StudRussell Westbrook, OKC vs. PHX, $10,700 – Russ is currently questionable with a shoulder injury, so we will have to check in later tonight to make sure he’s playing. He’s started the year struggling from the field with a 41.9% shooting percentage, but we know nothing is going to stop Westbrook from shooting. He is among the league leaders with a 34.5% usage rate and will continue to put up shots even if he starts 0-for-20 from the field. His matchup against the Suns is ideal. He averaged 62.3 DKFP in three games against them last year and they have allowed at least 117 points in each of their last four games.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Westbrook is in the starting lineup for tonight’s game.
ValueRicky Rubio, UTA at DAL, $5,400 – The pricing for today’s slate came out prior to last night’s outburst from Tricky Ricky, so his current salary isn’t caught up to his current form. Rubio scored 24 points combined in his first four games of the season and more than doubled that total by scoring 28 last night vs. the Pelicans despite playing limited minutes due to a blowout. He added 12 assists and finished with 57.5 DKFP. This should give Rubio the confidence to be more aggressive going forward.
StudBradley Beal, WAS at LAC, $7,200 – Shooting guard is a tough position to fill with only a few guys to choose from on this three-game slate, but Beal at least provides consistency and stability. He has taken at least 16 shots and scored at least 20 points in every game this season. He is averaging 41.69 DKFP over his last four games with at least 30 DKFP in each contest. If you are looking for a narrative, Beal called out his teammates after their last loss and talked about the Wizards needing to focus on winning as opposed to thinking about their last missed shot. Washington is off to a 1-4 start to the year and Beal looks like he is trying to establish himself in a leadership role to pull the team out of their funk.
ValueLou Williams, LAC vs. WAS, $5,400 – Lou looks like he is starting to find his shot again. He is averaging 20 points per game over his last two, while shooting 62.5% from the field. If you have ever rostered Williams for one of his big games last year, you know how quickly he can rack up fantasy points once his shot starts falling. We saw his salary climb all the way to $9,000 when he had everything going last season. On a short slate, taking a look at somebody like Sweet Lou and hoping he can keep rolling and find last year’s form is a good way to to have upside in your lineup.
StudTobias Harris, LAC vs. WAS, $7,100 – Harris is one of the more underrated players in the NBA. Look how well Blake Griffin is playing this year. Well, Harris got traded to the Clippers for Griffin and L.A. started to win more games after acquiring Tobias. One of the benefits to the Clippers’ production as a whole is the expected pace of the game. Washington is playing at the third-fastest pace in the league and allowing an incredible 122.8 points per game. This is the most points allowed per game of any team in the league.
ValueJerami Grant, OKC vs. PHX, $4,100 – Grant is one of the few cheap players who is actually viable on this slate. With OKC struggling, they decided to switch up their lineup and moved Grant into the starting five. He played 31 minutes and scored a season-high 24.5 DKFP. He is averaging 20.2 DKFP per game despite shooting just 30.3% from the field. Grant connected on 53.5% of his shots last season, so he should start to see positive regression in the form of balls actually going through the hoop.
StudPaul George, OKC vs. PHX, $8,300 – If Westbrook ends up getting ruled out, George is in line for a massive workload. With Westbrook off the court last year, he carried a 37.5% usage rate and scored 45.83 DKFP per 36 minutes. He is also going up against the Suns, who haven’t shown the ability to guard anybody during their four-game losing streak. Even if Russ is able to play, PG13 still makes for a strong option. He has scored at least 35 DKFP in every game and the Thunder are desperate for a win. While there is much talk about the undefeated teams in the league, the Thunder stand on the other side with a very defeated 0-4 record.
ValueMontrezl Harrell, LAC vs. WAS, $5,200 – While we all love and clamor for more Boban, Harrell is the best center on the Clippers. Don’t be shocked to see him move into the starting lineup sooner rather than later. He has been ridiculously productive by scoring 1.4 DKFP per minute and we finally saw him play 28 minutes last game. The result was a casual 46.5 DKFP and a career-high 30 point game. He has now scored at 42 DKFP in two of his last three games.
StudDeandre Ayton, PHX at OKC, $7,700 – No doubt about it, the Suns are struggling and not a good team. One of their only bright spots has been Ayton, who they selected with the first overall pick in this past draft. At times he looks like he will never miss a shot and connected on 12 of 13 field goal attempts last night. This brought his field goal percentage to a a cool 69.6% on the season. He struggled in a game against the Nuggets, but has scored at least 43 DKFP in every other game this year. He is the leading candidate for Rookie of the Year and teams are yet to find out a way to slow him down.
ValueNerlens Noel, OKC vs. PHX, $3,400 – This is a bit of a stretch as a play, but there is a scenario in which Noel makes sense to roster. Phoenix tends to get blown out a lot and Noel plays in garbage time for the Thunder. He is averaging 1.17 DKFP per minute, so we only need him to play 15 minutes at his current production to hit 5x value. If you want to fade the Thunder studs (Westbrook and George) you can play for the starters sitting in the fourth quarter and Noel seeing extra playing time. This could lead to a big performance for him at a cheap price and minimal ownership.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.