considering his recent play, he should have no trouble paying off this reasonable salary.
Other Options – Kyle Kuzma $5,600, Kyle Anderson $4,300
Kristaps Porzingis ($9,300) – Porzingis is expected to play despite a sore ankle that kept him out of Saturday’s practice. He currently leads the league with a 36.1 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.38 fantasy points per minute. He has scored at least 30 real points in all but two games this season and has topped 50 fantasy points four times. He offers both a safe floor and major upside and remains at a price that makes it easy to roster him. The Pacers have allowed 4.06 points above expectations to this position and rank 18th in defensive rating while playing at the seventh highest pace. This is a matchup that Porzingis should exploit.
Other Options – LaMarcus Aldridge $8,300, Al Horford $7,200
Enes Kanter ($6,000) – Kanter continues to be a point per minute monster, averaging 1.26 fantasy points per minute. He draws a very good matchup against the Pacers who have allowed 4.71 points above expectations to the position. His price has caught up to his production, but he still offers the upside to smash this salary if he receives run tonight. He has played 30+ minutes in two of his last four games. You can play him at center or power forward, but I would much rather roster him at power forward.
Other Options – Thaddeus Young $5,500
Dwight Howard ($6,800) – Howards is vastly underpriced and draws a very good matchup. He faces off against the Timberwolves who rank 28th in defensive rating and have allowed 5.53 points above expectations to centers. Howard is second on Charlotte with a 25.3 percent usage rate and accounts for 23.7 percent of their rebounds. Centers are averaging 1.25 fantasy points per minute against the Timberwolves this season, so this is a matchup that Howard should exploit as he averages 1.21 fantasy points per minute.
Other Options – Karl-Anthony Towns $9,200, Marc Gasol $7,900, Rudy Gobert $7,600
Tyson Chandler ($4,100) – Chandler is at a very appealing price tag tonight, and this game script may favor him as the Spurs play at a slower pace. He has double-digit rebounds in five of his last seven games, and for the season, Chandler has exceeded expectations 67 percent of the time by an average of 2.75 points. He should have no trouble reaching value at this price tag and can be considered in both cash and tournaments tonight.
Other Options – Steven Adams $6,200, Brook Lopez $5,800
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.