Monday’s fantasy basketball slate has eight NBA games on DraftKings. The featured contest is the $500K MEGA Mini-Max, which pays out $100k to first place and costs just $4 to enter. Set your lineups here: NBA $500K MEGA Mini-Max [$100K to 1st, 150 Entry Max].
Luka Doncic (ankle), Kristaps Porzingis (rest), D’Angelo Russell (knee) and Kevin Love (Achilles) are expected to play, while Paul George (hamstring) and Elfrid Payton (ankle) are questionable.
For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock. You also can follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive.
Here are some plays that fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
StudLuka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ($10,500) — Doncic is expected to return on Monday after missing Saturday’s game due to ankle soreness. Provided he is not limited, Doncic has a highly appealing matchup against a Timberwolves team that has been playing extremely fast recently, ranking second in pace since the trade deadline by playing about 106 possessions per game. Minnesota has combined poor defense with their elite pace, which has them allowing the most points to opponents since the trade deadline. Doncic is a candidate for boosted points and assists in this setting.
ValueMike Conley, Utah Jazz vs. Phoenix Suns ($5,300) — Conley struggled earlier in the season as he adjusted to playing with a new team, but has looked much better lately. Conley has produced at least 32 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) in five straight games and has seen his shooting efficiency rise closer to where it was last season with the Grizzlies. A matchup against the Suns is appealing, as the Suns have allowed more points to opponents than average.
StudBradley Beal, Washington Wizards vs. Milwaukee Bucks ($9,400) — The Bucks are outrageously strong defensively on a pace adjusted basis, but their fast pace can help make fantasy scoring play up for opponents a little more due to extra possessions. With both the Bucks and Wizards playing fast brands of basketball, this game is expected to be high-scoring, as DraftKings Sportsbook has given the game a high total points of 241. Despite the Bucks having a strong defense, Beal had fantasy success in this matchup previously on the back of huge volume, taking 31 shots in 37 minutes and scoring 60.5 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP).
Josh Richardson, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks ($4,800) — Injuries to Ben Simmons (back; out) and Tobias Harris (knee; doubtful) could make Richardson a candidate for an expanded role on Monday. Richardson’s usage rate rises with both Simmons and Harris off the court, and he has seen his biggest tick up in volume when Harris is sidelined, posting a 25% usage rate in minutes with Harris off the court, up from 18% with Harris on the court. A matchup against the Hawks is elite, as the Hawks have allowed the second most points to opponents, rank poorly on the glass and play one of the fastest paces in the league.
StudKawhi Leonard, Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ($9,700) — Paul George (hamstring) may remain out on Monday, and if George is out again, Leonard would have clearance for elite volume in a strong matchup. Leonard’s usage rate rises to an elite 35% in minutes with George off the court this season, up from 30% with George on the court. The Clippers face a Grizzlies team that has been playing lightning fast lately, leading the league in pace since the trade deadline. The fast pace could help create boosted possessions for Leonard to have more opportunities at fantasy scoring.
ValueFurkan Korkmaz, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks ($4,000) — Korkmaz is another 76ers player who is a candidate to benefit from absences to Ben Simmons (back; out) and Tobias Harris (knee; doubtful). Despite the potential boost in role in an elite matchup against a Hawks team that is prone to allowing fantasy points to opponents, Korkmaz’s price tag is in the same general range it has been in recent games.
StudGiannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards ($11,400) — The Bucks have an elite matchup against a Wizards team that plays fast and has been the worst defensive team and worst rebounding team in the league, which could give Antetokounmpo massive triple-double upside in this matchup. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, as DraftKings Sportsbook has given the game a total points of 241. The downside is that there is blowout risk, as the Bucks are 11.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, so it’s possible Antetokounmpo does not see his normal amount of minutes. The fact that the game is taking place in Washington may help it stay close enough where Antetokounmpo’s minutes do not crater, as the Wizards have been much better in home games this season by point differential.
ValueAl Horford, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks ($4,500) — With Ben Simmons (back) out and Tobias Harris (knee) unlikely to play, more fantasy scoring opportunities could be available for Horford against a Hawks team that is among the worst in the league defensively and on the glass. Despite the potential boost in role for this game due to injuries to other players, Horford’s $4,500 price tag is the lowest it’s been all season, making him a strong value candidate in a great matchup.
StudJoel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks ($9,500) — Embiid has a highly appealing matchup against a Hawks team that is poor defensively and poor on the glass, which is made even more appealing with Ben Simmons (back) out and Tobias Harris (knee) unlikely to play. Embiid’s usage rate sits at an elite 35% in minutes with Simmons off the court, a boost from 29% with Simmons on the court. The Hawks have allowed the second most points to opponents and rank as the league’s fourth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots rebounded. The Hawks have also been poor defensively around the basket, allowing the second most field goals per game within five feet of the basket. Embiid has taken advantage of the plus matchup in two previous games this season, averaging 57 DKFP per game vs. the Hawks.
ValueRobin Lopez, Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards ($3,000) — Milwaukee’s starting center, Brook Lopez, is out due to a back injury, and his brother Robin is a candidate to benefit with increased minutes. Robin has made two other starts in place of his brother this season, averaging 23 minutes per game, a boost from 13 minutes per game off the bench. The Bucks draw a highly favorable matchup against a Wizards team that showcases the worst team defense and worst team rebounding in the league.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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