Thursday is another pretty balanced six-game slate, without any studs to break the bank on. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
BETS TO CONSIDER
Target worth paying up for: Trae Young ($9,900) vs. PHI (9th)Young’s coming off a rough game against the Raptors and did struggle against Philly earlier in the season. But with Philly playing shorthanded, and as one of the worst road teams in the NBA, the Hawks should be able to keep this one competitive. Young’s averaging almost 15 dimes per game over his last four and just had an off shooting night in Toronto. More volume from the field should give us another 50-DKFP-plus game here.
Best value: Shake Milton ($4,200) at ATL (13th)Milton’s been getting extra minutes with Josh Richardson (hamstring) out, and Al Horford’s (knee) absence also helps clear some minutes. Joel Embiid ($9,300) and Ben Simmons ($8,900) could both be somewhat limited, which just leaves extra production for role players against a bad ATL defense.
Positional StrategyPG is mostly a pay up position on this slate. Outside of Milton, Monte Morris ($5,300) feels like the strongest value but isn’t cheap.
Target worth paying up for: Donovan Mitchell ($7,200) at DEN (2nd)Mitchell is averaging over 45 DKFP over his last three games, yet his salary is down $800 for the matchup in Denver. It’s not the best spot on the second night of a back-to-back, but the discount makes Mitchell’s upside worth exploring.
Best value: Kevin Huerter ($5,300) vs. PHI (12th)Huerter hasn’t gone off in a while but is playing well over 30 minutes per game, typically attempting 10-plus field goals. He showed us a 58-DKFP ceiling just this month against the Suns, so there’s upside here.
Positional StrategyThe SG position has even less value than PG. Furkan Korkmaz ($4,000) is another option outside of Milton, but there aren’t many other plays until we hopefully get more news.
Target worth paying up for: Bradley Beal ($9,400) vs. CHA (19th)Beal’s been on fire lately, and his G/F eligibility lets you fit him almost anywhere in lineups. He’s scored over 50 DKFP in four straight games, including 60.5 DKFP on Tuesday in Milwaukee. Beal’s averaging 46 DKFP in a pair of games against Charlotte this season, so this isn’t a matchup that should set him back.
Best value: Draymond Green ($5,900) at BOS (15th)Draymond’s shown lack of interest at times this season, but he’s now scored 34 or more DKFP in three of four and will get the national game in Boston. Coming off 46.25 DKFP on Tuesday, look for Green to carry some momentum into this matchup. He did score 37.75 DKFP against the Celtics in their earlier matchup this season.
Positional StrategyForward is more flexible than guard. Maybe that means you want to roster Beal and/or Draymond at guard and reach for more value in your forward slots.
Target worth paying up for: Tobias Harris ($7,000) at ATL (23rd)No Richardson and Horford, with a probable Simmons and potentially limited Embiid, all sets up a spot for Harris to be the star here. Harris is very affordable, with his salary on the decline after a poor showing Tuesday. But he went for 42 or more DKFP in his two previous outings and gets a fabulous matchup against the Hawks.
Best value: Marquese Chriss ($4,500) at BOS (15th)Chriss has really seen his role expand in the last four games, scoring at least 22 DKFP in each. Even more encouraging were the 31 minutes he played in Philly on Tuesday. If that’s his role in this rotation, he remains underpriced.
Positional StrategyPF is pretty deep, with targets in almost every price range. You shouldn’t have much trouble at this position.
Target worth paying up for: Nikola Jokic ($10,100) vs. UTA (10th)Jokic is my favorite play on the slate, doing everything for the shorthanded Nuggets. Utah isn’t nearly as daunting a defense anymore, and Jokic is being forced into extra minutes. He’s scored 50-plus DKFP in seven of his last nine, and 60-plus in two of his last three. Look for another big game here.
Best value: Harry Giles ($3,100) at LAC (24th)Giles is one of the top salary savers on the slate and has PF/C eligibility. Giles went for 24.5 DKFP in 17 minutes against OKC on Wednesday, and a blowout wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world for his value in this game.
Positional StrategyI think doubling down on centers, even in the same game, could make sense on this slate. Rudy Gobert ($8,100) has been awesome recently and gives you a nice game stack with Jokic. Embiid carries some risk, but the matchup against ATL is there.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
QUESTIONABLEDerrick Walton (elbow)
PROBABLEBen Simmons (illness)
Paul George (hamstring)
Patrick Beverley (groin)
Patrick McCaw (nose)
OUTAl Horford (knee)
Marvin Bagley (foot)
Jamal Murray (ankle)
Josh Richardson (hamstring)
Marc Gasol (hamstring)
Jordan McRae (ankle)
Enes Kanter (hip)
Paul Millsap (knee)
Mason Plumlee (foot)
Alex Len (hip)
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (ankle)
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