Monday’s NBA slate on DraftKings is large with 10 games. The featured contest is a huge $4 entry tournament that pays out $100k to first place. Set your lineups here: NBA $500K Micro Millions Opener [$100K to 1st, 150 Entry Max].
Trae Young (ankle), D’Angelo Russell (quad), Julius Randle (quad), Derrick Rose (groin), Marcus Smart (thigh) and Ricky Rubio (ankle) are notable players with uncertain statuses due to injury, and value could be available if these players are forced to sit on Monday. Kyrie Irving (knee) and Kemba Walker (knee) are out.
For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock. You also can follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive.
Here are some plays that fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
StudD’Angelo Russell, Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards ($8,900) — Russell’s status is uncertain as he deals with a quad injury, but if he plays and is not limited, he enters a prime spot against an extremely unpleasant Wizards defense that is setting records for ineffective defense. The Wizards have allowed over 116 points per 100 possessions, tied with last season’s Cavs for the worst defensive efficiency in the NBA’s database, which dates back to the 1996-97 season. Washington’s sixth ranked pace, combined with their poor defense, has them allowing 121 points per game to opponents, easily the worst in the league. Russell has big volume in Golden State’s offense, posting a 32% usage rate, and this type of heavy volume gives Russell a safe floor and high ceiling against such a poor defensive team. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on Russell’s status. If Russell is forced to sit, Warriors PG/SG Alec Burks ($5,300) would be an appealing salary relief candidate. This game is expected to be high-scoring, as it has a total points of 235 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The average NBA game has scored 222 points in 2019-20.
Spencer Dinwiddie, Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns ($8,000) — If Russell is out or limited, Dinwiddie is a potential pivot at PG for fantasy owners. Brooklyn had recently moved Dinwiddie to the bench in an effort to stagger his minutes from Kyrie Irving and allow him to be more assertive when he is on the floor. However, with Irving out in the short term due to a knee injury, Dinwiddie is expected to move back into the starting five, where he will be a candidate for boosted volume due to Irving’s absence. In minutes with Irving off the court this season, Dinwiddie has a heavy 32% usage rate, compared to a 21% usage rate when he shares the floor with Irving. A matchup against the Suns is plus, as the Suns have allowed more fantasy points to opponents than average.
ValueReggie Jackson, Detroit Pistons at Memphis Grizzlies ($4,700) — Derrick Rose left Sunday’s game early due to a groin injury, and if Rose is unable to play on Monday, Jackson would be a candidate for an expanded role. Jackson played a season-high 34 minutes on Sunday due to Rose’s injury, scoring 33.75 DKFP. Jackson took 18 field goal attempts and had a solid 25% usage rate in the game, volume that was made available by Rose being limited to 13 minutes. A matchup against the Grizzlies is highly appealing, as the Grizzlies have been prone to allowing elevated fantasy points to opponents. Memphis has allowed the fourth most points to opponents and ninth most assists to opponents. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the status of Rose.
Malcolm Brogdon, Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks ($6,300) — Brogdon’s price has fallen to $6,300, his third lowest price all season, making him a value candidate against a Dallas team that is mediocre defensively. Since returning from injury two games ago, Brogdon has played 33 and 36 minutes, scoring 43.5 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) and 33.25 DKFP. He is averaging 35 DKFP per game this season, which makes him a good value candidate at his price tag.
StudDevin Booker, Phoenix Suns at Brooklyn Nets ($8,600) — Ricky Rubio is uncertain to play as he deals with an ankle injury, and if Rubio is out, Booker is a prime candidate for an expanded role. Both Booker’s usage and facilitating rises when Rubio is off the court, giving him boosted point and assist upside if Rubio is unable to play. Booker’s usage rate sits at a heavy 32% in minutes with Rubio off the court, a boost from 27% with Rubio on the court. Booker’s assist rate also rises by about 10 percentage points with Rubio off the court as Booker takes on more ball-handling duties. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the status of Rubio.
ValueBrad Wanamaker, Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks ($3,600) — Kemba Walker (knee) is out, and Marcus Smart (thigh) is listed as questionable, so the Celtics could be down their two top point guards if Smart is unable to play. If that happens, Wanamaker would be a candidate for plus volume in a highly appealing matchup. The Hawks have been very prone to allowing fantasy points to opponents, allowing the second most points per game to opponents while allowing more assists than average. With Walker out and Smart playing on Saturday, Wanamaker played 26 minutes, a boost from his season average of 18 minutes per game, so he would still be in line for an expanded role even if Smart plays. If Smart is out, Wanamaker becomes a very appealing salary relief option. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the status of Smart.
Jeff Teague, Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics ($3,900) — Trae Young’s status is uncertain as he deals with an ankle injury, and the last time Young missed a game, Teague started in Young’s place. With Young exiting early on Saturday, Teague saw and expanded role, playing a solid 30 minutes, easily the most minutes he’s played since being traded to Atlanta in January. Despite being a backup, Teague is still a quality NBA player, posting a 15.0 player efficiency rating, which is better than average at his position. A boost in minutes if Young is out would make Teague a good salary relief candidate at his price tag. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the Hawks’ starting lineup.
StudBradley Beal, Washington Wizards vs. Golden State Warriors ($10,100) — After initially being limited in his return from injury, Beal has been unleashed lately, averaging 36 minutes per game and 57 DKFP per game over his last six games. Beal has scored at least 50 DKFP in each of his last six games, peaking at 62 DKFP two games ago. His fantasy production and minute volume has been backed by heavy usage, posting a 36% usage rate in those six games, tied for second highest among all starters in the league during that time frame. A matchup against a Warriors team that ranks in the bottom third in fantasy points allowed is appealing. The Warriors have allowed the fourth most assists to opponents and ninth most points to opponents. This game is expected to be high-scoring, as it has a total points of 235 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The average NBA game has scored 222 points in 2019-20.
Paul George, Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs ($7,800) — George’s price tag is tied for his lowest of the season, which is in part due to him playing on a minutes restriction since returning from injury two games ago. George was initially slotted to play 20 minutes in his last game, but he ended up playing 25 minutes, getting off 18 shots and scoring 39.75 DKFP. It’s possible George could push for more minutes on Monday, and if sees a minute load that more closely resembles his usual volume, he lands in a fairly soft matchup against a Spurs team that ranks in the bottom third in points allowed to opponents. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on George’s minutes.
StudJayson Tatum, Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks ($7,500) — Kemba Walker (knee) is out, which bodes well for Tatum’s usage. Tatum has a heavy 32% usage rate in minutes with Walker off the court this season, a boost from 24% with Walker on the court. A matchup against the Hawks is elite, as the Hawks have been among the league’s most prone teams to allowing fantasy points to opponents. The Hawks have allowed second most points to opponents and rank as the fifth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots rebounded.
ValueKristaps Porzingis, Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers ($7,000) — Usage monster Luka Doncic (ankle) is out, which puts Porzingis in a spot for expanded volume. Doncic’s 36% usage rate is third highest among all starters in the NBA, usage that is now available to be soaked up by other Mavericks players. Porzingis’ usage rate sat at a heavy 34% in his only start since Doncic’s injury. On the season, Porzingis’ usage rate has been boosted to 28% in minutes with Doncic off the court, up from 23% with Doncic on the court. Porzingis faces a Pacers team that has been weak on the glass, ranking as the sixth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots rebounded.
StudAndre Drummond, Detroit Pistons at Memphis Grizzlies ($9,400) — Drummond is a candidate for expanded usage if Derrick Rose (groin) is unable to play. Drummond posted a heavy 32% usage rate on Sunday after Rose was limited to just 13 minutes, and Drummond’s usage rate is three percentage points higher in minutes with Rose off the court this season. A matchup against the Grizzlies is solid. Memphis ranks as a mediocre team on the glass by the percentage of missed shots rebounded, and while they have been decent at limiting production against centers, they have been highly prone to allowing fantasy points to opponents on a team level. Deandre Ayton, Phoenix Suns at Brooklyn Nets ($7,700) — The Nets have been weak at preventing fantasy points to centers, giving Ayton a soft matchup at an affordable price of $7,700.
ValueBobby Portis, New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers ($3,700) — Julius Randle’s status is uncertain as he deals with a quad injury, and if Randle is out, Portis is a candidate for a boosted role. Portis started the last two times Randle was out of the lineup and is averaging 28 minutes per game in starts this season, a boost from 20 minutes per game off the bench. Portis draws a good matchup against a foul Cavs defense that has allowed the second most points per possession and has allowed the most made field goals per game within five feet of the basket. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the Knicks’ starting lineup.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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