Jonas Valanciunas

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BETS TO CONSIDER

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Here are some players to target for tonight’s main seven-game NBA slate on DraftKings:


POINT GUARD

Stud

Eric Bledsoe, MIL vs. DEN, $7,100 — There are a number of key names on the injury report. The most important player currently listed as questionable is Giannis Antetokounmpo. If he’s out, we can expect to see a ton of value on Milwaukee tonight. We saw this situation play out on Tuesday and Bledsoe scored a season-high 60 DKFP. For the season, he has a 34.1% usage rating and scores 54.17 DKFP per 36 minutes with Giannis off the court.

Value

Jalen Brunson, DAL at HOU, $3,800 — Giannis is the most important questionable player and Luka Doncic is the most important player already out. Luka hurt his ankle in practice and has been ruled out for at least the next two games. We saw the Mavs forced to play without him a month ago and Brunson was the primary value play. Filling in for Doncic, Brunson made four starts and averaged 35.88 DKFP.


SHOOTING GUARD

Stud

James Harden, HOU vs. DAL, $10,600 — Without a doubt, Harden is going through one of his toughest stretches in recent history. He hasn’t scored more than 53 DKFP since Jan. 14. He’s also made less than half his shots in 10 consecutive games. This makes Harden tough to trust in cash games, but I still think he has upside in GPP. This is close to the cheapest price we have seen on Harden since the start of the season and the Rockets are returning home after a four-game road trip. Perhaps getting back home with rest will help Harden shake out of his funk.

Value

Delon Wright, DAL at HOU, $5,000 — It seems like Jalen Brunson is going to be one of the highest owned players on the slate. If you are looking for a pivot in tournaments, Delon Wright makes sense. If Brunson fails, it’s likely because Wright got the bulk of the point guard minutes. Wright could also end starting alongside Brunson since Tim Hardaway Jr. is questionable to play.


SMALL FORWARD

Stud

Khris Middleton, MIL vs. DEN, $8,000 — Middleton is in a really similar situation to Bledsoe. If Giannis is out, Middleton is tough to ignore. Middleton had the game of his life on Tuesday when Giannis was out, scoring 51 points and 76.5 DKFP. If Antetokounmpo plays, Middleton is much too expensive, but he’s one of the top plays of the night if Giannis can’t play. Without Giannis on the court, Middleton has a 34.2% usage rating and scores 52.56 DKFP for the season.

Value

Pat Connaughton, MIL vs. DEN, $3,000 — While the Giannis injury is going to capture most the headlines, the Bucks are also dealing with other injuries. George Hill has been ruled out and Donte DiVincenzo is questionable to play due to a sprained ankle. If the Bucks don’t have Hill or DiVincenzo, Connaughton figures to play a sizable role off the bench. We could see him push for 30 minutes and he wouldn’t have to do all that much to have a solid game with a min price tag.


POWER FORWARD

Stud

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL at HOU, $6,800 — Without Doncic, the Mavericks are going to need Porzingis to lead the offense. He’s been playing restricted minutes lately, so we need to make sure the restrictions are off. If they are, KP should go off. Without Luka on the court, Porzingis has a 29.4% usage rating and scores 50.2 DKFP per 36 minutes. He scored at least 44 DKFP in each of the four games Doncic missed in December.

Value

Ersan Ilyasova, MIL vs. DEN, $3,800 — I promise, this is the last Bucks’ player I am going to write up for tonight. If Giannis is out, Ilyasova would be the guy to move into the starting lineup. It’s a role he’s had a ton of success in this season. As a starter, he averages 33.05 DKFP. Coming off the bench, Ersan only averages 15.62 DKFP, so his value is very dependent on whether Giannis is active or not.


CENTER

Stud

Jonas Valanciunas, MEM at NOR, $6,300 — Following Wednesday’s dust-up with the Knicks, Jaren Jackson Jr. has been suspended for tonight’s game. This opens up some usage and minutes in the Grizzlies’ frontcourt. Valanciunas figures to be one of the primary benefactors and the Pelicans allow the eighth-most DKFP to centers. When JJJ is off the court, JV is scoring 47.99 DKFP per 36 minutes.

Value

Brandon Clarke, MEM at NOR, $4,800 — Another great play from the Grizzlies, I expect Clarke will enter the starting lineup with Jackson unavailable. We haven’t seen Clarke get extended run too often this season, but his per-minute production is excellent. He’s averaging 24.12 DKFP in just 21.7 minutes per game. At the rate he scores fantasy point, Clarke shouldn’t have any issue scoring 30-plus DKFP if he plays 28 or so minutes.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Clarke is uncertain for tonight’s game after missing shootaround.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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