Wednesday’s NBA nine-gamer is setting up as a pretty balanced slate. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
BETS TO CONSIDER
Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($10,300) at SAS (13th)Doncic was a slight letdown against Minnesota, but he played just 25 minutes in an easy win. Averaging 64.6 DKFP in a pair of games against the Spurs this season, look for another 6X game.
Best value: Bryn Forbes ($3,400) vs. DAL (7th)LaMarcus Aldridge (shoulder) will be a big injury to capitalize on within this slate. Forbes already brings 25-30 DKFP upside at a salary that’s much too cheap, and his upside grows in this situation. The downside of rostering him would only be high ownership.
Positional StrategyPG is a tougher position to target value. With so many spend up spots, I’d go there, and use value elsewhere. I’m not wild about paying up for James Harden ($11,300) or Russell Westbrook ($10,100), though. Harden’s averaging 67.5 DKFP against Memphis this season, but Westbrook hasn’t played in either game. I expect more balance from them tonight.
Target worth paying up for: Bradley Beal ($9,700) vs. BKN (4th)Beal’s coming off scoring 50-plus actual points in consecutive days, which was good for an average of 66 DKFP in his last two. Beal went for 56.5 DKFP in his only game against BKN this season, and he is playing with a scorer’s mentality right now. Only thing not to like it the steep price.
Target worth paying up for: DeMar DeRozan ($7,000) vs. DAL (6th)No LMA means more usage for DDR. This is a pretty simple one, and probably the first player you want to lock into cash games. DeRozan’s already averaging 44 DKFP in two contests against Dallas with Aldridge in the lineup.
Positional StrategyDeRozan isn’t your typical value, but you can even things out by just playing a couple more SAS values. Mikal Bridges ($4,400) has a huge salary drop off if you need a more traditional value.
Target worth paying up for: Jayson Tatum ($8,800) at UTA (6th)Nobody’s hotter than Tatum right now, and his salary’s still relatively affordable. This is one of the exceptions where I’ll lock in Tatum with the expectation he continues to rack up over 50 DKFP, thanks to his pure scoring ability. Utah’s defense is extremely overrated.
Best value: Furkan Korkmaz ($4,300) at CLE (24th)Korkmaz has been playing a much larger role with Ben Simmons (back) out of the rotation, but maintains a cheap salary. Over the last two games, Korkmaz is averaging over 27 DKFP in 29 minutes.
Positional StrategyThere are about five plays in the article that have SF eligibility, and they range across every price range. You shouldn’t have much difficulty at this position.
Target worth paying up for: Robert Covington ($6,200) vs. MEM (21st)RoCo’s been the perfect PF for Houston since be acquired. He’s scored over 30 DKFP in four straight games, and is good for around 8-12 three-point attempts per game. Memphis plays at a fast pace, and he should give Covington a good chance to keep producing.
Best value: Trey Lyles ($3,800) vs. DAL (17th)Sorry to keep mashing the Spurs’ values, but they’re just too glaring on this slate. Lyles has recently shown 40-plus DKFP upside, so you could realistically get 10X value from playing him in any game LMA is absent.
Positional StrategyPF is a value position for me. You can roster Tatum here is that’s where your build takes you, otherwise a play like RoCo makes a lot of sense in the mid-range, while Lyles and other values pop.
Target worth paying up for: Joel Embiid ($10,500) at CLE (22nd)Embiid’s been shining with Simmons out, including a career-high 49 points in his last game — helping him to 79 DKFP. In a matchup against the Cavs, who will be without the big body of Andre Drummond (calf), Embiid’s ceiling is sky-high.
Best value: Jakob Poeltl ($3,200) vs. DAL (21st)If you only play one value from the Spurs, make it Poeltl. Poeltl’s had massive games with Aldridge out of the lineup, and always comes at near-minimum salary.
Positional StrategyPoeltl could be the highest owned player on the slate, so assuming you lock him in, the question is if you play another. I say yes, so look to double down in your UTIL spot.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
QUESTIONABLETrae Young (illness)
Bam Adebayo (face)
Jimmy Butler (personal)
Davis Bertans (knee)
Willie Cauley-Stein (personal)
Wilson Chandler (personal)
PROBABLEElfrid Payton (ankle)
Dewayne Dedmon (elbow)
OUTKarl-Anthony Towns (wrist)
Ben Simmons (back)
Andre Drummond (calf)
LaMarcus Aldridge (shoulder)
Kemba Walker (knee)
Kelly Oubre Jr. (knee)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee)
Brandon Clarke (quad)
Malik Monk (suspension)
Jaylen Brunson (shoulder)
Tyler Herro (foot)
Frank Ntilikina (groin)
Dante Exum (ankle)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.