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Here are some players to target for tonight’s main 11-game NBA slate on DraftKings:
StudD’Angelo Russell, GSW at MIN, $8,400 — We have to make sure Russell isn’t restricted after he missed the past three games with an ankle injury. Russell is listed as probable, so I expect him to play, and he figures to soak up a ton of usage with Draymond Green and Stephen Curry out. The last game he played prior to getting hurt, Russell had a 41% usage rating and scored 48.75 DKFP. He’s also in a nice matchup since the Timberwolves are giving up the second most DKFP to point guards.
ValueRaul Neto, PHI at DEN, $3,400 — Chalk Neto? This looks like it could be the case. Ben Simmons has a shoulder injury and is expected to miss tonight’s game and likely a few more after. Neto appears to be the next man up after he played 30 minutes Wednesday night when Simmons got hurt in game. The Sixers don’t have much point guard depth, putting Neto in place to big minutes at close to minimum price.
StudBradley Beal, WAS vs. CLE, $8,600 — Beal is in an awful shooting slump. The good news is his usage is still high, and he says he won’t stop shooting. As evidence, Beal’s 31.9% usage rating is the highest of his career. He’s too good of a shooter to keep slumping, and his matchup against the Cavs is easily his easiest of the season. The Wizards have played strong defenses in almost every game this season, and Cleveland allows the sixth most DKFP to shooting guards.
ValueAaron Holiday, IND vs. DET, $4,200 — For the second consecutive game, Jeremy Lamb has been ruled out. Without Lamb in their last game, the Pacers started Holiday in the backcourt alongside Malcolm Brogdon, and Holiday delivered a good game despite a slow start. Holiday gave fantasy owners a scare when he went through nearly the entire first half without scoring, but he turned it on at the end of the game. He ended up scoring 18 real life points and figures to be more comfortable in his second start of the season.
StudLeBron James, LAL vs. MIA, $10,600 — Playing alongside another superstar in Anthony Davis, LeBron looks reinvigorated this season. He’s triple-doubled in three straight games, averaging 74.8 DKFP over this stretch. I consider James the early MVP front runner, and there’s a decent chance he keeps up his triple-double streak tonight. The Heat figure to be dealing with fatigue playing on the road for the tail end of a back-to-back.
ValueTroy Brown Jr., WAS vs. CLE, $4,400 — After the Wizards’ last game, Scott Brooks said they would make a lineup switch. He didn’t see who would enter the starting lineup, although he said Isaac Bonga would be removed from it. Brown seems likely the most reasonable choice to enter the starting unit. He’s a capable shooter and is averaging 22.1 DKFP in only 21.6 minutes per game. If Brown gets 30+ minutes, he easily should hit value at his current per-minute production.
StudJabari Parker, ATL vs. SAC, $6,400 — Parker is going to see an expanded role in the next couple months since John Collins is serving a 25-game PED suspension. As of late, Parker has looked and has scored more than 30 DKFP in three straight games. This is a solid spot for him to continue to produce since the Kings are struggling to open the season. Sacramento is 25th in the league in defensive efficiency.
ValueDwight Powell, DAL vs. NYK, $4,400 — Powell missed the start of the season with a hamstring injury and came back to a minutes restriction. Now he’s starting and has played more minutes in each game. It looks like Powell is free to play as many minutes as possible after getting 34 minutes in Wednesday’s win over the Magic. Powell scored 26.5 DKFP in the victory and gets to match up against the struggling Knicks.
StudKarl-Anthony Towns, MIN vs. GSW, $10,300 — Playing against what remains of the Warriors’ dynasty, Towns is my favorite stud on the slate. This isn’t unique to tonight since KAT has been my favorite high-end play on just about every slate he’s been on. Towns’ role is massive this season, and the offense is flowing through him way more than in previous seasons. This is why he’s averaging 3.6 assists per game and is dishing out the rock while maintaining a 26.1% usage rating.
ValueJarrett Allen, BKN at POR, $5,000 — Allen has been in a timeshare this season with DeAndre Jordan, cutting the minutes we are accustomed to seeing out of both players. This might not be an issue tonight. Jordan is questionable to play after spraining his ankle in the Nets’ last game. After he left early, Allen stepped up and played 30 minutes while scoring a season-high 34 DKFP. We can ignore him if Jordan is active, but Allen is a really strong value play if Jordan is out.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.